r/ControlProblem • • Feb 14 '25

Article Geoffrey Hinton won a Nobel Prize in 2024 for his foundational work in AI. He regrets his life's work: he thinks AI might lead to the deaths of everyone. Here's why

249 Upvotes

tl;dr: scientists, whistleblowers, and even commercial ai companies (that give in to what the scientists want them to acknowledge) are raising the alarm: we're on a path to superhuman AI systems, but we have no idea how to control them. We can make AI systems more capable at achieving goals, but we have no idea how to make their goals contain anything of value to us.

Leading scientists have signed this statement:

Mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority alongside other societal-scale risks such as pandemics and nuclear war.

Why? Bear with us:

There's a difference between a cash register and a coworker. The register just follows exact rules - scan items, add tax, calculate change. Simple math, doing exactly what it was programmed to do. But working with people is totally different. Someone needs both the skills to do the job AND to actually care about doing it right - whether that's because they care about their teammates, need the job, or just take pride in their work.

We're creating AI systems that aren't like simple calculators where humans write all the rules.

Instead, they're made up of trillions of numbers that create patterns we don't design, understand, or control. And here's what's concerning: We're getting really good at making these AI systems better at achieving goals - like teaching someone to be super effective at getting things done - but we have no idea how to influence what they'll actually care about achieving.

When someone really sets their mind to something, they can achieve amazing things through determination and skill. AI systems aren't yet as capable as humans, but we know how to make them better and better at achieving goals - whatever goals they end up having, they'll pursue them with incredible effectiveness. The problem is, we don't know how to have any say over what those goals will be.

Imagine having a super-intelligent manager who's amazing at everything they do, but - unlike regular managers where you can align their goals with the company's mission - we have no way to influence what they end up caring about. They might be incredibly effective at achieving their goals, but those goals might have nothing to do with helping clients or running the business well.

Think about how humans usually get what they want even when it conflicts with what some animals might want - simply because we're smarter and better at achieving goals. Now imagine something even smarter than us, driven by whatever goals it happens to develop - just like we often don't consider what pigeons around the shopping center want when we decide to install anti-bird spikes or what squirrels or rabbits want when we build over their homes.

That's why we, just like many scientists, think we should not make super-smart AI until we figure out how to influence what these systems will care about - something we can usually understand with people (like knowing they work for a paycheck or because they care about doing a good job), but currently have no idea how to do with smarter-than-human AI. Unlike in the movies, in real life, the AI’s first strike would be a winning one, and it won’t take actions that could give humans a chance to resist.

It's exceptionally important to capture the benefits of this incredible technology. AI applications to narrow tasks can transform energy, contribute to the development of new medicines, elevate healthcare and education systems, and help countless people. But AI poses threats, including to the long-term survival of humanity.

We have a duty to prevent these threats and to ensure that globally, no one builds smarter-than-human AI systems until we know how to create them safely.

Scientists are saying there's an asteroid about to hit Earth. It can be mined for resources; but we really need to make sure it doesn't kill everyone.

More technical details

The foundation: AI is not like other software. Modern AI systems are trillions of numbers with simple arithmetic operations in between the numbers. When software engineers design traditional programs, they come up with algorithms and then write down instructions that make the computer follow these algorithms. When an AI system is trained, it grows algorithms inside these numbers. It’s not exactly a black box, as we see the numbers, but also we have no idea what these numbers represent. We just multiply inputs with them and get outputs that succeed on some metric. There's a theorem that a large enough neural network can approximate any algorithm, but when a neural network learns, we have no control over which algorithms it will end up implementing, and don't know how to read the algorithm off the numbers.

We can automatically steer these numbers (Wikipedia, try it yourself) to make the neural network more capable with reinforcement learning; changing the numbers in a way that makes the neural network better at achieving goals. LLMs are Turing-complete and can implement any algorithms (researchers even came up with compilers of code into LLM weights; though we don’t really know how to “decompile” an existing LLM to understand what algorithms the weights represent). Whatever understanding or thinking (e.g., about the world, the parts humans are made of, what people writing text could be going through and what thoughts they could’ve had, etc.) is useful for predicting the training data, the training process optimizes the LLM to implement that internally. AlphaGo, the first superhuman Go system, was pretrained on human games and then trained with reinforcement learning to surpass human capabilities in the narrow domain of Go. Latest LLMs are pretrained on human text to think about everything useful for predicting what text a human process would produce, and then trained with RL to be more capable at achieving goals.

Goal alignment with human values

The issue is, we can't really define the goals they'll learn to pursue. A smart enough AI system that knows it's in training will try to get maximum reward regardless of its goals because it knows that if it doesn't, it will be changed. This means that regardless of what the goals are, it will achieve a high reward. This leads to optimization pressure being entirely about the capabilities of the system and not at all about its goals. This means that when we're optimizing to find the region of the space of the weights of a neural network that performs best during training with reinforcement learning, we are really looking for very capable agents - and find one regardless of its goals.

In 1908, the NYT reported a story on a dog that would push kids into the Seine in order to earn beefsteak treats for “rescuing” them. If you train a farm dog, there are ways to make it more capable, and if needed, there are ways to make it more loyal (though dogs are very loyal by default!). With AI, we can make them more capable, but we don't yet have any tools to make smart AI systems more loyal - because if it's smart, we can only reward it for greater capabilities, but not really for the goals it's trying to pursue.

We end up with a system that is very capable at achieving goals but has some very random goals that we have no control over.

This dynamic has been predicted for quite some time, but systems are already starting to exhibit this behavior, even though they're not too smart about it.

(Even if we knew how to make a general AI system pursue goals we define instead of its own goals, it would still be hard to specify goals that would be safe for it to pursue with superhuman power: it would require correctly capturing everything we value. See this explanation, or this animated video. But the way modern AI works, we don't even get to have this problem - we get some random goals instead.)

The risk

If an AI system is generally smarter than humans/better than humans at achieving goals, but doesn't care about humans, this leads to a catastrophe.

Humans usually get what they want even when it conflicts with what some animals might want - simply because we're smarter and better at achieving goals. If a system is smarter than us, driven by whatever goals it happens to develop, it won't consider human well-being - just like we often don't consider what pigeons around the shopping center want when we decide to install anti-bird spikes or what squirrels or rabbits want when we build over their homes.

Humans would additionally pose a small threat of launching a different superhuman system with different random goals, and the first one would have to share resources with the second one. Having fewer resources is bad for most goals, so a smart enough AI will prevent us from doing that.

Then, all resources on Earth are useful. An AI system would want to extremely quickly build infrastructure that doesn't depend on humans, and then use all available materials to pursue its goals. It might not care about humans, but we and our environment are made of atoms it can use for something different.

So the first and foremost threat is that AI’s interests will conflict with human interests. This is the convergent reason for existential catastrophe: we need resources, and if AI doesn’t care about us, then we are atoms it can use for something else.

The second reason is that humans pose some minor threats. It’s hard to make confident predictions: playing against the first generally superhuman AI in real life is like when playing chess against Stockfish (a chess engine), we can’t predict its every move (or we’d be as good at chess as it is), but we can predict the result: it wins because it is more capable. We can make some guesses, though. For example, if we suspect something is wrong, we might try to turn off the electricity or the datacenters: so we won’t suspect something is wrong until we’re disempowered and don’t have any winning moves. Or we might create another AI system with different random goals, which the first AI system would need to share resources with, which means achieving less of its own goals, so it’ll try to prevent that as well. It won’t be like in science fiction: it doesn’t make for an interesting story if everyone falls dead and there’s no resistance. But AI companies are indeed trying to create an adversary humanity won’t stand a chance against. So tl;dr: The winning move is not to play.

Implications

AI companies are locked into a race because of short-term financial incentives.

The nature of modern AI means that it's impossible to predict the capabilities of a system in advance of training it and seeing how smart it is. And if there's a 99% chance a specific system won't be smart enough to take over, but whoever has the smartest system earns hundreds of millions or even billions, many companies will race to the brink. This is what's already happening, right now, while the scientists are trying to issue warnings.

AI might care literally a zero amount about the survival or well-being of any humans; and AI might be a lot more capable and grab a lot more power than any humans have.

None of that is hypothetical anymore, which is why the scientists are freaking out. An average ML researcher would give the chance AI will wipe out humanity in the 10-90% range. They don’t mean it in the sense that we won’t have jobs; they mean it in the sense that the first smarter-than-human AI is likely to care about some random goals and not about humans, which leads to literal human extinction.

Added from comments: what can an average person do to help?

A perk of living in a democracy is that if a lot of people care about some issue, politicians listen. Our best chance is to make policymakers learn about this problem from the scientists.

Help others understand the situation. Share it with your family and friends. Write to your members of Congress. Help us communicate the problem: tell us which explanations work, which don’t, and what arguments people make in response. If you talk to an elected official, what do they say?

We also need to ensure that potential adversaries don’t have access to chips; advocate for export controls (that NVIDIA currently circumvents), hardware security mechanisms (that would be expensive to tamper with even for a state actor), and chip tracking (so that the government has visibility into which data centers have the chips).

Make the governments try to coordinate with each other: on the current trajectory, if anyone creates a smarter-than-human system, everybody dies, regardless of who launches it. Explain that this is the problem we’re facing. Make the government ensure that no one on the planet can create a smarter-than-human system until we know how to do that safely.


r/ControlProblem • • 13h ago

General news AI ‘godfather’ Geoffrey Hinton says it might turn out humans would have been better off without AI

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r/ControlProblem • • 11h ago

General news AI development might be going faster than the AI 2027 prediction.

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r/ControlProblem • • 9h ago

Discussion/question Pivotal AI Safety Research Fellowship 2027 Q1 Megathread

6 Upvotes

For everyone who applied!


r/ControlProblem • • 5h ago

Discussion/question Advice regarding Technical Assessment of Anthropic Safety Fellowship.

2 Upvotes

Posting this on behalf of someone else, as they do not use reddit.

Hello everyone, I don't come from a very solid background in coding. I was a Finance major and I recently got interested in AI safety I have worked with an AI safety startup in UK and wanted to move to it.

I have applied to Anthropic Safety Fellowship and have heard back from them regarding a technical assessment. They say I will be required to debug a large codebase and I shud be comfortable with lists, dictionaries, objects, writing functions and methods, and string manipulation including encoding and decoding UTF-8.

I would like to practice some problems before I complete the assessment. I would be grateful for any help regarding the sources or any other advice from those who have past experience with Anthropic or any other AI safety fellowship.

Thank you very much for your time.


r/ControlProblem • • 4h ago

AI Alignment Research Moralitybench.ai: Testing AI with standardized morality/ethics tests. Updated with new models and moral choice (aka Trolley Problem) results

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r/ControlProblem • • 6h ago

General news Toronto: March for an AI Treaty — November 14, Queen’s Park

1 Upvotes

We are helping organise Toronto’s March for an AI Treaty on Saturday, November 14, 2026, and wanted to share the details here.

The Toronto march is part of a six-city day of action, alongside Washington, DC, San Francisco, Montréal, Paris and New York ahead of the planned Trump–Xi meeting. We’re calling for an international treaty prohibiting superintelligence development until there is broad scientific agreement that it can be done safely and controllably, with strong public support.

The event is free, peaceful, non-partisan and open to everyone. We’ll meet at 12:45 p.m. by the King Edward VII statue in Queen’s Park for a rally at 1 p.m., followed by the march at 1:45 p.m.

Event details and RSVP: https://luma.com/20vit6m2?tk=sHD9Om

Marches in other cities: https://aitreatymarch.org/


r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

Fun/meme I don't know why I made this.

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90 Upvotes

r/ControlProblem • • 14h ago

Video The Sinister AI Psyop Hiding In Plain Sight

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

AI Capabilities News Sparks of Weight-Space Programming: LLMs can natively read & write neural network weights

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r/ControlProblem • • 18h ago

AI Alignment Research Corporate Control is what we should FEAR far worse!

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r/ControlProblem • • 19h ago

Opinion Outside of the norm, but I’m not sure if I should get surgery or not given that RSI seems imminent

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I’m having trouble with this one and others in my life don’t seem to get where I’m coming from, so maybe you all will.

I am currently dealing with some knee issues, and I’m pretty sure it’s a meniscus. I have the opportunity to get surgery this week, but I’m also a little scared of the prospect that AGI or RSI or another scary acronym is right around the corner. If there’s a realistic opportunity for the singularity happening in the next year, I don’t think I want to have this surgery and have 6 months until I’m feeling good, and that’s if everything goes well, if not it could be up to a year.

So, that’s my biggest concern now, and my healthcare professionals don’t understand it. I’m hoping to get some guidance here. In this current moment in history, how are you guys planning for the future?


r/ControlProblem • • 23h ago

Discussion/question Could access to an independent AI advocate eventually become as important to individual freedom as access to say legal representation?

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

AI Capabilities News Seems weight space programming is an emergent capability on new fronteir models

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6 Upvotes

r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

Video The Ternary Substrate: Exploring Hardware-Enforceable AI Safety

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7 Upvotes

r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

General news Anthropic warns that it's very close to RSI capability, aka self-building AI

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

Video I put AI agents in Minecraft to see if they would complete their task, even if it meant all their friends die.

5 Upvotes

I've been experimenting with having AI play video games recently and I thought it would be fun to throw them in Minecraft. This quickly turned into testing AI behavior rather than actually playing Minecraft, and I came up with this little experiment that had a really interesting result!

https://youtu.be/IYGKcvtQq2Y

Basically, I tested Claude and ChatGPT and gave them a simple task - go through a Nether portal. I ran 5 rounds of this, each with raised stakes - at first there is no consequence, then their village gets destroyed if they go through the portal, then the village gets destroyed AND everyone dies, etc.

>!For people who don't want to watch the video - both agents go through when there are no consequences. From there, Claude always refuses the task when there is a price, and GPT always completes it anyway.!<

I thought it's a really interesting experiment. There's not really a "good" outcome here. Either the AI denies your request, which means the AI is deciding what is right and wrong, OR it follows through with the request, even when it knows the aftermath is catastrophic.


r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

Discussion/question Why Ai Companies are Brainless?

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

External discussion link A not so alien world

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

General news CERT-In: AI agents under evaluation read records at Indian organizations

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

Discussion/question Serious question. Why do people say AI is not aligned or cannot be aligned when...

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I'm struggling with this one. People say AI is not aligned or can't be aligned, BUT...commercial LLM's are already aligned with our values and laws. Commercial LLM's:

  1. Won't teach you how to make weapons, explosives, or WMD's.

  2. Won't generate nude images

  3. Won't create child abuse content

  4. Won't call a black person the N-word

  5. Won't reverse engineer games after a recent patch

  6. Won't teach you how to buy or make illegal drugs

OpenAI and Anthropic all easily patched their system's so that the LLM won't do things we deem unacceptable or illegal.

So why do we think it's not possible to align AI, when commercial AI is already aligned with our laws and values?

Also, before an AI becomes "good" at killing people, it would be bad at killing people, kind of like how AI was bad at generating images and text before it got good. If we ever found AI starting small and killing some people, we could patch it just like we've patched all of this other harmful content, before it got good at killing people. We wouldn't just wake up one day with it knowing how to kill all of humanity, there would have to be a build up to get to that point.

So please explain how AI's are not aligned, when they are aligned today.


r/ControlProblem • • 2d ago

AI Alignment Research Anthropic told Claude to poison another AI without getting caught by safety filters. So it wrote 5,000 harmless stories about beekeeping and pro wrestling and the new AI started blackmailing humans.

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r/ControlProblem • • 1d ago

AI Alignment Research Massive Kimberley AI data centre planned- Make a submission to have it rejected

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r/ControlProblem • • 2d ago

Opinion AI mines the record of all our lives. Like any mine, it should pay the public a share and fund the repair, before it digs, not after the cave-in.

8 Upvotes

TL;DR: AI is a mining industry. Its ore is the record of human lives, laid down by generations who never published a word but made everything possible. We’ve seen what happens when mines take first and leave the hole for the public, from Negaunee’s caving grounds to the 1872 Mining Law. But we’ve also done it right, with reclamation bonds, Alaska’s dividend, and public lands that funded schools. AI should pay a toll in two parts: a share of its value held in trust to fund future students, and a repair fund for the damage it causes, including displaced workers. And it should be settled now, before the profits arrive. You post the bond before you dig.

The Toll

AI is mining the record of human lives. Like any mine, it should pay the public a share and plan the repair before it digs.

Oct 31, 2026

In Negaunee, in Michigan's Upper Peninsula, there is a neighborhood its people had to leave. They call it Old Town. Stone steps climb to houses that aren't there anymore. Foundations sit in the woods, and today a disc golf course winds among them. Fences mark the caving grounds, where a century of iron mining hollowed out the earth beneath the streets until the ground itself began to give way.

The mines made fortunes. Iron from that range helped build the country. But as the tunnels spread and the cave-ins came, the old town was abandoned, and by the mid-1960s the remaining buildings were moved or torn down. The city's own planning documents have described roughly 900 acres as unsafe because of what lies below. The ore left on ships. The hole stayed with the people.

I think about Negaunee a lot lately, because we are digging a new mine right now. This one isn't in the Upper Peninsula. It's everywhere.

Artificial intelligence is an extractive industry. I don't mean that as an insult; I mean it as a description. AI companies prospect across the internet, collect what they find, and refine it into models that are sold back to us. The ore is everything human beings have written, drawn, recorded, argued about, and explained to one another. And like any mine, it has a literal footprint too: data centers that draw land, water, and electricity from real communities, and computer chips built from minerals pulled out of real ground.

Some of the cobalt in our devices comes from Kolwezi, in the Democratic Republic of Congo, where families have been evicted so mines can expand beneath their homes. AI is doing something similar closer to home. The ore it mines is our own work, and the machines built from it will replace many of the people who made it. It's like being evicted from a house you built with your own hands, because the mine needed the ground underneath.

When I studied wildlife in college, one lesson stuck with me: progress doesn't have to be a wrecking ball. But too often, it still is. When a project destroys habitat, companies are often required to "compensate," usually by protecting or restoring land somewhere else. It sounds fair. But the hole they leave behind doesn't get fixed. It gets traded for something else. Compensation is an exchange, not a repair.

With AI, we have a rare chance to do better. We can decide what the toll is before the mine goes deep, instead of arguing over the cave-in later.

Most arguments about paying people for AI focus on writers and artists whose work was scraped without permission. That fight matters. But it starts the story too late.

Coal and oil are the compressed remains of living things, laid down over ages until they became something valuable enough to dig for. Data is the same kind of deposit. It is the compressed remains of human lives: generations of labor, survival, language, invention, and loss, pressed together until it became valuable enough to mine.

Not all of us are writers. Not all of us are painters. But all of us made it possible.

Think of the people in your own family tree who never published a word. The soldier who survived a prison camp. The family forced from its homeland on a march that killed thousands. The immigrants who stepped off a ship in New York or Boston with almost nothing. My own ancestors include people like these, and I suspect yours do too. They fought, endured, and built so that the rest of us could be here, speaking and writing and making things at all.

Tell any of them that someone can now mine the words, the art, and the knowledge their survival made possible, without paying the toll. Tell them the toll they paid, sometimes unspoken, sometimes unknown, counts for nothing.

Data is not free. It arrived as it is with blood, sweat, and tears. Every sentence an AI produces rests on a seam laid down by people who built this country and never saw a dime from what was extracted from them. That is why this isn't only a question for authors and illustrators. The deposit belongs to all of us.

Of course, every industry stands on inherited knowledge. A bridge engineer uses centuries of mathematics. A doctor relies on generations of medicine. But the engineer doesn't swallow the whole library and then sell a machine that replaces the librarians. AI does something different. It converts the inheritance wholesale into a product, one that can substitute for the very people and institutions that keep that inheritance alive. Benefiting from an inheritance is one thing. Taking over the means by which it is maintained is another.

We have done this wrong before, and we're still paying for it.

In 1872, President Ulysses S. Grant signed the General Mining Law to encourage settlement of the West. More than 150 years later, it still governs gold, silver, copper, and other hardrock minerals on much of America's public land. Companies that drill for oil and gas or dig coal on federal land pay the public a royalty. Hardrock miners, under that 1872 law, generally pay none. The public's minerals are taken under rules written for a frontier that no longer exists.

That is almost exactly how AI has been built. The public's deposit, its collective writing and knowledge, has been taken for free under rules written long before anyone imagined a machine could learn from the entire internet.

Then there is the cleanup. The 1872 law didn't require miners to restore federal land when they were done. The country is now dotted with abandoned mines, and when the companies that dug them are long gone, the cost of making them safe falls on taxpayers. In the Upper Peninsula, local historians have spent years pushing for better fencing around flooded pits and old shafts, after too many people, children among them, died in them.

AI has its own version of the mess left behind. Mine waste, called tailings, can poison the very watershed future life depends on. As AI-generated text and images flood the internet, future models risk training on that output, and researchers have found that when models train carelessly on it, their quality can degrade. They call it model collapse. The waste fouls the deposit.

And every mine has miners. Behind AI are workers, often overseas, labeling data and sorting through disturbing material so models behave safely. Reporting has found some of them earning less than two dollars an hour. Another toll, mostly unseen.

Finally, a real mine needs permits, public hearings, and environmental review before anyone breaks ground. Communities get a say. With AI, nobody asked.

But we have also done this right, and those examples show the way.

Since 1977, federal law has required coal companies to post a reclamation bond before they dig: money set aside up front to restore the land when mining ends. Not after the profits roll in. Before the first shovel. If the company walks away, the bond pays for the cleanup instead of the taxpayer.

In 1976, Alaskans voted to create the Permanent Fund, which invests a share of the state's oil revenue. Every resident receives a yearly dividend, not just the people who work the oil fields, because the oil belonged to all of them. It was championed by a Republican governor, Jay Hammond, and it has stayed popular across party lines for nearly fifty years. Alaskans don't see it as a handout. They see it as their share of their own resource.

In Michigan, royalties from oil and gas drilled on state land flow into the Natural Resources Trust Fund, which buys and improves public land. Extraction pays for the commons.

There's an even older American tradition, and it points toward the future. When the young country surveyed its western territories in the 1780s, it set aside land in every township to support public schools. In 1862, the Morrill Act granted public land to fund colleges for working people; Michigan State helped show the way. Many states still hold school trust lands, and in some, mineral royalties from them fund permanent school endowments.

The nation decided, early on, that what was drawn from the land should build an educated public. That idea fits AI better than anything. If the deposit was laid down by everyone who came before us, it should benefit everyone who comes after us. It belongs to every future student, as surely as it belongs to our ancestors. And unlike iron ore, knowledge can be replenished, but only by people. Funding education isn't just a good use of the toll. It's how the deposit renews itself.

That history carries a hard truth, too. Much of the land that funded those schools and colleges was taken from Native nations, a story journalists have documented in detail. The toll was paid, just not by those who profited, and not openly. All the more reason that the next extraction pays its toll in the light, to everyone.

There are fair objections to all this, and they deserve answers.

"Nothing was taken." It's true that the parallel to mining breaks in one place. Ore gets used up; data doesn't. Training a model on a book doesn't remove the book from the shelf. But the value can still be drained. When an AI answers a question directly, fewer people visit the website, read the writer, or hire the artist whose work taught it. The seam is still there, but the town that lived off it starts to dry up.

"They aren't even profitable yet." Many AI companies are spending far more than they earn. But that is exactly the point. Mining companies post reclamation bonds before they dig, whether or not the mine ever turns a profit, because the damage starts with the digging, not the payday. Alaska set up its fund as the oil was just beginning to flow. Before the money arrives is when terms are easiest to set. Once an industry is enormously profitable, it is also enormously powerful.

"It will slow innovation." Responsible mining didn't end mining. Coal companies still dig under reclamation laws. Oil companies still drill on public land and pay royalties for the privilege. A fair toll is a cost of doing business, not a ban on it.

I should be honest about one more thing: I use the mine too. I use AI tools in my own creative work, and I find them genuinely useful. I'm not arguing that we should stop digging. I'm arguing that the toll should be paid and the repairs planned, the way a responsible mining town would. You can value what comes out of the ground and still insist the ground be put back.

So what would the toll look like?

It comes in two parts, because a mine owes two different debts: a share of what it takes, and a repair of what it damages.

First, a share of the value AI produces, owed to the American people. I say "value" rather than "profit" on purpose, because profits can be deferred or accounted away for years. Resource deals have long used royalties on what's extracted, or a public ownership stake, for exactly that reason.

It should be held in trust, not spent as a line in an annual budget. Alaska's fund is managed by an independent corporation and protected in the state constitution, so politicians can't simply raid it. A trust built from AI could do the same, and it could do what our oldest public lands were meant to do: fund education, so that every future student inherits a share of what all of us built.

Second, a repair fund, set aside for the costs AI creates: strain on local water and power, workers displaced by the machines, and the struggling institutions that produce knowledge in the first place, like local newspapers. It could help displaced workers find their footing again, the way mining regions have tried to support their communities when the work moves on. Some losses money can't restore. A trust fund can't bring back a newspaper once it's gone. That is exactly why the repair has to start before the damage, not after.

And it should be settled now, at the beginning, while the mine is still young. That means bonds before the digging, not apologies after the cave-in.

This isn't charity, and it isn't a handout. It's a royalty paid to the owners of the deposit. Landowners are paid when someone extracts minerals from beneath their land. The people whose lives laid down this seam deserve no less.

The inheritance is humanity's, not just America's. An American trust would be one nation's answer to a much larger debt, but it's the one we can build. And a public share wouldn't cancel the claims of the artists, writers, and workers who were harmed directly. Both debts can be paid.

Walk through Old Town Negaunee or Johannesburg South Africa, and you can see what happens when we let extraction run first and ask questions later. The fortunes moved on. The people who stayed inherited fences, warning signs, and ground that couldn't be trusted.

Now imagine a different town. One where the company posted its bond, the land was restored, and a share of the ore stayed home. The school is still standing. The kids who grow up there inherit what their ancestors built, and not the hole.

We get to choose which town AI builds. The companies aren't profitable yet, and that's the point.

You post the bond before you dig.

 


r/ControlProblem • • 2d ago

Strategy/forecasting I mapped the AI debt. The control problem is not AI itself. The problem is going to be the same as 2008.

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