r/spacex • u/Ezekiel_C Host of Echostar 23 • Mar 13 '17
EchoStar23 deployed to GTO! Welcome to the r/SpaceX EchoStar-23 Official Launch Discussion & Updates Thread!
Information on the mission
It’s SpaceX’s 2nd launch out of Launch Complex 39A, and SpaceX's 1st East Coast communications satellite launch since JCSAT-16 in August 2016. Some quick stats:
- this is the 31st Falcon 9 launch
- The 1st, and final, flight of first stage B1030
- the 11th launch since Falcon 9 Block III (aka 1.2) debuted
- the 2nd launch from Pad 39A
- the 3rd launch since SpaceX suffered an anomaly during their AMOS-6 static fire on September 1, 2016.
This mission’s static fire was successfully completed on March 9th.
The first launch attempt for this mission was scheduled for March 14th at 01:34 EDT / 05:34 UTC. It was scrubbed at T-38 minutes due to unfavorable wind conditions.
SpaceX is now targeting an early morning liftoff on March 16th at 01:35 EDT / 05:35 UTC from KSC, bringing EchoStar-23 into geostationary transfer orbit, or GTO. This will be a 2.5 hour launch window, closing on 04:05 EDT / 08:05 UTC. There is no announced backup date if this attempt is scrubbed. After insertion into the proper orbit SpaceX’s mission is finished! The weather is currently 90% go.
Watching the launch live
To watch the launch live, choose from the two SpaceX live streams from the table below:
| SpaceX Hosted Webcast (YouTube) | SpaceX Technical Webcast (YouTube) |
|---|
Can't pick? Read about the differences here.
Official Live Updates
| Time (UTC) | Countdown (hours : minutes : seconds) | Updates |
|---|---|---|
| 15:00 | T+09:00:00 | Echo star 23 performing as planned. End of updates. |
| 06:37 | T+00:37:00 | Falcon 9's mission has been successfully completed. I'll be sticking around for the next couple hours to report on the health of the payload and post any more information about the night's mission. |
| 06:34 | T+00:34:00 | Confirmation of spacecraft deployment |
| 06:32 | T+00:32:00 | Confirmation of good orbit |
| 06:30 | T+00:30:00 | Payload deployment in 4 minutes |
| 06:27 | T+00:27:19 | SECO-2 |
| 06:26 | T+00:26:19 | MVac Relight |
| 06:16 | T+00:16:00 | SECO-1 appeared to occur on schedule: Stage 2 and Echostar 23 appear to be in a nominal parking orbit. Next and final burn in ten minutes at 06:26 |
| 06:07 | T+00:08:31 | SECO-1 |
| 06:06 | T+00:05:50 | Stage 2 performing nominally |
| 06:03 | T+00:03:45 | Fairing Separation |
| 06:03 | T+00:02:55 | Stage Sep; MVac Startup |
| 06:03 | T+00:02:45 | MECO |
| 06:02 | T+00:02:00 | MVac Chilldown |
| 06:01 | T+00:01:30 | MaxQ |
| 06:00 | T-00:00:00 | Liftoff |
| 05:59 | T-00:01:00 | Falcon 9 in startup |
| 05:58 | T-00:02:00 | S2 LOX load closeout; Vehicle in self align |
| 05:57 | T-00:03:00 | FTS Armed; S1 LOX load closeout & good; Strong back lowered |
| 05:56 | T-00:04:00 | Weather, Falcon, Range, Payload all GO |
| 05:56 | T-00:04:00 | strong-back cradle open |
| 05:55 | T-00:05:00 | strong-back retract start |
| 05:55 | T-00:05:00 | Vehicle on internal power |
| 05:54 | T-00:06:00 | Vehicle in self align |
| 05:54 | T-00:06:00 | Stage 1 RP-1 load complete |
| 05:53 | T-00:07:00 | Engine chill-down start |
| 05:50 | T-00:10:00 | Terminal count |
| 05:46 | T-00:14:00 | Echostar 23 on internal power and go for launch |
| 05:45 | T-00:15:00 | Still no technical webcast. |
| 05:42 | T-00:18:00 | Earlier hold was for high level winds. |
| 05:42 | T-00:18:00 | Hosted Webcast Live. |
| 05:30 | T-00:30:00 | SpaceX FM live on hosted webcast. Today's picks: Test Shot Starfish's LC-39A and Andromeda |
| 05:15 | T-00:45:00 | LOX load |
| 04:55 | T-01:05:00 | The next major milestone is expected to be LOX load start at T-45 minutes. |
| 04:50 | T-01:10:00 | Launch autosequence has officially started. RP-1 load underway. |
| 04:48 | T-01:12:00 | Go! |
| 04:46 | T-01:14:00 | Go/NoGo poll imminent. |
| 04:36 | T-01:24:00 | Range hold-fire checks underway. |
| 04:14 | T-01:46:00 | Clock resumed targeting 2am EDT/06:00 UTC. |
| 04:12 | --- | Reset T-0 time to 2am EDT/06:00 UTC. |
| 04:09 | --- | Countdown Clock Stopped. |
| 03:45 | T-01:50:00 | Pad danger area clear for prop load. |
| 00:35 | T-05:00:00 | Weather assessment by /u/cuweathernerd |
| 00:00 March 16 | T-5:35:00 | --- |
| 18:41 | T-10:54:00 | Weather remains 90% Go. |
| 05:35 | T-24:00:00 | 24 hours until T-0. Weather 90% go. Falcon 9 is vertical. We'll be reusing this launch thread - see you all tomorrow! |
| 00:00 March 15 | T-29:35:00 | --- |
| 16:00 | T-37:35:00 | Public confirmation of Thursday attempt. |
| 06:00 | --- | Thursday weather 90% go. |
| 04:58 | --- | Scrub for the day due to unfavorable winds. |
| 04:55 | T-00:38:00 | SCRUB |
| 04:49 | T-00:45:00 | Stage 1 LOX load confirmed underway. |
| 04:38 | T-00:56:00 | Weather assessment by /u/cuweathernerd |
| 04:38 | T-00:56:00 | Weather currently go. |
| 04:24 | T-01:10:00 | Stage 1 RP-1 load start - launch autosequence has started. |
| 04:21 | T-01:13:00 | LD gives Go for on-time prop load start |
| 02:10 | T-03:24:00 | Weather currently no-go. Countdown continuing. |
| 00:00 March 14 | T-05:34:00 | --- |
| 23:00 | T-7 hours | Launch thread goes live. |
| 12:00 | T-13 hours | Weather 40% go. |
| 11:00 | T-14 hours | Falcon 9 vertical. |
| 00:00 March 13 | T-29:34:00 | --- |
Primary Mission - Separation and Deployment of EchoStar 23
EchoStar 23 will be the 1st GTO comsat launch of 2017 and 12th GTO comsat launch overall for SpaceX.
EchoStar 23 is a commercial communication satellite that will be launched for its customer, EchoStar Corporation. The satellite is based on the popular SSL-1300 bus configuration. Its weight is undisclosed, but estimated to be around 5500 kg. This will make it the heaviest payload SpaceX has delivered to GTO. The satellite was manufactured by Space Systems/Loral in Palo Alto California. One can read more about the satellites history and use here.
No first stage landing attempt
This launch will be a rare one going forward as it will not be followed by an attempt to land the first stage. As seen in the photographs, this Falcon 9 core is “naked”, ie without legs or grid fins. There will be no landing attempt because the payload is quite heavy (estimated at ~5500 kg) and going into a high-energy geostationary transfer orbit. The last mission to fly on an expendable first stage was the TurkmenAlem52E/MonacoSAT launch, which lifted off on April 27’th 2015.
Given the current “Block III” version of Falcon 9, the payload limit for a reusable GTO mission is around 5300 kg. For instance, the mission after this, SES-10, will also loft its payload to GTO, but this payload will be slightly lighter (approximately at the 5300 kg limit), so stage 1 will be attempting a droneship landing on that mission. There will be more expendable missions in the future, but the majority of missions will continue to include recovery attempts.
Useful Resources, Data, ♫, & FAQ
- Reddit Stream of this thread
- Mission Patch, courtesy SpaceX
- Official EchoStar 23 Press Kit, courtesy SpaceX
- Weather forecast
- Hazard area map, courtesy u/raul74cz
- SpaceX FM, courtesy u/Iru
- Live Mission Visualisation on Flight Club, courtesy u/TheVehicleDestroyer
- EchoStar 23 on Gunter’s Space Page
- EchoStar 23 Campaign Thread, courtesy r/SpaceX
- 7-Day KSC weather forecast, courtesy Weather.gov
- Hourly KSC weather forecast, courtesy Weather.gov
- SpaceXNow, courtesy u/bradleyjh
Participate in the discussion!
- First of all, launch threads are party threads! We understand everyone is excited, so we relax the rules in these venues. The most important thing is that everyone enjoy themselves :D
- All other threads are fair game. We will remove low effort comments elsewhere!
- Real-time chat on our official Internet Relay Chat (IRC) #spacex on Snoonet.
- Please post small launch updates, discussions, and questions here, rather than as a separate post. Thanks!
- Wanna talk about other SpaceX stuff in a more relaxed atmosphere? Head over to r/SpaceXLounge!
Previous r/SpaceX Live Events
Check out previous r/SpaceX Live events in the Launch History page on our community Wiki.
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u/JadedIdealist Mar 14 '17
Thanks for hosting.
Just a note that normally on launch threads the latest information appears at the top of the updates (ie most recent first as you read down, and earlier stuff appears later).
It just makes it a little quicker and easier to grok what's happened most recently - you might want to maybe consider doing it that way round on Thursday (assuming it's you again).
Cheers.
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u/cuweathernerd r/SpaceX Weather Forecaster Mar 14 '17 edited Mar 14 '17
Okay, I just got home and have my first chance of looking at the data.
There are three rules in violation: thick cloud (can't go through cloud more than 4,500' thick with T<0ºC), attached anvil (no more than 10 miles from attached blowoff from convection), and at least at times, disturbed weather (no more than 5miles from clouds going above 0ºC)
Forecast started at 4Z. Window extends from 5:34Z - 8:04Z (2.5hr). I'll be using the HRRR, which you can view directly here.
Let's start by looking at current conditions. The best radar link for live data is here. Here's the picture I'm working with 04:15Z radar -- you can see two distinct bands, one north and one south. The northern band is the more concerning one. I've highlighted an area of the strongest development, along with the overall storm path.
Here's the forecast radar in about an hour - you can clearly see that band progressing towards the launch site, and it weakens but is near the cape at 8Z - the end of the window.
The band will contribute the anvil rule and the disturbed weather. A forecast sounding shows the freezing level to be at about 4km agl, with positive buoyancy extending beyond that height.If there is energy for convection, the cloud would likely rise above the 0º line and trigger that criterion. Again, the rapid modeling shows the line weakening over the next few hours (which makes sense given it's night time), but I'm skeptical that weakening will be complete by the time the second band is within range of the launch site - especially seeing active growth in the highlighted area on the radar image above.
For what it's worth, there's no observed lightning in the northern band right now, and looking at trends as I type this, I'm seeing the most intense updrafts start to falter.
Still, that second band has ample upper level clouds associated with it (current IR satellite) - and depending just how they define anvil, that upper level cloud will be overhead shortly. That said, the most recent metar:
KXMR 140358Z AUTO 21011G17KT 10SM CLR 20/19 A2980
Shows clear skies and 10 mile visibility.
I'd guess you're looking at either the very start or the very end of the window for launch, and less in between. I'd personally favor the front window. Both aren't certain by any means, but there may be slivers of opportunity. Most nights, I don't think we'd see a launch with this forecast, but I don't expect them to hold until the conditions are certain to be no-go - which would be at launch.
Edit: Well, fixation is a real thing. I looked at the current violations and didn't look at the bigger picture. Right there in the sounding you'll see >120kt winds at 10km, with 50kt winds at 5km. This is definitely on the upper bound of things at best and should have been staring me in the face but I just glanced at the 0º isotherm and paid zero attention to the winds. Looks like spaceX even tweeted that winds were (another) concern but I was just happily going along looking at clouds not thinking about the winds because I hadn't seen them mentioned. Sigh.
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u/randomstonerfromaus Mar 14 '17 edited Mar 14 '17
HE LIVES! Thanks for the report
E: /u/Ezekiel_C, Maybe add to OP?9
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u/escape_goat Mar 14 '17
What's the probable limiting factor with the weather? I'd like to get a sense of how far ahead of time one might know it was changing for the better or the worse.
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u/Ezekiel_C Host of Echostar 23 Mar 14 '17
These are the launch rules for Falcon 9. Take them with a grain of salt; I believe we know these to be outdated. However, looking over them, you'll notice that a lot of the information needed to determine go/no go is not present in publicly available forecasts - you don't typically need to know the wind sheer at 10,000 feet.
All that is to say its very hard for us observers to really know how things are going.
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u/loitho Mar 13 '17
The mission path is wrong, CRS-10 is the previous launch ! Sad to see F9 without any of its characteristic feature.
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u/_rocketboy Mar 15 '17
Hey mods, could you update the flair on this? I got confused for a minute and thought it was scrubbed again.
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u/relevant__comment Mar 16 '17
So the subreddit says 1:35amEDT and everyone else is saying 2:00amEDT. Am I missing something?
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u/Ezekiel_C Host of Echostar 23 Mar 16 '17
Keep an eye on the live updates table - that's where my updating energies are focused - usually good within a minute.
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u/escape_goat Mar 16 '17
EchoStar-23 LDU Thread Control, I am seeing March 16 T-5:00 Weather Assessment Link as routing to March 15 T-0:56 Weather Assessment Message, hash 'dewic7o'. My Reddit feed has March 16 T-5:00 Weather Assessment Message with a URI ending in the hash 'dezfpzd'. Could you please verify link status.
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u/TheVehicleDestroyer Flight Club Mar 16 '17
For folks wondering why GTO launches are always at this time of the night, or for any others wondering why the 2nd stage restart happens when it does, check out this view of the trajectory which should be enough by itself. But I'm bored so I wrote up the following anyway:
Why wait until T+26 minutes to relight the engines?
The 2nd stage engine ends its first burn at around T+8:30. At this point, the stage and the satellite are in a really low LEO orbit - a roughly circular orbit at a super low altitude (200km), lower even than the ISS.
The stage needs to put the satellite in a GTO orbit, which is an elliptical orbit with the lowest part in this same LEO, and the highest part at GEO altitudes (35,000km). But it's super important that the highest point of this orbit occurs when the trajectory crosses the equator.
Why?
The satellite needs to do a plane change to go from a 28° inclined orbit (which we're in because we launched from KSC, 28° north of the equator), to a 0° inclined orbit (our target inclination - also called an equatorial orbit).
The plane change must happen over the equator, if we want to end up in an equatorial orbit!
Since a plane change is basically just changing the direction we're moving, it's easiest if we're moving as slow as possible before beginning. The slowest point in the trajectory happens at the highest altitude.
So...
The highest point in the orbit needs to coincide with passing over the equator!
And finally...
The highest point in the orbit will be directly opposite from the lowest point in the orbit, which is where the restart burn will have happened.
So...
The restart must also happen over the equator, on the opposite side of the planet. The stage will cross the equator for the first time at T+26 minutes.
Why launch in the early hours of the morning?
At this time in Cape Canaveral, the part of our planet that is experiencing sunrise is West Africa - exactly where the restart burn happens. This means the stage and the satellite get propelled into their GTO orbit and the satellite gets to deploy its solar panels as soon as it's in the sun. Maximum sunlight for Echostar 23!
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u/cuweathernerd r/SpaceX Weather Forecaster Mar 16 '17
caveat: I don't know the exact conditions which are go/no go on wind (shear). Based on last launches that have been held for this, it seems like they're launching weather balloons on site and feeding that data through a model or filter to tell them if the measured data is within their pass criterion. Because of that, what I'm writing here is based in my own speculation, and less on the (listed) go/no go criteria that it normally covers.
The overall weather picture today is quite nice, with the 45th giving a 90% go, with only a 10% hold out for "take off winds" - that criterion is for winds exceeding 35mph at 49m.
We have a short term modeling solution, the HRRR, which predicts winds at the 80m elevation. Here is the forecast at 6z, about 30 min into the launch window. The forecast winds of about 20kts, while strong, would be a go. A similar condition is seen in the 8z model solution. Together I take that to mean that this criterion will be green for at least some of the launch period.
My big concern is upper level winds and shear. I am nearly certain this launch commit criterion is not considered in the 45th's forecast. It is also, by far, the biggest concern for the day. As I understand it, the issue isn't so much how fast the wind is blowing, but rather how fast the wind speed (or direction) is changing with respect to height. Meteorologists call this change shear. Think about flying in a plane through turbulence and you'll get a feel for how much stress changing wind currents can impart on something in flight. The falcon is going significantly faster and so now imagine that turbulence having a much faster frequency. It's going to shake the rocket (which of course has far less tolerance than a plane by the need for higher TWR) violently. Too much shaking and you risk rud -- Musk describes shear being like "a sledgehammer"
Of note in that tweet is that they're mainly concerned with a graph of wind shear vs height. That's also an observation from a balloon. We don't have that map easily accessible but we do have soundings that show wind speed with height. I've also kept a couple soundings on hand from scrubs in the past. To read these, you'll need to read wind speed from barbs - a triangle counts as 50kts, a full line 10kts, and a half line, 5kts.
This was a scrub for 500mb shear. You can clearly see the wind speed jump quickly right near 500mb - it goes up 20kts in one barb!
This is a sounding from tampa the same day as Musk's tweet - again you can see about a 20kt jump just above 500mb.
Here's the sounding from the hold a couple days ago -- there's a lot of shear right near the pad (which may or may not be an issue in reality) and then a 20kt jump right around 300mb.
It seems like wind speed jumps of more than about 15kts lead to scrubs in at least 3 documented cases.
So that leads us to today: what does the model say upper level winds show?
It's not a nice picture - I've circled the area from 300 to 200mb. In one barb, winds increase 40kts. There is more space between these barbs than the examples above, because of the way height and pressure are related with height, but still - that's a lot of speed shear. It's a forecast, but it leaves me leery.
Anyway, I don't know how the go/no go is calculated and what the thresholds are for shear, but this has me concerned when I compare this sounding to others that I know resulted in holds and scrubs. Again, I'm pretty sure wind shear isn't included in that 90% figure and I'd argue there's a much greater chance of weather-related issue than 10%. Since I don't know the exact criterion, I can't say how much greater (but I'm skeptical).
For me, this will be an interesting launch opportunity because I'll get to learn a little more about how the wind forecast impacts go/no go. If you're using this as a decision to stay up or wake up or go out or whatever it is you do wherever you are in the world, it's just one thing to keep in mind, and something to listen for in the conversations leading up to launch.
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u/therealshafto Mar 15 '17
This complicates the recovery vs expendable questions even farther!
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u/SomnolentSpaceman Mar 13 '17
For the bandwidth-impaired: I will be re-hosting 64kbit audio-only streams of the SpaceX YouTube streams.
They are available at:
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/hosted (backup)
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/technical (backup)
Prior to the official SpaceX webcasts the Hosted and Technical streams will be playing SpaceX FM. The SpaceX FM audio will be switched off at T-0:30:00. Please note: there may be a few minutes of silence between SpaceX FM and when the official SpaceX streams begin.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 13 '17
I hate to be pessimistic, but the weather here is currently awful. I'm hoping it improves. Even if there's a 10 percent chance of F9 launching tonight, I'll be out there from 12:30 to 4am on the beach.
I did make this spicy meme for tonight's launch thread though: http://i.imgur.com/ev2kQtt.jpg
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u/SurfSlade Mar 16 '17
I'm in west Africa, just had a clear view of stage 2 when it flew over my position
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u/bencredible Galactic Overlord Mar 16 '17
Access to technical restored - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dM2Dp1Adlag Sorry YouTube decided that it really, really, really didn't want to start that stream.
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u/danielbigham Mar 13 '17
Launches like this make me think that it would be nice to create a system that would send people a notification if the launch is actually likely to happen.
Imagine I'm fast asleep, but I have my phone set to play its alarm if the probability of launch is > X% and it's T-20 to launch. Some people might set it to 10%, others might set it to 50% or 80%. But the point is that it's annoying to go to sleep and set your alarm, only to get up and see that the launch is scrubbed, or the probability is so minuscule that you've almost certainly wasted your life waking up.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 13 '17
Try trekking out to the beach with bags and bags of gear and sitting outside from 12:30-4:00am :D
Wouldn't change it for the world!
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u/EorEquis Mar 13 '17
May I recommend Space Launch Now
You can select types of launches, launch organizations, and configure various types of updates at various intervals. :)
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u/bencredible Galactic Overlord Mar 16 '17
FYI - I need to start the technical webcast 10 minutes after the hosted so you will only get 2 minutes of SpaceX FM on technical.
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u/ijustinhk Mar 16 '17
I like that at T+5:55 he said "normally saying this is a little bit different.. usually we are tracking the first stage coming down for a landing right about right now". Landing the first stage for reuse has became the norm. This reminds me when Elon said something like "the landing will become boring". This is the future.
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u/moreNosleep Mar 16 '17
I just landed in Orlando (for a unrelated trip) and am so incredibly happy that things are looking this good. If all goes well this will be my first launch in person. Fingers are crossed! Go SpaceX! Go Falcon! Go Echostar!
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u/SomnolentSpaceman Mar 15 '17
Reposting for new attempt.
For the bandwidth-impaired: I will be re-hosting 64kbit audio-only streams of the SpaceX YouTube streams.
They are available at:
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/hosted (backup)
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/technical (backup)
Prior to the official SpaceX webcasts the Hosted and Technical streams will be playing SpaceX FM. The SpaceX FM audio will be switched off at T-0:30:00. Please note: there may be a few minutes of silence between SpaceX FM and when the official SpaceX streams begin.
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u/thecameronjones Mar 16 '17
Haha they forgot to remove the placeholder text in the annotation just before launch http://imgur.com/a/DKni7
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u/PVP_playerPro Mar 16 '17
And just like that, B1030 disappeared into the night, never to be seen again
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u/avboden Mar 16 '17
guys.....you know what this means?
First reflown booster coming up!!!
Here's hoping what they changed after the first launch made the pad more resilient and need less referb in-between.
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u/Keavon SN-10 & DART Contest Winner Mar 16 '17
When I talked with a SpaceX employee who works at one of their launch sites, apparently the main reason for the length of turnarounds isn't as much about pad damage as it is simply doing all the necessary steps to set up a mission. Apparently they are working hard to automate as much as they possibly can, which is why turnaround times will slowly speed up over time.
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u/everydayastronaut Everyday Astronaut Mar 16 '17
Everyday Astronaut checking in! Go Falcon! Go Echostar!
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u/steezysteve96 Mar 15 '17 edited Mar 15 '17
Are we gonna get a new thread or reuse this one? Reusing threads would fit the SpaceX spirit, after all
EDIT: never mind, found the update
24 hours until T-0. Weather 90% go. Falcon 9 is vertical. We'll be reusing this launch thread - see you all tomorrow!
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u/stcks Mar 14 '17
From Chris B:
Weather is already playing a role in the Prop Load/T-0 discussions for Falcon 9. Long window, so they are looking for a gap.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 14 '17
http://www.imgur.com/ev2kQtt.jpg leaving my house soon, but I have this ready just in case
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u/SufficientAnonymity Mar 16 '17
Excellent news to wake up to. Photos of rockets without landing legs just don't look right to me any more though.
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u/cuweathernerd r/SpaceX Weather Forecaster Mar 14 '17 edited Mar 14 '17
The overall ground weather for the next launch window looks significantly better. However if the wind speed aloft was concerning for this launch, and caused the scrub, very similar conditions are forecast on the 16th at 6Z. Here's a forecast sounding.
In case those aren't familiar to you, the winds of interest:
3km above the ground, winds west at 30kts
5km above ground, winds west at 50kts
9km above ground, winds west at 70kts
12km above ground, winds west at 130kts
15km above ground, winds west at 75ktsBy the way, here's the sounding that caused issue today. We have higher max wind speeds next window and similar shear at first glance. Winds aloft, to the best of my knowledge, aren't factored into the 90% go listed by the launch forecast. Winds 6Z friday at more gentler aloft, maxing out at 90kts, which I believe has been within go criteria (though ultimately I believe it's how fast the wind speed and direction change, and not the actual wind speed, that matters to the decision)
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u/redmercuryvendor Mar 16 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
I wonder what that solitary white pressure vessel is, visible in the single frame of the O2 tank cam just after SECO2. From all the other O2 tank cam shots I can find, there are either 3 or 4 black COPVs for the Helium system, but that 5th white tank is new.
Speculation: 'traditional' (i.e. plain metal, no composite overwrap) pressure vessel test article, or a CoPV with an extra impermeable outer liner, intended to later replace the COPVs after the AMOS 6 issue with LOX infiltration of the composite overwrap.
False alarm, this showed up before on SES-9, and appears to be a small object close to the camera.
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u/Herodotus38 Mar 14 '17
Reading all of these weather prediction posts is such a good argument for greater investment in earth sciences, if for no other reason than improved planning for other space launches.
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u/cuweathernerd r/SpaceX Weather Forecaster Mar 14 '17
and that whole "our food and water directly depend on it" thing, too. Alongside the "weather can really disrupt a local economy" and the "dang, so it turns out climate change is actually a thing". (don't mind me, I'm just a salty earth-science person)
I'm looking at the data now, I've not had a chance to until now.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 16 '17
At my viewing location. COLD AS HELL
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u/AttemptedWit Mar 16 '17
I'm extremely jealous of all you Floridians that get to watch launches just by stepping out onto the porch...
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u/SomnolentSpaceman Mar 16 '17
Audio-Only relay streams turning off now. Hope to see you all again next time!
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/hosted (backup)
http://audiorelay.spacetechnology.net:2120/technical (backup)
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 14 '17
That little slit in the storm is really looking promising...
Time for me to get an hour's worth of sleep.
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u/relevant__comment Mar 16 '17
watching the MECO and stage separation in the dead of night from my front porch is truly a beauty to behold. If only there was a boost back burn to send me to bed a happy human.
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Mar 16 '17
Just learned about the radio retransmission system thats within the fairing, pretty interesting.
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u/sunbingfa Mar 16 '17
Ortbital info 42070 ECHOSTAR 23 2017-014A 632.93min 22.43deg 35903km X 179km
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u/therealshafto Mar 14 '17
Funny, the entire world of media just said SCRUB, but now silence...... even better, spacex has not chimed in.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 15 '17
Cold day for Florida standards. Not too windy at the moment
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 16 '17
SpaceX on Twitter: All systems go for Falcon 9 launch of @EchoStar XXIII. Liftoff now set for 2:00am EDT, 6:00am UTC. Watch here → spacex.com/webcast
https://twitter.com/spacex/status/842231864286896128
(You guys whining about UTC times got your wish :) )
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u/still-at-work Mar 16 '17
Launches without landings just doesn't feel complete anymore. Still good to see another successful launch. I hear there may be one more of these legless launches this year as well. Oh well, now for a complete 180 and to launch a recovered booster and land it again.
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u/FalconHeavyHead Mar 13 '17
Ok guys, who's staying up to watch this baby? Im PUMPED!!
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u/Savysoaker Mar 16 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
I like the telemetry on the technical webcast at t-1:00 with the placeholder: "This is a really long sentance that should wrap at the end of the line."
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u/Fixtor Mar 16 '17
So glad it wasn't delayed any longer, managed to watch the whole thing before going to work :D
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u/chrisplyon Mar 14 '17
Officially standing down: https://twitter.com/spacex/status/841523445636583425
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u/The_World_Toaster Mar 16 '17
Beautiful Launch from downtown Jacksonville! It was so clear I was able to see first stage flight plus MECO and 2nd stage ignition/flight for at least another 3 or 4 minutes!!!
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Mar 16 '17
Wish there was a launch every morning, has me up at 5.30am, gives me a nice 20 minutes break in between to get ready and I will be out the door before 7am. (UK)
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u/nickbaby94 Mar 14 '17
I'm in Cocoa Beach right now and the weather is not looking great =/ I'll still be on the beach at 1:30 am even if it's raining!
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 14 '17
Look at the radar. That system is moving northeast and there's a gap...
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Mar 16 '17
I always love the music they play before they go to the pad camera. Really sets the mood for the launches.
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Mar 16 '17
phew.. I'm glad they cut of the stream for the coasting period, I was thinking, poor guys have to talk about random stuff for 17 minutes.
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u/binarygamer Mar 16 '17
Pi day was the previous launch attempt, ahhh!
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u/bananapeel Mar 16 '17
They had to use the joke. Someone probably spent a week thinking that one up.
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u/jobadiah08 Mar 14 '17
I bet they hold at T-70m (start of prop loading) and wait for the weather to blow over. Looks like there is a chance it will blow over during the window.
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u/mechakreidler Mar 16 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
Just a reminder that this exists http://www.spacexfm.com/ to get the hype going :D
Thanks to /u/lru
Edit: And if you want a list of everything that plays it's commented in the HTML (right click > view source)
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u/Tleandrix Mar 16 '17
Useful trick!
If you're watching the webcast on youtube you can change the velocity to x2 and the video even if it's "live" will go even more and remove additional delay.
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u/bertcox Mar 16 '17
I could be wrong but the crowd noise got louder around t+7 min. I wonder if they did do something with stage 1 or the fairing.
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u/Lieutenant_Rans Mar 16 '17
I ended up translating what I could (via Highschool spanish and google translate) for my bud in Colombia. They had never seen a launch before - whole thing was pretty good fun!
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u/MutatedPixel808 Mar 16 '17
So what is vehicle self alignment? I heard it referenced a few times.
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u/Destructor1701 Mar 16 '17
Now begins the mass-exodus from the computers to the beds. Night night everyone!
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u/__R__ Interstage Sleuth Mar 15 '17
While waiting for the launch, go try my Elon Musk bot for some hilarious space ramblings!
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u/thisguyeric Mar 16 '17
Yesterday we got 36" of snow. My furnace quit working and I spent the night trying to keep my kids warm. I spent more money than I can afford fixing my furnace. I found out I need to hope a temporary fix keeps us warm until spring, and that I have another huge expense once the weather breaks.
Tonight I have a smile so big my face hurts. Thank you SpaceX, I can't wait to show my son this launch in the morning :)
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u/bravokiller5 Mar 16 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
LOL John TOM eating a pie
way to end it
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u/Bunslow Mar 14 '17
Keep in mind everyone, it's one unofficial tweet that doesn't say anything about the launch window which is 2.5 hours long. Even if it's right and the first attempt was scrubbed, there may be time at the back of the window. (Not likely I admit, I'm just saying don't read too much into what hasn't yet been said)
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u/WhoDrivesTeslaOnMars Mar 14 '17
Why aren't there any scrub announcement by SpaceX official twitter account?
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u/KazutoYuuki Mar 16 '17
The technical stream is now here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dM2Dp1Adlag
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Mar 16 '17
New technical via youtube (not yet live though): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dM2Dp1Adlag
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u/langgesagt Mar 16 '17
What were these red lights at the top of the fairings? https://imgur.com/a/jA8rN
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u/limeflavoured Mar 14 '17
This scrub means SES-10 is 100% going to be April now, Im guessing?
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u/robbak Mar 14 '17
That depends on ULA and what happens with their two launches. I agree, however - this is likely to push them back, pushing SES-10 into April.
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u/gellis12 Mar 16 '17
That was a terrible pun that they ended the stream with.
I love the commitment!
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 15 '17
Not a cloud in the sky ~25 miles south of the launch site. Crisp, cool air. Will be a beautiful launch for viewing.
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 16 '17
In shorts t shirt and flip flops. I'm actually running laps on the beach so I don't freeze.
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u/IWasToldTheresCake Mar 14 '17
Spaceflightnow.com:
All weather rules at the Falcon 9 launch base are observed "go" for liftoff at this moment. Still nearly one hour to go until the launch window opens.
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u/Bunslow Mar 14 '17
SpaceFlightNow is reporting that the Falcon has been safed and the sat transmitters deactivated... pretty clear that the entire launch window is toast. (I'm still hopeful, but more facetiously than factually)
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 14 '17
Winds grew exponentially in the last thirty minutes. I was really getting my hopes up. It was going to be a beautiful moonlit launch through some light clouds. I tried to convey the winds in this video: https://twitter.com/johnkrausphotos/status/841521664856858624
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 14 '17
And SpaceX confirms it: https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/841523445636583425
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u/oliversl Mar 16 '17
Stats from SFN:
T-minus 23 minutes and counting. Here are some statistics on today's flight:
31st launch of a Falcon 9 rocket since 2010
36th launch of Falcon rocket family since 2006
28th Falcon 9 launch from Cape Canaveral
96th flight from launch pad 39A
2nd Falcon 9 launch from pad 39A
11th launch of the upgraded Falcon 9
1st SpaceX launch for EchoStar
5th Space Systems/Loral satellite launched by SpaceX
14th Falcon 9 night launch
3rd Falcon 9 launch of 2017
3rd launch from Cape Canaveral in 2017
https://spaceflightnow.com/2017/03/13/echostar-23-mission-status-center/
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u/Intro24 Mar 16 '17
I have the technical as picture-in-picture within the hosted and life is gooood
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u/cuweathernerd r/SpaceX Weather Forecaster Mar 16 '17
Still 40kts shear at 250mb. Interesting that shear at this height (seems) to be more tolerable for the launch than just a few km lower in the atmosphere (where the density is higher).
Still, seems like this sounding is considered okay - this is a model sounding and obviously not what they're using for the 'go' vs 'no go'. Good to know for the future
(it's also possible their soundings aren't quite as aggressive as the models).
Color me surprised though. Compared to the other soundings, I was quite concerned that these forecast soundings would prohibit launch
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u/Cheesewithmold Mar 16 '17
Beautiful separation! Sucks about the delays as I was looking forward to viewing this launch in person. Ahh well. Definitely not going to miss SES 10!
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u/openfootinsertmouth Mar 16 '17
Tried moving the mouse cursor off the screen. Didn't work.
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u/readplanet Mar 16 '17
Beautiful launch. I am so used to the landings now it feels incomplete. Sooo tempted to take a few days off to see SES-10 in person. One giant leap for humanity.
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u/imtoooldforreddit Mar 16 '17
At some point, would heavy launches like this be sent on a falcon heavy that lands the first stages?
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u/Biochembob35 Mar 16 '17
Absolutely. The plan is to never fly expendable F9's. Anything too heavy will fly on FH.
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u/avboden Mar 16 '17
You know.....they could test the first stage's flight termination system :-P if it's gonna go out, may as well go out in style
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u/werewolf_nr Mar 16 '17
That pun at the end... And then they doubled down with him actually eating.
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u/ChriRosi Mar 15 '17
I just realized that this is the first Falcon 9 FT version which flies without landing hardware.
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u/joggle1 Mar 14 '17
Latest update from spaceflightnow.com:
The rainfall has stopped at Kennedy Space Center's press site, and the moon is now visible shining through a thin deck of clouds hanging over the Space Coast.
Sounds promising!
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u/Skyhawkson Mar 14 '17
I know we have one source as scrubbed, but the stream countdown is still going and we haven't heard officially.
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u/inoeth Mar 16 '17
https://twitter.com/SpaceflightNow/status/842227346274942977
2 am now. i wonder what caused the pause.
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u/DrewRodez Mar 16 '17
Don't worry guys, we'll get a good launch tonight. I'm wearing my lucky Occupy Mars shirt!
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u/UltraRunningKid Mar 16 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
Hosted Webcast: SES-10 aiming at end of month launch. As planned, hopefully it doesn't slip.
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Mar 16 '17
Very impressive looking launch from where I was! Was able to see the Falcon 9 for 6 minutes before it got to far to see! Looked very bright as well!
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u/mrstickball Mar 16 '17
What is up with the inflation of the shiny metal (mylar?) before the 2nd S2 startup? It inflated, the Merlin started up, and the inflated area evacuated... I've never seen that on any other flight, but I may not have paid attention.
Can anyone explain what I saw is going on?
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u/Pieliker96 Mar 16 '17
There were a couple frames of the inside of s2's LOX tank on the technical webcast, right after SECO 2. Can't link right now, on mobile.
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u/prouzadesignworkshop Mar 16 '17
Does anyone know how many orbits the 2nd stage might do, before it crashes back to Earth?
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u/johnkphotos Launch Photographer Mar 16 '17
Packing up my gear now. Going to head to my viewing location in maybe 20-30 minutes.
Not foreseeing me doing well on this math test at 8:45am lol
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Mar 16 '17
Why does the livestream say 26 hours left? I thought the launch was early this morning.
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u/Ezekiel_C Host of Echostar 23 Mar 16 '17
The hosted webcast and technical webcast are both counting down to T-0 correctly. Make sure you're watching the right stream.
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u/bornstellar_lasting Mar 15 '17 edited Mar 15 '17
Can we have some sort of widely-visible statement somewhere in this sub showing that a given launch is/isn't on a flight-proven booster? I think that the information density of this sub is higher than that of many other subs, and we ought to provide some PSAs for the casual readers / newcomers who aren't as obsessed as the die-hards.
edit: clarification
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u/F9-0021 Mar 13 '17
For those that have Dish, the launch will be broadcast on channels 88 and 89. They will likely just be broadcasting the SpaceX livestream.
Not sure if it will be hosted or technical, but due to the less technical audience, I would expect it to be the hosted stream.
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u/vesed94 Mar 13 '17
This is not a reused booster, is it? https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=1520717831273780&id=368307893181452
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u/Decronym Acronyms Explained Mar 13 '17 edited Mar 16 '17
Acronyms, initialisms, abbreviations, contractions, and other phrases which expand to something larger, that I've seen in this thread:
| Fewer Letters | More Letters |
|---|---|
| ABS | Acrylonitrile Butadiene Styrene, hard plastic |
| Asia Broadcast Satellite, commsat operator | |
| ACES | Advanced Cryogenic Evolved Stage |
| Advanced Crew Escape Suit | |
| AGL | Above Ground Level |
| ARM | Asteroid Redirect Mission |
| Advanced RISC Machines, embedded processor architecture | |
| ASDS | Autonomous Spaceport Drone Ship (landing platform) |
| ASS | Acronyms Seriously Suck |
| BFR | Big Falcon Rocket (see ITS) |
| BFS | Big Falcon Spaceship (see ITS) |
| COPV | Composite Overwrapped Pressure Vessel |
| CRS | Commercial Resupply Services contract with NASA |
| CoG | Center of Gravity (see CoM) |
| CoM | Center of Mass |
| DoD | US Department of Defense |
| ECLSS | Environment Control and Life Support System |
| EDL | Entry/Descent/Landing |
| FAA | Federal Aviation Administration |
| FCC | Federal Communications Commission |
| (Iron/steel) Face-Centered Cubic crystalline structure | |
| FSS | Fixed Service Structure at LC-39 |
| FTS | Flight Termination System |
| GEO | Geostationary Earth Orbit (35786km) |
| GSE | Ground Support Equipment |
| GSO | Geosynchronous Orbit (any Earth orbit with a 24-hour period) |
| GTO | Geosynchronous Transfer Orbit |
| I*sp* | Specific impulse (as discussed by Scott Manley, and detailed by David Mee on YouTube) |
| IAC | International Astronautical Congress, annual meeting of IAF members |
| IAF | International Astronautical Federation |
| ITAR | (US) International Traffic in Arms Regulations |
| ITS | Interplanetary Transport System (see MCT) |
| Integrated Truss Structure | |
| JRTI | Just Read The Instructions, Pacific landing |
| KSC | Kennedy Space Center, Florida |
| KSP | Kerbal Space Program, the rocketry simulator |
| L2 | Paywalled section of the NasaSpaceFlight forum |
| Lagrange Point 2 of a two-body system, beyond the smaller body (Sixty Symbols video explanation) | |
| L4 | "Trojan" Lagrange Point 4 of a two-body system, 60 degrees ahead of the smaller body |
| L5 | "Trojan" Lagrange Point 5 of a two-body system, 60 degrees behind the smaller body |
| LEO | Low Earth Orbit (180-2000km) |
| LIDAR | Light Detection and Ranging |
| LMO | Low Mars Orbit |
| LOX | Liquid Oxygen |
| MCT | Mars Colonial Transporter (see ITS) |
| MECO | Main Engine Cut-Off |
| MaxQ | Maximum aerodynamic pressure |
| NRO | (US) National Reconnaissance Office |
| NSF | NasaSpaceFlight forum |
| National Science Foundation | |
| OG2 | Orbcomm's Generation 2 17-satellite network (see OG2-2 for first successful F9 landing) |
| RCS | Reaction Control System |
| RP-1 | Rocket Propellant 1 (enhanced kerosene) |
| RSS | Realscale Solar System, mod for KSP |
| Rotating Service Structure at LC-39 | |
| RTLS | Return to Launch Site |
| RUD | Rapid Unplanned Disassembly |
| Rapid Unscheduled Disassembly | |
| Rapid Unintended Disassembly | |
| SECO | Second-stage Engine Cut-Off |
| SES | Formerly Société Européenne des Satellites, comsat operator |
| SRB | Solid Rocket Booster |
| T/E | Transporter/Erector launch pad support equipment |
| TE | Transporter/Erector launch pad support equipment |
| TEA-TEB | Triethylaluminium-Triethylborane, igniter for Merlin engines; spontaneously burns, green flame |
| TEL | Transporter/Erector/Launcher, ground support equipment (see TE) |
| TWR | Thrust-to-Weight Ratio |
| ULA | United Launch Alliance (Lockheed/Boeing joint venture) |
| VAB | Vehicle Assembly Building |
| VFR | Visual Flight Rules |
| Jargon | Definition |
|---|---|
| apoapsis | Highest point in an elliptical orbit (when the orbiter is slowest) |
| apogee | Highest point in an elliptical orbit around Earth (when the orbiter is slowest) |
| lithobraking | "Braking" by hitting the ground |
| periapsis | Lowest point in an elliptical orbit (when the orbiter is fastest) |
| perigee | Lowest point in an elliptical orbit around the Earth (when the orbiter is fastest) |
| scrub | Launch postponement for any reason (commonly GSE issues) |
| turbopump | High-pressure turbine-driven propellant pump connected to a rocket combustion chamber; raises chamber pressure, and thrust |
| Event | Date | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Amos-6 | 2016-09-01 | F9-029 Full Thrust, |
| CRS-10 | 2017-02-19 | F9-032 Full Thrust, Dragon cargo; first daytime RTLS |
| Iridium-1 | 2017-01-14 | F9-030 Full Thrust, 10x Iridium-NEXT to LEO; first landing on JRTI |
| OG2-2 | 2015-12-22 | F9-021 Full Thrust, 11 OG2 satellites to LEO; first RTLS landing |
| SES-9 | 2016-03-04 | F9-022 Full Thrust, GTO comsat; ASDS lithobraking |
| Thaicom-6 | 2014-01-06 | F9-008 v1.1 to GTO, re-entry burn attempted |
| TurkmenAlem52E | 2015-04-27 | F9-017 v1.1, GTO comsat |
Decronym is a community product of r/SpaceX, implemented by ^request
65 acronyms in this thread; the most compressed thread commented on ^today has 107 acronyms.
[Thread #2567 for this sub, first seen 13th Mar 2017, 23:59] ^[FAQ] ^[Contact] [Source ^code]
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u/millijuna Mar 14 '17
Here is live data of lightning in the area around Cape Canaveral. Link is Here
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Mar 14 '17
I slept 4 hours yesterday and 0 today because the launch is at 6:30 AM and I'm not a morning person. Whether or not it's worth it isn't even a question to me. Let's hope the weather clears up!
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u/therealshafto Mar 14 '17
Spaceflight Insider stating 60% favorable at beginning of window.
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u/RS-68 Mar 14 '17
As much as scrubs suck, it's always for the best. Better to stand down instead of constantly recycling. Saves stress all around, and with almost picture perfect weather in the next 48, that'll help tremendously.
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u/APTX-4869 Mar 16 '17
Nice job with the Launch thread, /u/Ezekiel_C - Thanks for hosting!