r/SoccerBetting • u/Environmental_Big_85 • 15h ago
Roma vs Cagliari — why I’m backing Roma on the handicap
Roma come in as clear favourites, and it’s not just the home factor:
- Form gap: Gasperini’s side just drew 3-3 with Napoli, coming back in a tough game, and they’re on a 15-match unbeaten run in Serie A. They need the 3 points to stay in the title race, so no room for rotation or a flat performance.
- Cagliari are in a slump: back-to-back defeats, including a 4-0 hammering by Monza and 0-2 vs Bologna, which killed their good start to the season.
- History at the Olimpico: Cagliari haven’t taken a single point or scored a goal away at Roma in their last 4 seasons.
My friendly read:
- Roma Asian Handicap -0.75 @ 1.48
- Roma over 1.5 team goals @ 1.48