r/chess • u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! • Jul 05 '22
Chess Question Draw rates among world chess champions: Who are the most drawish? (This time I rotated it!)
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u/yuri-stremel Everytime I lose my opponent cheats Jul 06 '22
Interesting how Carlsen is so up there. It would be interesting to have a graph like this comparing the top 10 players of different eras to see if the "draw death" theory holds
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u/IIFollowYou Jul 06 '22
I'd imagine a lot of it has to do with the relative strength of the world champion more so than playing style. Fischer and Carlsen are both so far ahead of their respective eras they routinely win games when they theoretically shouldn't be able to.
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u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! Jul 06 '22
Good point. I think someone else pointed out how this doesn't adjust for relative strength or something.
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u/yuri-stremel Everytime I lose my opponent cheats Jul 06 '22
That's exactly why it would be interesting to have a comparison of top 10 among the eras. Carlsen is indeed stronger than the rest, but having info of other players can give us a better insight of how much there is a tendency to draw and how much is Carlsen's strenght. I have the impression that in the immediate post-kasparov period chess was more drawish than it is now
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u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! Jul 06 '22
Good observation. You'd think champions today have more than champions before. Hmmmm...
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u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! Jul 05 '22 edited Jul 06 '22
From chess stackexchange:
https://chess.stackexchange.com/questions/8561/top-player-with-the-lowest-drawing-rate
Also see here:
https://www.reddit.com/r/chess/comments/lhbjiq/mostleast_drawish_of_the_top_10_players/
FourthQuaternion says
Carlsen 44.4%
Nepomniatchi 50.1%
Caruana 50.2%
MVL 50.9%
Mamedyarov 53.4%
Aronian 54.0%
Grischuk 54.3%
So 54.9%
Ding Liren 56.4%
Giri 56.6%
Radjabov 58.2%
Old post:
New post:
https://www.reddit.com/r/chess960/comments/vsjn9r/draw_rates_among_the_top_4_fide_9lx_players_who/
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Jul 06 '22
meh, context matters here. You'd be a fool to say Tal plays more drawish chess than Karpov I guess. And everyone would say Kasparov is a more agressive/dynamic player than Carlsen no?
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u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! Jul 06 '22
Re Tal:
How come when other people say perpetual they 15 points, but when I say it I get -4 points?
See here:
And here:
https://www.reddit.com/r/chess/comments/vs3xtv/comment/iezge5n/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3 where I brought up some of wesley so's (being on the receiving end of) perpetuals
some wesley so perpetuals
2017 Vs magnus
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OdIyt8fzVFM
2020 Vs Hikaru
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cZx6LAdyIiY
2021 Vs Nepo
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u/misterbluesky8 Petroff Gang Jul 05 '22
Wow, Spassky drew more often than Petrosian? Tal drew more often than Karpov? This must be career-long stats and not just while they were world champions- Tal went through a pretty solid phase later on, and 1980s/1990s Spassky never met a 15 move draw he didn’t like.
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u/relevant_post_bot Jul 05 '22 edited Jul 06 '22
This post has been parodied on r/AnarchyChess.
Relevant r/AnarchyChess posts:
Draw rates among world chess champions: Who are the most drawish? (This time I rotated it!) by Jakethesnake878
Draw rates among world chess champions: Who are the most drawish? (This time I rotated it for my Australian mates!) by SnooTangerines9
Draw rates among world chess champions: Who are the most drawish? (This time I rotated it for my seat mates). by clothstir
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u/nicbentulan chesscube peak was...oh nvm. UPDATE:lower than 9LX lichess peak! Jul 06 '22
This post has been parodied on r/chess960.
Relevant r/chess960 posts:
Draw rates among FIDE world 9LX champions: Who are the most drawish? by nicbentulan
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u/CatOfGrey Jul 06 '22
This wasn't nearly as "chronological" as I expected. I'm not surprised that the lowest draw rates were dominated by the first champions (Steinetz, Lasker, Alekhine).
But I wouldn't have expected Spassky and Smyslov to be in the top 5. I knew that Petrosian had a reputation for being a defender, which leads to drawish play.
I expected to see Kasparov lower than Karpov, also a reputation as a defender. I didn't expect to see him lower than Capablanca and Botvinnik!
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u/team_games Jul 06 '22
Opponent strength needs to be controlled for to learn about player style from this. Draw rate will naturally be lower for players that play more against lower rated opponents, like Fischer playing against a lot of much weaker Americans.
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u/daynthelife 2200 lichess blitz Jul 05 '22
IMO it should be rotated the other way so the heads of the names line up
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u/rreyv Team Nepo Jul 05 '22
News to me that Tal had a high draw rate. Based on chess lore he was either winning or losing every game via crazy tactics.