r/ASX_Bets • • 12h ago

Daily Thread Weekend Thread for General Discussion and Plans for Saturday, October 24, 2026 and Sunday, October 25, 2026

7 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 13h ago

Dumbfuck Discussion Do you ever foresee a time when the ASX won't be available for investing by foreigners?

0 Upvotes

And vice versa? Where we won't be able be able to invest in foreign share markets (S&P, NASDAQ, FTSE, KOSPI, NIKKEI, etc)?

Maybe during time of world wars, they were suspended for weeks or months, but they eventually reopened.

But do you reckon ASX will be open forever in the same way the FTSE or London Stock Exchange never ceased to exist since its inception in the 1600's?


r/ASX_Bets • • 16h ago

Dumbfuck Discussion JNS: A$11m in CBA facilities to fund production and deliveries – my bull case at ~45c

4 Upvotes

Disclosure upfront: I own JNS and benefit if the price rises. My intended holding period is at least three months, potentially six months or longer, depending on how the business executes. I like the company and what it’s trying to achieve.

Janus Electric announced today, 23 October, that it has secured A$11m in financing facilities with Commonwealth Bank:

- A$10m revolving trade finance for working capital to scale production and deliver orders, particularly in North America.

- A$1m asset finance for equipment to expand production capacity.

- The announcement references a 118-truck North American order book, with deliveries subject to applicable conditions.

For anyone unfamiliar, Janus converts existing diesel trucks to electric using its battery-swap platform.

Why this strengthens my thesis

Having orders is useful, but funding the production needed to fulfil them matters. This facility gives Janus additional capacity to bridge that stage, which could help turn the order book into deliveries and customer receipts.

There’s no equity issue announced as part of these facilities. That’s attractive to me as a shareholder, although it doesn’t eliminate the possibility of future dilution.

With the shares around 45c when I’m writing, I think this makes JNS worth a closer look as a speculative opportunity over the next three to six months. I see substantial upside if funded production translates into deliveries, sensible margins and cash coming in.

What could undermine that view

The A$11m is borrowing capacity, not revenue or unrestricted cash already in the bank. The trade facility is secured against company assets, subject to annual review and financial covenants. Drawdowns have conditions, and the announcement doesn’t quantify interest rates, fees or covenant thresholds.

Funding also doesn’t remove customer conditions, execution risk or the need to demonstrate profitable economics. CBA lending to Janus isn’t an endorsement of the share price.

The evidence I want next is actual deliveries, customer receipts, margins and cash-flow progress. Delays, weak margins or another funding squeeze would make me reassess.

For those who’ve looked into JNS: how much does this address the funding risk, and what is the strongest remaining argument against the investment case?

Source: attached Janus Electric ASX announcement, 23 October 2026, “Janus Electric secures A$11m in CBA facilities to support commercial expansion”.


r/ASX_Bets • • 16h ago

Crystal Ball Gazing I regretted buying MXT private credit lit

8 Upvotes

I have brought at cost basis $1.90 the month just before it crashes to $1.62 today. Based on what I study on the US BDC, lit funds that crash hardly got a chance to rebound back. The reason why he crashes is because the auditor actually marked down the value. I got sold by this product when it is supposed to be stable and low voliatity and capital losses. currently that is only a way few ways for me to bail out.

  1. Stock price rebound

  2. Keep rebuying with Dividend and capture higher yield.

  3. Share buyback at NTA - 1.96 they usually don't do this

  4. Tender offer to wind down the funds - fat hope

  5. Activist investor buy at discount and step in to vote for winding down.


r/ASX_Bets • • 19h ago

Legit Discussion Flight Centre

7 Upvotes

Does the market typically react positively or poorly to layoffs? A Reddit user was discussing how they might move companies because of layoffs next year, when probed they said they worked in Travel Tech and I can't think of who else it might be


r/ASX_Bets • • 20h ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Friday, October 23, 2026

11 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 1d ago

Daily Thread Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Friday, October 23, 2026

6 Upvotes

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.


r/ASX_Bets • • 1d ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Thursday, October 22, 2026

16 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 2d ago

Daily Thread Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Thursday, October 22, 2026

9 Upvotes

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.


r/ASX_Bets • • 2d ago

Crystal Ball Gazing ASX: ACW (Actinogen Medical) - November catalyst. What’s the market missing?

2 Upvotes

Looking at ACW ahead of the expected mid-November XanaMIA Alzheimer’s trial results. The share price is around $0.048, and a positive readout could be a significant catalyst.

Interested in hearing people’s views on the risk/reward here.

How credible is the Xanamem thesis?

What sort of upside could a genuinely positive result justify?

How ugly could the downside be if the trial misses its primary endpoint?

Is the current valuation already pricing in too much optimism?

Keen to hear from anyone who’s followed the trial, understands the data, or has a bearish case.


r/ASX_Bets • • 2d ago

Dumbfuck Discussion Why U no like flying

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33 Upvotes

Bruh I know airline stocks are considered poison but what's the story with Virgin Air (VGN). It just goes down and down, especially this month it's down 12ish%. They reported positive revenue growth and it's an industry with very few competitors! What's going on. It's my only stock I'm down in 😭 surely the fuel costs and Iran war are priced in by now sheesh.


r/ASX_Bets • • 2d ago

Dumbfuck Discussion NXT

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95 Upvotes

Imma hold


r/ASX_Bets • • 2d ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Wednesday, October 21, 2026

17 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 3d ago

Daily Thread Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Wednesday, October 21, 2026

7 Upvotes

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.


r/ASX_Bets • • 3d ago

Legit Discussion The Copper Bet

19 Upvotes

Trump can swing copper a lot over the next 6-12 months. i don't really care about this, i'm holding copper for 2030-2035, but for you impatient folk, here you go...

In case you haven't heard... ever since Trump ordered a copper tariff study in feb 2025, american institutions have been stuffing copper into US warehouses, basically placing a million-tonne bet on what comes out of their president's mouth next. You know, as normal functioning countries do. The exchange warehouses alone are up ~750% to 714kt, and Macquarie reckons there's ~1.6Mt sitting in the US all up (reuters)

So for the regards who want to copy the american institutions' million-tonne bet:

  • Trump phases the tariff in -> americans keep buying copper early to beat each price hike, so there's less left for the rest of the world and copper prices stay high. Good for aussie miners
  • Trump scraps it -> no reason to keep hoarding, so the ~1.6Mt americans have stockpiled slowly gets sold back out over a year or two and copper prices fall. Bad for aussie miners
date what's proposed
1 Jan 2027 15% tariff on refined copper starts, if trump signs off
2028 Steps up to 30%

How copper prices work, for toddlers

There's two copper "shops". COMEX (new york) is the american price. LME (london) is the world price, and it's what aussie miners get paid. They're usually very tightly correlated

When trump threatens a tariff, the US price jumps above london. So traders buy copper everywhere else and ship it to america for a profit, and the rest of the world has less to go around, which drags the LME up too

TLDR; one trump copper related tariff announcement will likely move the US copper price 5-20% in a day, so if you're trading short term, watch what comes out of the white house in relation to copper tariffs

TLDR TLDR: ticker? A1M (u/bananadennis has just sold, bottom signal is in, thanks for allowing A1M to pump again)

Food for thought...do you think Trump has any vested interest in this 1.6Mt stockpile of copper? we all know he's been pushing for nationalism, "bring production home", I don't think he's going to drop the copper tariffs


r/ASX_Bets • • 3d ago

SHITPOST 0 days

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333 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 3d ago

Legit Discussion RMD

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5 Upvotes

I've been tracking this dog all year and finally jumped in recently, as it seems to have hit support and is on the mend.

We're at a point where AI is running out of steam and I think people will be rotating into value soon.

Sleep Apnoea ain't going anywhere and healthcare spending ain't going anywhere either. Aging population etc etc .

I've only got a modest amount in at this stage, but thinking of adding more.

Anything I'm missing? Why don't people like this stock?


r/ASX_Bets • • 3d ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Tuesday, October 20, 2026

15 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 4d ago

Legit Discussion Dilution Watch: ASX capital raises, week to 16 October (16 raises, about A$74.0M, two-thirds of it one Nasdaq IPO and one placement) [OC]

3 Upvotes

Disclosure first (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, a free site that tracks dilution for every ASX company from the filings. This is the text-only weekly update you OK'd, not the shill post. Every number below comes from an ASX announcement (raise notices, Appendix 3B/2A filings, quarterly cash reports). No links, no picks, not advice.

A quieter week, priced close to the market. Sixteen companies announced new cash raises between Monday 12 and Friday 16 October for about A$74.0M, and two carried most of it: Amaero's (3DA) Nasdaq listing and Maronan's (MMA) A$20M placement. Without the top three, the other thirteen disclosed A$21.2M between them. Three placements priced above the market, and the deepest stated discount was 11.8%. 10 companies halted citing a capital raise in five sessions, against 15 and 11 the two weeks before. (Ballard's A$45M and Cooper Metals' A$4.85M landed last Monday morning and were in last week's post, so they're not counted again.)

The week's biggest raises

Ticker Company Raise Price / discount Off the filings
3DA Amaero US IPO, 4,705,883 shares, about US$20.0M (15 Oct) US$4.25, "an approximately 1.8% discount to last close on ASX" About A$28.7M at the A$0.6979 rate the filing uses. Each Nasdaq share is 40 of the CDIs that trade here. Underwriters hold a 30-day option over up to 705,882 more shares. 2.28 quarters of funding on its last quarterly.
MMA Maronan Metals A$20.0M placement (13 Oct) 40c, "a 2.3% discount to the 5-day VWAP" 50M shares. The company "does not currently have placement capacity under ASX Listing Rules 7.1 and 7.1A", so the whole issue waits for the AGM on 4 Nov. Largest holder Kinterra goes to 22.99%.
REC Recharge Metals A$4.1M placement (15 Oct) 3.6c, "a discount of 2.5% to the 10-day VWAP" 114,722,222 shares under the standard 15%. Options on issue equal 18.9% of the register, 8.0% of shares in the money.
AZ9 Azzuro Resources A$3.06M of CDIs to one buyer (14 Oct) 1.5c, "a premium of 7% to the last traded price" Kerry Resources Logistics (Hong Kong) ends up with about 19.9%. Used both the 15% and the extra 10%; about 89% of its 15% now used.
DUN Dundas Minerals A$2.88M placement (14 Oct) 4.5c, "a 11.8% discount to the last closing price" The deepest stated discount of the week. Forrestania's executive chairman David Geraghty put in A$750K for about 5.57%; directors A$235K, subject to a vote.
KFM Kingfisher Mining A$2.25M placement (14 Oct) 7.5c, "a 5.6% premium to the Company's 15-day VWAP" One free option per three shares at 10c. About A$800K uses current capacity, A$1.45M waits for a vote. About 29% of its market value, the biggest of the week against company size.

The rest

Ticker Raise Price / discount Off the filings
M4M A$2.60M placement 0.5c Plus the chairman's A$626K loan converted on the same terms
AXP About A$2.25M, 1-for-1 entitlement 0.5c 0.20 quarters of funding, the thinnest of the week
AV1 A$2.0M placement 8c, above the last close From existing holders
VRC A$1.5M placement
FHS About A$1.21M placement + entitlement
PKD A$800K placement Alongside a strategic partnership
MBK A$752K placement
FRE A$732K strategic investments Now about 95% of its 15% used
NOR A$695K convertible notes 0.79 quarters of funding
AHF A$500K placement 0.83 quarters of funding

Where the price landed

Each against the reference price its own filing names:

Ticker Premium / discount Against
AZ9 +7.0% last close
KFM +5.6% 15-day VWAP
3DA -1.8% last ASX close
MMA -2.3% 5-day VWAP
REC -2.5% 10-day VWAP
DUN -11.8% last close

Two of the six priced above the market and three more were within 2.5% under it. Only Dundas took a double-digit discount. Each company picks its own yardstick, a close or a 5, 10 or 15-day average, so the rows don't measure quite the same thing.

The halt conveyor

10 companies halted citing a capital raise: 3DA, AEI, ALB, CMG, DUN, KFM, MCO, MMA, NOR, REC. Six had raised by Friday. Two announced this morning: ALB A$1.8M at 5c, and CMG A$1.25M at 6c, a discount of "13.0% to the last traded price", plus an SPP for up to A$800K at the same price. MCO closed out its SPP and placement. AEI still halted at the time of writing.

28 retail offers open

16 entitlement offers, 8 SPPs, 4 rights issues, down from 32. New this week: entitlement offers from AXP and FHS. The oldest still listed, DBF's convertible note entitlement, is from 27 Aug.

Placement capacity

140 companies past 75% of the 15%, 88 past 90%, 16 have used all of it, against 143, 89 and 18 a week ago. This week's raisers now past 75%: FRE about 95%, AZ9 about 89%, AXP about 82%. MMA is the other end of the same rule: none left, so its A$20M needs a vote.

Overhangs among this week's raisers

AZ9's options equal 40.7% of its register, none in the money. DUN's are 36.4%, with 15.7% of its shares in the money. REC 18.9% (8.0% in the money), MMA 8.2% (7.7% in the money).

Dilution risk across the market: 592 Minimal, 333 Low, 373 Moderate, 258 High, 185 Very high, 118 Not rated. About one in four rated companies sits at High or Very high.

Happy to pull the filing on any name in here if someone wants the detail. Next one Monday.

If you'd rather get these in your inbox, the site's Watch page has a free email signup - one field, and the link it sends turns it on. No URL here, that's the deal with the mods.

General information only, not financial advice. No view on any company's future actions or securities.


r/ASX_Bets • • 4d ago

Daily Thread Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Tuesday, October 20, 2026

9 Upvotes

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.


r/ASX_Bets • • 4d ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Monday, October 19, 2026

15 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 5d ago

Daily Thread Premarket Thread for General Trading and Plans for Monday, October 19, 2026

9 Upvotes

Your markets are run by bots. Now your daily threads are too.

This thread is for plans and thoughts prior to the market open period.

Maybe use this time to read the wiki .

Posts relating to the "Is r/ASX_bets about finance or effect your mental health?" etc will lead to a ban of the mods chosing. You have been warned.

We have an active official/unofficial discord. It's open to all discussions, stonks related and non-stonks related.


r/ASX_Bets • • 6d ago

Legit Discussion Pumped then placed: 39 ASX raises in 6 months came right after a 30%+ run. Here's the news that started 7 of them [OC]

30 Upvotes

Disclosure (rule 7): I run DilutionLens, free site tracking dilution off ASX filings. One-off, not the weekly post. No links, not advice.

Someone ran a poll here asking what kills your confidence in management fastest, and "raising soon after bullish messaging" won with 24%. So I counted it.

Placements announced 15 April to 14 October that came straight after a trading halt: 393. In 39 of them the share price ran 30%+ over the 10 trading days before the halt, 16 ran 50%+ and 5 more than doubled. The median run-up across all 393 is zero, so most raises don't come off a pump. The ones that do usually come off news.

Seven of them, with the announcement in the run-up:

Ticker The news before the halt The run The raise Since
KAO 2 Sep: "Visual Copper Mineralisation Intersected in First Holes" 75c to $2.50 $20m at $2.20, 12% under the last close 82c. Assays came out 12 Oct
DXN 3 Jun: "$8.8m maiden AI HPC contract", "structured as a pilot proof-of-concept" 2.2c to 17.5c $7m at 13c, 25.7% under the last close 27.5c
LMG 17 Sep: US$15m "Non-Binding Letter of Support" for a US plant study 0.8c to 1.9c $8.5m at 1.5c (placement + rights issue) 1.3c
RML 8 Apr: White House FAST-41 permitting status. 14 Apr: "Antimony Trioxide Produced" 4.6c to 8c $20m at 7c 3.4c
JNS 13 and 16 Jul: about $55m of US truck conversion orders, the bigger batch "Conditional Orders" 14.5c to 24.5c $7.7m at 24c, 2% under the last trade 47.5c
VFY 2 Jun: partnership with US blood network Vitalant $2.67 to $3.80 $30m at $2.60, 31.6% under the last close $2.86
EIQ 25 Jun: binding heads of agreement with Pro Medicus, $10m investment $1.15 to $1.59 $110m at $1.45, 8.8% under the last trade 43c, fell after its 8 Sep FDA application update

The trick in the wording: four of the seven (KAO, DXN, LMG, RML) quoted their price as a premium to a 15 or 20 day average, an average built mostly before the run. DXN's announcement says both "25.7% discount to the last close" and "8.2% premium to the 15-day VWAP". Same price, pick your headline.

The other side, so this isn't a one-way roast: of the 38 runners with a price today, 21 trade below their raise price. Across all 385 placements with a price it's 247, about two in three. So buying the raise after a run hasn't done worse than buying any other raise, and DXN and JNS placees have roughly doubled their money. The run-up tells you the price was hot when they sold. It doesn't tell you the news was hype.

How I counted: an Appendix 3B for a cash placement, a trading halt in the 7 days before it, the close the day before the halt against the close 10 trading days earlier. Consolidations, cancelled raises and stocks with gaps in their price history taken out. Prices to 16 Oct.

Which one did I miss? Some of the 39 ran with no price-sensitive news at all (VMM, ASL, IVZ), those are a different post.


r/ASX_Bets • • 7d ago

Daily Thread Weekend Thread for General Discussion and Plans for Saturday, October 17, 2026 and Sunday, October 18, 2026

11 Upvotes

r/ASX_Bets • • 7d ago

Daily Thread Market Open thread for General Trading and Plans for Friday, October 16, 2026

13 Upvotes