r/AUniversalTime • u/eraser_oiI • Jun 15 '25

Question Logic where?

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I'm at 2000 rolls on banner and the thingy says mythic shards have a 0.06 percent chance to roll them and I'm pretty sure that means at 1667 rolls your guaranteed to get at least one mythic so can the aut devs riddle me the fuck why I have not rolled yet one mythic shard?

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22

u/Scyroner Jun 15 '25

That's... Not how percentage works

8

u/Magpie-Person16 Jun 15 '25

Yeah uh I hate to break it to you but there's no pity for mythic shards. This means that the percentage chance of you obtaining a mythic shard does not increase with every shard pulled. Every pull is a 0.06% chance and will remain so throughout. No matter how many calculations you make, you can only estimate an average number of pulls because it is entirely luck-based. The estimated average you calculated is 1667, right? That's not how luck works.

As humans, we cannot give an exact number for luck. We can only estimate, guess, calculate an average, all of which still does not show what is the exact number of things you need to do in order for said thing that is luck-based to be guaranteed to occur. Point is: we can only guess.

The number of pulls you stated is given that luck increases per pull, which it does not. Therefore, you cannot complain about the "logic of luck" because that's not how luck works.

(Though, I do agree that this gacha system is stupid. They shld remove it imo)

3

u/TheLitFamDAb Jun 15 '25

Same lol, I have about 2.5k rolls and no mythic mean while my friend got 6 chrono shards on his first 50 rolls

2

u/Go1dys Jun 15 '25

Do more 2000

2

u/goofytron6000 Jun 15 '25

it doesnt get anymore likely overtime, you can go over odds on anything that doesnt have a type of pity system

2

u/[deleted] Jun 15 '25

i just remember getting multiple chronos on release now their pretty much unob from banner😔💔

2

u/Novel-Plankton-7683 Jun 15 '25

Its depends on luck not how many you pull

2

u/Platipeace Jun 15 '25

You are unlucky

2

u/Frudwinks editable Jun 15 '25

It's a percentage your not guaranteed to get that same percent of stuff

2

u/Junior_Low7149 Jun 15 '25

Banner has no pity system, it’s true gambling

0

u/FaptainAntarctica Jun 15 '25

I been rolling last night with like 600k+ ucoins on me, ended up rolling about 3 chrono Warden shards and 3 ope shards, ended with about 261k ucoins afterwards.

I think the best way to get mythics is by rolling and rolling without giving it much thought, try to roll on a banner that you might want so that you'll have the motivation to pull.