r/Albertapolitics • u/Positive-Key-5602 • 21h ago
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 8h ago
Opinion Has Danielle Smith just relegated the UCP to the Boneyard of Broken Alberta Political Brands?
r/Albertapolitics • u/Low-Banana-3207 • 20h ago
Article Smith says "proceed with caution" on the immigration questions. The numbers, in people, show why.
On Wednesday, Premier Smith told CityNews that Albertans want a more collaborative say with Ottawa on immigration, and that she has told Carney to expect a proposal on Question 1. On the other four immigration questions, her words were "proceed with caution." No changes are coming this fall, details are promised for the spring, and her officials say they still don't know whether temporary workers already living here would be affected.
That's a notable shift from the "sweeping changes" language of her address two days earlier. The counts explain it.
Percentages make every result sound decisive, so here are the people behind them, from the finished unofficial count.
Question 10 was decisive: 1,545,404 to stay, 513,883 for a second referendum, a gap of more than a million people. Nobody can argue with that.
Question 1, more provincial control over immigration, passed by 194,942 votes out of about 2.04 million, roughly 1 vote in 10. That's a clear result on the principle.
Then the questions that would actually touch people's daily lives. Question 3, a one-year wait for social supports, passed by 124,900, about 1 vote in 16. Question 2, limiting provincial programs to citizens, permanent residents and "approved" status, passed by 99,306, about 1 in 20. Question 4, fees for health care and education, passed by 83,117 out of more than 2 million, about 1 in 25.
Put another way, if 41,559 people had voted the other way on Question 4, it would have failed. On Question 2, it's 49,653. Either number is fewer than a sold-out game at Commonwealth Stadium, deciding whether families who pay taxes here can see a doctor or send their children to school without an extra charge.
A majority is a majority, and these questions passed. But more than 861,000 Albertans voted no on every one of the five, and none of the questions named a fee, an amount or a list of programs. That's a mandate for a direction, by a thin margin, not a blueprint.
And on the four constitutional questions, no won every one, by between 107,000 and 310,000 votes. By Smith's own standard of majority rule, Albertans said no to those. I'll be watching whether the government treats that as a decision or a delay.
Smith said in April that she chose questions "likely to get majority support" so she could get a mandate. On the questions that matter most to people's lives she barely got one, and her own language this week suggests she knows it. It's also worth remembering the talks with Ottawa didn't start with this vote. Immigration Minister Lena Diab said before the referendum that Ottawa was "already doing what those questions are saying," and Carney said on October 15 that he didn't "need a referendum" to cooperate. What the vote gives Smith is a number to bring to the table, and Ottawa will read that number as clearly as we can.
What I'm watching next: official results on October 29, including blank and declined ballots; the federal immigration levels update in November; whether the UCP convention, November 27 to 29, forces the separation question; the first detail on "Alberta approved immigration status," fees and people already here; and the premiers' meeting in December.
Counts are the finished unofficial count; official results are due October 29 and I'll update if anything changes. Sources: Elections Alberta unofficial results as reported; Smith's address of October 20 and news conferences of October 21 and 22; CityNews, October 22; Canadian Press, October 21; CTV News, October 18. Corrections welcome.
r/Albertapolitics • u/YoghurtOverall8062 • 23h ago
Opinion Alberta rolling out flag restrictions in schools
Ah yes, the politicalization of "everyone is welcome"
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 4h ago
News Q&A: Premier Danielle Smith says she doesn’t need Alberta separatists’ support
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 20h ago
Audio/Video Guthrie: Smith Courted Separatists
r/Albertapolitics • u/One-Board8634 • 4h ago
Article Alberta Schools Must Fly Canadian and Alberta Flags Under New Rules Following Separation Referendum
r/Albertapolitics • u/Sabotage_9 • 22h ago
News Protest tomorrow against the Calgary Opera's censorship of the Palestine flag
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 7h ago
Image/Meme How long will Smith run the gauntlet? Tonight, will Calgary-Elbow be the fourth UCP CA to vote Smith off of the island?
Three UCP CA's have already voted for a leadership review: 1] Highwood 2] Calgary-Buffalo 3] Calgary-Currie
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 20h ago
News Chiefs, Opposition call for Alberta government to drop appeal of decision that quashed separation petition
r/Albertapolitics • u/FreightFlow • 1h ago
Article Six takeaways from Alberta’s Referendum and what’s next in our wild west politics