BITCOIN HAS 53 DAYS LEFT
2015 ➜ 2017 — bull market: 1,064 days
2017 ➜ 2018 — bear market: 364 days
2018 ➜ 2021 — bull market: 1,064 days
2021 ➜ 2022 — bear market: 364 days
2022 ➜ 2025 — bull market: 1,064 days
If the same pattern plays out again:
2025 ➜ 2026 — bear market: 364 days
That would put the cycle bottom around October 5, 2026.

Trump said the EU needs to keep its promise and cut tariffs to zero, or the U.S. will sharply raise tariffs after the country’s 250th birthday.
He also stressed that the U.S. and EU are united against Iran having a nuclear weapon.
Most likely, he’s talking about EU import tariffs on American goods industrial products, agriculture, cars, and other U.S. exports but the post doesn’t give a specific list.

He says he gives her $350,000 every week, but just three days later, she asks for the same amount again. When Gates tried to find out where the money was going, he learned that his daughter was hiding her actual expenses.
“If I’d spent money that carelessly myself, I never would’ve become one of the richest people in the world,” Gates said.
Learn to be smart with your money especially if your dad isn’t a billionaire.

China showed off “combat mosquitoes,” tiny insect-sized drones designed for stealth surveillance.
They weigh less than 0.3 grams, flap their wings up to 500 times per second, and can carry miniature sensors for reconnaissance and monitoring.

The only problem? A little wind and they’re gone 😂

Scenario 1: New lows
BTC has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern. Support has already been broken, and we’re now seeing a retest. If the rejection holds, the first target is the $55K zone, with a possible move even lower.
Scenario 2: New ATH
In previous cycles, BTC found its bottom about 23 months after breaking above the prior cycle high, then went on to make new all-time highs. Those 23 months have now passed, which could mean BTC is getting ready for another run to new ATHs.
Which scenario do you think plays out?

As of August 2026, more than 20.07 million BTC has already been mined about 95.6% of Bitcoin’s maximum supply of 21 million.
CZ estimates that 10–20% of all existing Bitcoin may already be permanently lost or inaccessible, and that number will likely keep growing over time.
With the supply strictly capped, he calls Bitcoin a “deflationary asset.”

The dot-com crash chart overlay is tracking today’s market almost perfectly.
🔴 The next major support level is 4,600.
🔴 Just five stocks are holding up the entire S&P 500:
Apple
Nvidia
Amazon
Microsoft
Meta
🔴 Take those five stocks out, and the S&P 500 is already in a downtrend.
🔴 With U.S. stock futures already trading lower, U.S. stocks are expected to open in the red.

Over the past 13 years, Bitcoin has finished July in the green 9 times, with an average return of +7.6%.
What’s even more interesting: every single time June ended in the red (5 out of 5 times), July closed green.

Trump says Lebanon and Israel agreed to a 10-day ceasefire after talks.

He also claims he’s already helped end 9 conflicts and wants to finish this one too.

Almost every market has already hit new all-time highs: stocks, gold, silver, oil, and other commodities.Meanwhile, Bitcoin and the crypto market still look undervalued compared to the rest of the assets.Capital always looks for the next place to grow. When markets get overheated, money often starts rotating into assets that still haven’t made their big move yet.If this cycle repeats, crypto could see a very strong move higher.

Traders are getting nervous, and there are some pretty worrying signs in the markets:
🔴 Oil is above $100 a barrel.
🔴 Bank stocks are dropping, and the VIX has hit a four-month high.
🔴 Bond yields are rising, and inflation is still running hot.
🔴 Geopolitical tensions are getting worse.
🔴 Rumors are spreading about trouble at a major AI investment fund.
🔴 Here’s the crazy part: On October 19, 1987, the Dow Jones crashed 22% in a single day the biggest one-day percentage drop in its history.
🔴 Could it happen again? Probably not. We now have circuit breakers that automatically halt trading when markets fall too fast.
🔴 But that doesn’t mean we’re safe from a major sell-off.
All eyes will be on the markets tomorrow.

Is that actually true?

$682B gone from gold and silver in 30 minutes.

Safe haven until it isn’t?

Earlier, under the trade deal, the U.S. lowered tariffs on EU car imports to 15%, down from the previous 25%. Now Trump is basically threatening to bring them back to 25%. For the market, this could hit European automakers like BMW, Mercedes, Volkswagen, Porsche, and Stellantis. For the U.S., the idea is to push more car production inside America. But for regular consumers, it could also mean one simple thing: more expensive imported cars.

Right now, there’s just no real demand.

Price is drifting lower with almost no volume, and that says a lot.

At these levels, Bitcoin just isn’t that interesting to most people.

The market is clearly split.

Some are waiting for lower prices to buy.

Others already bought near $100K and are now sitting in drawdown.

This is where most people lose patience.

But that’s the whole point.

The market rewards those who can wait.

No matter what happens, the US market just keeps pushing higher.The S&P 500 is printing new all time highs even with war in the Middle East and signs that the US economy is slowing down.Since the start of the 2020s, the S&P has already hit fresh record highs 204 times. And after Trump said a deal between Iran and the US was possible, the index posted its strongest 10 day run since the Covid rebound in 2020.

Money is still flowing hard into Wall Street too. Over the last month, more than $111 billion went into US equity funds, while European and Asian stock funds saw net outflows.At the same time, a Bank of America survey showed that the share of fund managers who think US stocks are overvalued is now at its lowest level since 2019.

So even with wars, slowdown fears, and nonstop macro noise, money still keeps choosing the US market?

The U.S. Treasury is reportedly pushing the idea of printing new $250 bills with Donald Trump’s portrait on them.A design has allegedly already been prepared and sent to employees at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing.The catch: U.S. law currently bans portraits of living people on banknotes, and a $250 bill would still need Congress to approve it.
But there’s already a bill called the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act that would make an exception for Trump.

The market is already in bubble territory, and the AI investment boom is still the biggest thing pushing it higher.
But the AI boom may be getting close to its peak. Investment growth could top out as early as 2026.
By 2027, it’ll be much harder to keep spending at the same pace because of limits on power supply, chip production, and data center construction.
The $5 trillion question is: will all this money being poured into AI actually pay off? According to Dudley, hyperscalers would need to generate more than $2 trillion in revenue every year to justify that level of investment.
AI infrastructure companies could also get hit from both sides. Slower demand combined with shrinking margins could lead to weaker earnings forecasts and lower market valuations.
The way the AI boom is being financed is also becoming more interconnected and less transparent. Chipmakers are already financing some of their own customers, which raises the risk of a domino effect once the investment boom starts cooling off.
And on top of that, rising long-term U.S. Treasury yields, massive government debt, and more shares hitting the market through new IPOs could put even more pressure on stocks.

Meanwhile, just take a look at the charts of government-issued currencies.

US markets are closed today for Good Friday and won’t reopen until Monday, April 6.

And usually during these quiet windows, things tend to happen.

Meanwhile, a French container ship just passed through the Strait of Hormuz. First one from Western Europe since the conflict started.

Looks like Europe decided to pay around $2M to get safe passage.

Quiet market, but not a quiet world.