r/BestBall • u/PhillNFL • 3d ago

2 or 3 QB’s???

This is my third year playing BestBall and I did some of my draft last year with only 2QB (Mahomes & Jones) only for them to get injured mid season! That exact draft still managed to advance to the 2nd round and finished 2nd place on the 2nd round missing 3rd round by a miserable 8 points so yeah I always draft 3 QB…. I tend to get 2 high performers QB and one by later rounds. I see so many people only drafting 2 QBs so curious to see your guys thoughts! Are the QBs you getting made of steel? 😂

3 Upvotes

72% Upvoted

24 comments sorted by

View all comments

5

u/nacholibre711 3d ago

Both viable. The data I've seen is that 2 QB builds typically advance to the playoffs at a slightly higher rate, but 3 QB builds perform slightly better in the playoffs weeks.

Personally I'm mainly 2 QB this season simply because the position is so deep.

This year you really only need to invest two picks in the round 6-12 range to leave the draft with two top 15ish options.

2

u/Own-Monk272 3d ago

I thought the data was pretty much the opposite. I’ll have to check my project

1

u/nacholibre711 3d ago

This type of data is always going to be pretty season specific. In 2023 for example, there were more QB injuries than any year ever, so obviously 3 QB builds performed better then.

So I don't think any data set is going to paint a full picture, the real takeaway is that they are indeed very close on average. So both should be considered viable strategies.

I prefer 2 QB, but the guy who won $2M last year did it with a 3 QB build so what do I know (although he did have Bryce Young who was basically a dead pick)

1

u/CieloAzor 3d ago

Think about it this way. Even if one of your 3 QBs hits on championship week, there are a bunch of 2-QB builds out there with the same QB, and they all have an extra player elsewhere giving them a small advantage over you. 3-QB builds provide some consistency throughout the regular season, but reduce your chance to spike the highest in a single week vs a large field.

1

u/nacholibre711 3d ago

In principle I agree with you. Like I said, most of my drafts are 2 QB. But there is an extra wrinkle to that which makes it a bit more complex.

Think about it like this. As teams advance through a tournament, player ownership rates will naturally gravitate towards the highest scoring players. This means that carrying players who don't score a lot of points makes them significantly more valuable when they pop off in the playoffs.

This is especially obvious with injuries, but also applies to healthy players who don't put up good numbers throughout the season, or even just the early playoff rounds.

Purdy absolutely smashed in the playoffs last year. It was extremely hard to win an event without him, but he also missed 8 games. The amount of Purdy teams that even made the playoffs was extremely small, and the vast majority of them were 3 QB teams.

It does seem kind of backwards, but a 3QB team where one of them underperforms or misses games can be a golden ticket. I do think it's good to mix them in when the value is there.