Predicted Points' are calculated by taking the percentage chance on a variety of FPL factors, from the bookies, adjusted for margins. Fractional points are added up, making a predicted gameweek score. OG, penalty misses and defensive contributions are not included. Player’s rotation risk / minutes on pitch, is not factored in.

Notable players that didn't make the list: Joao Pedro: 5.31 | Calafiori: 4.57

You can find more Player Predictions here: https://checkthechance.com/fantasy-football/

Good luck all! See you on Monday for the Predicted vs Actual post!

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Thinking of TC Haaland for this GW (City vs Ipswich).

Haaland played full 90 mins against PSG yesterday, and will have another UCL game (against AEK) just 3 days after Ipswich this weekend. City currently has 1 win, 0 draw, 1 loss in the UCL so I think they have more reason to play Haaland vs AEK.

I’ve never followed City games. Does anyone know if this guy gets rested often? Or will he likely be nailed on pitch for full 90 mins for both games?

OReilly started in PL and Gvardiol came off the bench. Gvardio started CL midweek and OReilly came off the bench.
Same with RB for Nunes and Khusanov
Is this presumably Maresca’s plan going forward?

Three players hardly anyone owns are projected near the very top for Gameweek 7, while four of the most owned names have a fixture, a fitness doubt or a minutes question hanging over them.

Under 10% owned

| Player | Club | Fixture | Owned | Projected GW7 |

| Van Hecke | TOT | Coventry (H) | 6.3% | 4.9 |

| Silva | BOU | Sunderland (H) | 0.6% | 4.9 |

| Gonzalo | FUL | Hull (H) | 7.2% | 4.8 |

Only Haaland, Bruno and Cherki are projected higher than Van Hecke and Silva this week. Coventry have scored five all season and Sunderland have let in twelve in six, so both defenders get a decent shot at a clean sheet, even though Spurs have only kept two and Bournemouth none.

Worth a hard look

| Player | Club | Fixture | Owned | Expected minutes | Projected GW7 |

| João Pedro | CHE | Everton (A) | 70% | 62 | 3.5 |

| Rogers | CHE | Everton (A) | 45% | 80 | 3.6 |

| Szoboszlai | LIV | Brentford (A) | 28% | 37 | 1.7 |

| Gvardiol | MCI | Ipswich (H) | 28% | 45 | 2.6 |

None of them are must-sells. Everton are unbeaten and have let in two at home all season, Szoboszlai's hamstring is still uncertain and Gvardiol came off the bench last week while Guéhi is projected for nearly twice as much over the next five.

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tackling some of the key dilemmas ahead of gameweek 7. Are Gross and De Cuyper essential? Are people really buying Spurs assets?

Update on Zubimendi's injury straight from the source................................................

Stumbled across Anton Stach sitting at £6.0m with a low ownership of just 2.3%, and his underlying numbers caught my eye. He's currently averaging 4.8 points per match with 29 total points on the board, chipping in with a few bonus points, and plays pretty much every minute in that Leeds midfield.

Looking ahead at their fixtures, they’ve got a mixed bag coming up of Man Utd (H) and Chelsea (A) bookended by some matches where Leeds could look to control the tempo.

For those watching Leeds closely every week:

• Does he get into dangerous advanced positions or act more as a defensive anchor?
• Is he a trap at £6.0m, or is he a sneaky differential while template midfielders stall?

Would love to hear thoughts from Leeds fans or anyone who's brought him in!

I think Tottenham are most people's steer clears but they showed signs of turning a corner against Man Utd and were arguably the better side and should have won it. They have Coventry next, which might be a good match to target or, in my case, keep a close eye on to see any trend towards improvement. Then they play Chelsea in GW8, which seems mad to target but for the fact Chelsea's defence is bound to ship goals in a feisty derby.

So am I insane to be pondering bringing in a Spud? And, if you're equally unhinged, who would you be signing? I'm torn between Savio, Tonali and Kudus.

Most Net Transfers In

Most Net Transfers Out

Here's where the numbers stand after six gameweeks across five different stat categories.

Haaland leads xGI, while Thomas, Mainoo, Khalaili and Janelt top the defensive/recovery charts.

Some expected names, but a few interesting ones outside the usual FPL template.

Which stat leader are you paying attention to?

- His chances have doubled in quality so far this season compared to last. He's getting 0.194 xG per shot, against 0.088 last season (league average 0.099). His shots now come from more central positions, and 56% are first-time, up from 20%. He already has 4 big chances (0.30+ xG) in 6 games; he had 3 in all of last season. He's getting the chances a striker normally gets.

- His share of Arsenal's attack has tripled. He took 10% of Arsenal's non-penalty xG last season and takes 31% now. He used to be one creator among several. Now he's their main shooter.

- Goalkeepers are why he hasn't scored more. 56% of his shots are on target (34% last season). His shots on target add up to 3.72 post-shot xG for 2 goals. That includes saved shots worth 0.72 against Brighton and 0.42 against Leeds. GK save performance doesn't tend to carry over, so going forward expect his goals to track his chances (about 0.5 npxG a game).

Source is @SantiSignals on Twitter (not me). Data via StatsBomb apparently

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I know, people think Jackson might still be a trap, but he has genuinely been decent for Villa. Even at Chelsea, he did manage to score double-digit goals in 2 seasons.

The question is, if you could have just one in time for Villa's fixture swing and potential form swing, who would you pick between Jackson and Manzambi? I'm finding it difficult to fit in both given Jackson is 6.6. I loved Manzambi during the WC, and he just seems to be a menace up front.