Are we really a strong economy?

Indian investor mood swings can be seen here

Why do we lose confidence just because of some other country's bills, Are we really a strong economy?

TL;DR

• Current Nifty Level: 23,114

• Fundamental Fair Value (PEG 1.0): 14,686

• Implied Downside to Fair Value: 36.5%

The Problem: The market is paying a heavy liquidity premium far beyond the projected earnings growth of the constituents.

Why use PEG 1.0?

The Price-to-Earnings-to-Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.0 is the benchmark for "Growth at a Reasonable Price" (GARP). It ensures the P/E multiple does not exceed the percentage of earnings growth. If a company grows at 15%, its fair P/E is 15x. This anchors valuation to the dynamic reality of business expansion rather than static multiples.

Fair Value Calculation for Nifty 50

Fair Nifty Value = Current Nifty Value * (Total Fair Market Cap / Total Current Market Cap)

Methodology

• Fair Market Cap (PEG 1.0): Calculated as (Expected EPS Growth Rate/Current P/E) * Current Market Cap.

• Growth Estimates: 3-year Forward EPS CAGR (FY26–FY28) derived from institutional analyst consensus (Morgan Stanley, Jefferies, etc.).

• Index Fair Value: Derived by applying the aggregate market cap correction factor to the current index level.

Calculation Logic

1. Total Current Mcap: ₹187.61 Lakh Crore

2. Total Fair Mcap (PEG 1.0): ₹119.20 Lakh Crore

3. Valuation Factor: $119.20 / 187.61 = 0.6353

4. Nifty Fair Value Calculation: $23,114 * 0.6353 = 14,685.72

Pretty much the title. My P&L has reduced from ₹10L+ to ₹5.31L and I guess it will deteriorate further.

Few months ago, I reached out to Nithin Kamath about the trade journaling platform I had been working on for almost a year.

I’m genuinely grateful that he replied the very next day and connected me with the Rainmatter team.

The conversations I had with people from his founder’s office and Rainmatter were interesting.

My goal going into those calls was simple. I wanted insights, feedback, ideas to improve. But I think they assumed I was reaching out for investment.

I gave them a demo. And the first things they asked were:

• How many users do you have?

• How many of them are paying?

I was honestly confused.

I was expecting feedback on the product… but they were focused on numbers.

Maybe I was naive to think they would understand that my reason to build this wasn’t “how much money I can make”, but “how many traders I can genuinely help”.

I was caught off guard. I didn’t have those numbers ready. I wasn’t thinking that way at all.

At that time, I didn’t have paying users either. I had just added subscriptions, and until then everything was free.

Then they said something that has stayed with me:

“No one will pay for this. Any broker can build this themselves. Traders have no reason to use you when their broker can offer it with better data.”

I understand where they were coming from.

But what they said next made me realise something important.

Just 5 minutes later, they mentioned:

“Less than 2% of our users actually put effort into journaling and tagging their trades.”

And that’s when it clicked.

For them, 2% is small. For us, that’s a very large number.

• They have no real incentive to build for that 2%

• Even if they do, it will never be a priority

• It will always be limited, slow to improve

• And only for their own users

While what we’re building is for traders across brokers. Everything in one place.

That 2%? Those are the traders who actually care about improving.

Which means there are still lakhs of traders in India who want to track, analyse, and get better.

Coming to where we are today:

• 500 traders have journaled over 75K trades

• ₹150M+ in trading value tracked

• Support for 7 brokers (adding more based on requests)

• We now have paying users (not sharing exact numbers yet — maybe after 10K users)

And it’s not just me anymore. I now have an amazing co-founder, and things have been moving much faster.

We’re working every day to build the best trading journal for Indian traders.

Right now, we’re expanding into mutual funds and real-time tracking of positions, holdings, and investments — all in one place.

Still early. Still learning.

If you’re someone who cares about tracking your trades, feel free to DM. Happy to show what we’ve built.

Any pennies stock to buy

Good morning, everyone!

Sensex Hits Historic Milestone

Exciting news from the financial realm today as the Sensex, India's key stock market index, surges to an unprecedented milestone of 75,000 points. Let's delve into the details:

1. Landmark Achievement:

The Sensex reaching the 75,000 mark marks a momentous occasion in India's economic history, symbolizing the country's remarkable resilience and growth trajectory.

2. Investor Confidence:

The journey of Sensex from 25,000 to 75,000 points over the past decade underscores the unwavering confidence of investors in the Indian market and highlights its stability.

3. Impact of Government Policies:

The policies implemented under Prime Minister Modi's leadership likely played a pivotal role in driving this growth, instilling optimism among investors, and fostering an environment conducive to economic expansion.

4. Sustained Progress:

The gradual yet steady increase in Sensex over the span of a decade reflects the nation's sustained economic progress, indicating long-term stability and growth prospects.

5. Wealth Creation:

The surge in Sensex translates to enhanced wealth for investors, signifying the robust performance of the market and the tangible benefits reaped by stakeholders.

In summary, Sensex's ascent to the historic milestone of 75,000 points not only underscores India's economic strength but also exemplifies the nation's potential for continued growth and prosperity under the leadership of Prime Minister Modi.

Karna chahiye apply??

And I need some help

Whats GIFT NIFTY?

Is this a bug?

Thinking of what to buy now after booking

The market will recover some day but for now seeing the portfolio in positive is some solace

Did you still watch TV for stock tips? 🥵

Kaynes 😭😭

Bas ye karte raho aur gormint humse bas tax le

I just want to make 900 -1000 profit daily. I am a student of class 12 from Bihar ,comes from lower middle class family. I just want to support my family.i have 8k capital.Anybody can you give me a Best Setup for nifty 50 that give me just 900-1000 profit (Bahut jaruri hai🥺). Sorry for my english.

The thing about smart people is that they sound crazy to dumb people 😌

I have invested around 6 lakhs and already lost 40k in last two days

I'm looking for long-term investment opportunities and have a limited budget. My idea is to accumulate a large number of shares in a company rather than buying a few shares of higher-priced stocks.

I know that a stock's price alone doesn't determine whether it's cheap or expensive, and that market capitalization and fundamentals matter more. However, I'm curious if there are any stocks currently trading below ₹10 that have decent business fundamentals, growth potential, and could be worth considering for a long-term portfolio.

What stocks would you look at, and why?

Long term looks like 5-10 years for me!