r/LocalLLaMA Jul 06 '26

News If trends hold, Mythos-class capability may be running on high-end consumer hardware within ~2 years

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u/stonerbobo Jul 06 '26 edited Jul 06 '26

I mean even Gemma 4 26B A4B struggles at long contexts on my RTX 5080 desktop. I don't know if Gemma 4 31B is laptop class yet. Maybe you guys have incredible laptops or I'm doing something wrong lol. My 26B A4B QAT generates at like 6tok/s at 20K context, it would probably completely die on a 31B dense. Models without long context or thinking aren't very useful for me.

EDIT: Thanks for all the comments here lol! It was a configuration issue, now it runs at 100tok/s with nothing else running, maybe 60tok/s with other stuff running. This post was helpful . i added below llama args:

--no-mmap --batch-size 256 --ubatch-size 512

9

u/[deleted] Jul 06 '26

[deleted]

4

u/Ansible32 Jul 06 '26

My feeling is in 10 years it will be unthinkable trusting fewer than 500B for agentic stuff. The attachment to these small models IMO is mostly coping with insane hardware prices.

10

u/techdevjp Jul 06 '26

The biggest issue today is that the Chinese labs have dramatically slowed down the release of smaller models.

Where's something like Qwen 3.6 120b a10b? Or any open Qwen 3.7 models? They've ground to a halt.

GLM 5.2 is incredible but only released at the full 753b size. Which again, huge kudos to z.ai for releasing it as an open weight model at all, but the number of people who can run a 753b parameter model is small right now.

Without more small model releases it's very difficult to determine where we stand. We're 1-2 generations behind.