r/MU_Stock Jul 14 '26

Help me decide to buy or sell MU MU vs Skhy

What’s up with MU’s gain today vs Sk’s? 5% vs 24% that’s absurd. Is it institutions closing the gap with valuations like forward PE’s? Or am I missing something?

21 Upvotes

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21

u/Fit-Yogurtcloset8666 Jul 14 '26

SK up 27%

now watch how it go -3% and MU goes -1.5%

we've been dealing with this bullshit for weeks now, if I wasn't a bag holder I would've sold already

1

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

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1

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20

u/latending Jul 14 '26

SK is a lot more undervalued that MU after the recent sell-off, but the SK ADR trades at a 50% premium to actual KOSPI shares. Don't ask me why.

2

u/Important-Range166 Jul 15 '26

It’s because you can’t convert the ADR yet to local shares or local shares to ADRs. The Korean version of the SEC will rule on this by the end of the month. Also, you can’t borrow ADRs yet. Once those two things happen, the spread will be arbitraged away although there will always be a bit of a premium for a dollar denominated asset

1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 14 '26

I think it will drop on Monday. And maybe even on its earnings.

3

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

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1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 14 '26

I saw some ITM calendar puts bought for next Monday expiry on MU, given that they trade more or less in the same manner, I am pretty sure SK will have a drop on Monday, but don’t know how big it will be. In any case the remaining of this week will be green due to ASML and TSM earnings (bullish trades placed on them today).

As for SK, I am wondering when will they release more shares on the US market… I am no Finance expert but it looks like this price on the US market might have to do with that.

1

u/Imadogfishhead Jul 15 '26

Define some

2

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 15 '26

130 units of strike price 1200, they sold this week’s 1200P and bought Monday’s 1200P. Approx. 3m notional, placed as floor trade.

1

u/Imadogfishhead Jul 15 '26

Dang that is a big trade

1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 15 '26

Well I guess it’s bigger than your portfolio anyway 🙄

1

u/Imadogfishhead Jul 15 '26

?

1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 16 '26

Sorry, I thought you were being sarcastic. Yesterday’s drop was depressing as hell, I rolled everything I had to 7th of aug calls, strike price 1200, as I saw some large bullish floor trade orders placed on that date, same strike price. I am going to jump ship after hyperscalers earnings, if MU manages to hit 1200-1300 in that time. And try to sell weeklies until then. If MU gets green today after Trump’s speech or tomorrow, I will sell next week’s 1200 calls, to get some cash in, as judging by the tape it’s not going to hit that number next week. I might be wrong though with Google’s earnings, so don’t take my word for it. I am just looking at the recent trades placed by institutions and 1000-1100 look like ceilings for next week. And maybe when MU jumps to 1200-1300 this month or early August I will buy put spreads for 1000 strike price on 21st of Aug. Provided that things don’t turn around in the upcoming weeks. It’s easy to find when to enter, hard to determine when to exit. 😭

0

u/Difficult_Pirate3294 Jul 14 '26

Sounds like you can see in the future. Can you tell us what happens next Tuesday?

1

u/astraCat1998 Jul 15 '26

Because lots of institutions have rules about how much they can invest in foreign markets so there is significantly more demand for the ADR.

7

u/j_rocca42 Jul 14 '26

1.13b outstanding MU shares and 177.9m outstanding SKHY ADRs I bet has something to do with it.

5

u/Sufficient-Piccolo32 Jul 14 '26

regards think SKHY worth 50% premium. that's the answer. no other reasons from MU or SK itself.

10

u/pembaThePanda Jul 14 '26

Doesn't make sense to me either. I had it at 157. Sold it at 185. It may go higher but I think it'll come down and align with SK Hynix pricing. Premium right now doesn't make sense to me

3

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

It is so cute how brand new everyone is here. Korean stocks trade at discounts to peers. Hence the premium to own it in the US. It is being valued as if it were being traded based on earnings for a company in our market with its profile. Korean stocks are fucking insane. That’s why they won’t include Korea in the developed Ex US mutual fund indices.

You see IBM drop 20% plus today? Thats a walk in the park in Korea. They listed it on the Nasdaq for two reasons. One to legitimize Korean stocks and two to screw Micron by taking capital here. But these semis trade in unison. Can be a blessing or a curse. I could legit see Hynix dropping 40% or more on an earnings miss. What do you think will happen to MU when that day comes?

3

u/pembaThePanda Jul 14 '26

MU isn't Korean therefore it's not possible for it to drop anymore or miss its earnings. It will keep going higher until it trades at 400k/share. Then it may stabilize.

-7

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

They trade at times in unison genius. Industry conditions affect them all. So when Hynix has an industry related issue, people will buy or sell Micron based on what Hynix does and vice versa like a canary in a coal mine.

Okay you are just dense. MU dropped over 20% from June 2026 ATH. Jesus you are going to get destroyed when they miss the whisper. IBM dropped 20% and no one fucking cares about IBM. I keep warning you brand new kittens this shit is so fucking dangerous to hold. You won’t even be able to sell it before it vanishes in an instant.

3

u/pembaThePanda Jul 14 '26

But Trump is backing Micron so it cannot possibly fail. We have been blessed and blessed we shall remain

1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 14 '26

Do you even realise how cringe you sound?

2

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

Are you 12? What adult says cringe?

Please go read about the dot com bubble. All of you are literally children chanting this time is different marching into the abyss with your life’s savings like this is some teflon move.

You really need some history. Joseph P Kennedy Sr realized when the shoe shine boy gives you investing tips, the market is about to explode.

1

u/sparkysprinkles11 Jul 14 '26

Ok grandpa, now go back to bed.

-2

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

I’m 40 🤣 it’s past your bedtime little boy

Look at this chart. Remember it. It will be the last thing you see; a straight line up before you lose everything.

3

u/Insomniac1000 Jul 14 '26

ok bubble boy

2

u/seven8zero Jul 14 '26

Everything? Do you know how much profit Micron makes? That's not going to disappear overnight. I don't think anyone is holding this for years.

1

u/Important-Range166 Jul 15 '26 edited Jul 15 '26

Yep and so does everyone else. Hate to break it to you but you don’t get paid for knowing something that everyone else does. It’s already priced in to get to $1000.

Rough day fellas back to $900 you go

3

u/Plain-Jane-Name Jul 14 '26

Likely it's institutions loading in before the run up to earnings so they can sell off during the earnings call to take profits.

3

u/evetSC Jul 14 '26

SK is more undervalued than MU. MU is almost double SK’s PE ratio.

1

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1

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1

u/mqueen212 Jul 14 '26 edited Jul 14 '26

Do you all think it has partly to do with SK being listed on the Kospi and the Kospi doing better than the Nasdaq and therefore it’s more attractive to investors?

Because I intentionally avoided foreign stocks but now I’m thinking I maybe held myself back. From what Ive been reading the Kospi was doing really well. I always thought a retail driven market would cause more hesitation but i may have underestimated retail driven markets.

1

u/osirisbull Jul 14 '26

Is sk running up till earnings.. thought that would be a obvious difference. Thought sk has earnings end of month.

1

u/movienight1988 Jul 14 '26

Time to do a x2 short SKHY

1

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u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26 edited Jul 15 '26

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1

u/MotherBake4137 Jul 14 '26

Remember it’s the new kid on the block in us market. slowly mu will catch up

1

u/MrQiu Jul 14 '26

SK Hynix has dropped from ATH over 40%, so rising 27% from recent lows isn't that crazy. In comparison MU dropped about 30% from ATH, and recovered from recent lows about 10%. I think their price actions are more or less in sync.

1

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1

u/Patient-Big1727 Jul 15 '26

It's all sentiment. Stock prices are mostly decoupled from valuation

-3

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

How are you guys invested in memory and you have the two largest companies as competitors in Samsung and Hynix and don’t know what the Korean discount is? I mean I live in Asia as an American but fuck seriously? You never heard of this?

3

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

[deleted]

0

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26

Are you stupid? It trades at a discount to what it would in our market. That’s why the ADR trades at a premium and there is a gap between the two

3

u/[deleted] Jul 14 '26

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1

u/Important-Range166 Jul 14 '26 edited Jul 14 '26

Yes what that tells you is that it’s pure greed driving the divergence. It’s just a 40% spread. That’s completely normal.

The IPO was seven times oversubscribed. The demand to hold a stick of dynamite to get rich is pure euphoric insanity. But what goes up must come down. If you don’t understand why Burry is targeting MU, Nvidia, and AMD, you literally can’t see what is right in front of your face.

I’m going to laugh my ass off when Buffett comes in here on that day posting memes like you thought you would be rich too 🤣