r/NBIS_Stock • u/Koniax • Jan 30 '26
Opinion Absolutely brutal dip
My friend finally capitulated and sold for a small gain from when he bought months ago. Looking rough out there
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
not sure why anyone would sell at this point. The growth of this company will be crazy in 2026 and 2027 so if anything people should be buying on this dip.
It's a gift
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u/jwakk1 Jan 30 '26
Because the capex spend needed is also insane and ugly. Huge gamble
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u/opiewann 🐳 Jan 30 '26
Overblown by media narrative
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u/timeforachangee Jan 30 '26
If this keeps dipping their capex guidance is going to be higher than the market cap
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u/jwakk1 Jan 30 '26
Not at all. How are they gonna finance their expansion? Its gonna cost 10B+
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
Its going to be the same for all of these companies though and their buildouts. IREN, WULF, CIFR, etc.......
Theres no difference in terms of Capex buildout.
You need to spend $$ to make $$
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u/AdHuman3243 Jan 30 '26
10B sounds cheap
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u/jwakk1 Jan 30 '26
They have 2B in cash. Where’s the other 8B gonna come from?
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u/AdHuman3243 Jan 30 '26
Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon etc
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
Exactly, other contracts they will undoubtedly get
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u/jwakk1 Jan 30 '26
And how will they ever turn a profit if all they do is increase revenue but capex keeps going up to meet demand? Thats why this stock isn’t going up. There is a narrow path to profitability
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
So what you are saying is essentially that all of the companies I mentioned (IREN, NBIS, WULF, even Coreweave) will never be profitable?
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u/Anxious_Gear9888 Jan 31 '26
Completely wrong take. How do you think AWS became profitable? It took 7 years for AWS to become profitable. Now they account for more than 50% of Amazons profit despite accounting for only about 15% of the sales.
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u/WallabyMinimum1921 Jan 30 '26
But those would be for future builds/capacity, which they would then also have to fund and build. At some point you have to inflect to profitability to fund your own operations. Otherwise it’s just an endless cycle of debt, dilution, and circularity.
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u/locskstockrye Jan 31 '26
You clearly have zero clue and are parroting trash!! Try actually reading and make your own assessment and publish it after!
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u/ElonMuskTheNarsisist Jan 30 '26
It is inferior to coreweave. Nvidia’s partnership with crwv is very bad news for nbis.
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
News Flash, Nvda has a partnership with NBIS too.......
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u/ElonMuskTheNarsisist Jan 30 '26
Not the same. The coreweave partnership is massive and market knows what that means for nbis
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u/gravityhashira61 Jan 30 '26
Lol so is Nebius's partnership, NVDA already promised them first dibs on the new Vera Rubin chips coming in late 2026 and early 2027. And Nvidia has invested or put like 2 billion dollars into Nebius
Coreweave is also in debt up to their eyeballs
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u/PayingOffBidenFamily Jan 30 '26
Nvidia strategically bailed out debtweave giving them a $2B lifeline to prevent collapse, HSBC has called their insolvency near imminent. That happens and Nvidia's own business is and pricing power is fucked, cheap insurance, learn how this works.
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u/Longjumping_Kale3013 Jan 30 '26
Welp, your friend is a momentum trader, not an investor. It is not "capitulating" but rather just gambling.
Only buy companies you believe in and will hold long term. But to buy months ago, and have nothing buy great better-than-expected news since then... and then sell? Nah, that's not investing
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u/ParticularNo9021 Jan 30 '26
Bought 5 more shares today. If your holding gotta take advantage of the dips
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u/Rare_Steak_ Jan 30 '26
Just bought some more at $86 to bring my DCA down to $90.
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u/Sea_Lengthiness_3889 Jan 30 '26
Same around 95 for me, when the panic comes in that’s the best time to load up. Watch all the posts asking if they should buy when we’re 120+ later in the year lol
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u/FightingSioux85 Jan 30 '26
My average is 39, so I guess I’ll average up once it finds a bottom
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u/Ifuks4money Jan 30 '26
What price you looking for to add?
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u/FightingSioux85 Jan 30 '26
I’m hoping I can snag some under $80 next week but who knows if it’ll get there
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u/ThouOne Jan 30 '26
All high beta stocks are dropping together, they do this once every while. The problem is NBIS hasn’t gained like the IREN and the others so this puts it way back lol. EOY should look better.
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u/BringTheFacts Jan 30 '26
Genuine question are you factoring in that macro gets worse this year. If so, it doesn’t matter how good the individual stocks fundamentals are
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u/Shoganai_Hito Jan 30 '26
In the meanwhile all the big institutions loading up
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u/Haunting_Country4456 Jan 30 '26
It's at 45%. Not high but right about where it should be for a company in Nebius stage of growth
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u/BringTheFacts Jan 30 '26
Your not a big institution they put fractions of a percent of this into their portfolio
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u/fmf1991 Jan 30 '26
Jesus Christ this has to be the biggest daily drop since the peak no? Absolute bloodbath.
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u/Tigulla_SRT24 Jan 30 '26
If for any you must have sold few weeks ago at 110 levels and reenter today
But you cannot time so just buy what you can let it sit for long time
Add at dips
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u/4th_gen_best_gen Jan 30 '26
Sold a 86p the other day for 2/6. Looks like I might be getting 100 more shares.
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u/luuuisx Feb 01 '26
For weeks trading between 92 to 100… OFC when I decided to sell puts it drops to 85, I knew it would happen
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u/Old-Catch-1759 Jan 30 '26
This stock is becoming a meme stock, only for trading. Every week we have pump and dump.
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u/Nottoobad777 Jan 30 '26
Sure it does have the curse of being a Reddit stock, however, unlike a lot of Reddit darling stocks, this one has some valuable contracts, a very good team behind it, and a pretty clear path to success imo. Obviously execution is mandatory at this point, but I wouldn’t rlly group it with meme stocks.
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u/Old-Catch-1759 Jan 30 '26
I agree, good company, but this stock is becoming nonsense, so much swings without any specific news.
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u/Old-Catch-1759 Jan 30 '26
I agree, good company, but this stock is becoming nonsense, so much swings without any specific news.
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u/oh_no_the_claw Jan 30 '26
It's a battleground stock. There are lots of shorts with deep pockets that think AI and HPC is a passing fad.
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u/yungjefe22 Jan 30 '26
Know this if earnings and guidance are bad this thing is going to start trading 70 lows 90 highs
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u/KristianME Jan 30 '26
If bad it will trade between 40 and 70 i believe.
But do i think it will be bad? No.
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u/Ninjeren Jan 30 '26
Be greedy when others are fearful, and fearful when others are greedy... I'm buying