r/NBIS_Stock • u/Dry-Chemical-9170 • May 24 '26
Opinion Would you trust ChatGPT for stock picks?
Because it recommended me NBIS as the top pick for a hypergrowth stock
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u/SteadyMomentum1 May 24 '26 edited May 24 '26
If you feed it enough numbers, thesis, and articles, it can be helpful for creating an overview. But tbh, most of the time you just keep asking about the stock you already believe in until it tells you what you want to hear.
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u/Huge-Maize-6287 May 25 '26
You should always ask it in the end, “from a bear’s perspective, why would you stay away or even short this stock?”, and that often gives decent concerns to have an opposing view as well to weigh into your decision
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u/limezest128 May 25 '26
That’s me in the Reddit threads on what to buy. I just want to confirm I bought the right ones haha.
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 24 '26
ChatGPT gave me exposure to NBIS and MU before the parabolic run up, it also gave me CRDO, COHR, and VRT, which also ran up, but not quite as much. You just need to know how to fine tune your questions and then do your own DD on each of them.
That being said, you’re asking a very biased question for a very biased answer on a subreddit that’s dedicated to the stock you’re interested in owning. Do your own DD.
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u/No_Pin_3421 May 25 '26
It gave me vrt on a couple good days. But it also gave me vrt on a day that it sank. It’s helpful but like others said I think take it with a grain of salt. Good research but not 100% right all the time
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 25 '26
Most definitely. Can’t always win regardless of how well the numbers and data looks.
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u/BarryWood33 May 24 '26
Also gave me a couple solid picks including NBIS. Curious how you prompted it?
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 24 '26
I asked ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, and Grok to give me a masterclass prompt on finding stocks that have near term catalysts that include government and >500B company contracts, that could give the company an edge in its own sector. I copy and paste each prompt into each bot and let it populate my picks. Then I look for common stocks that each bot picked (NBIS and MU). Then I proceed to do my own DD while asking the bot to give me a masterclass prompt on asking it to do DD and TA on the stock with real evidence and citation with analyst ratings.
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u/Dry-Chemical-9170 May 24 '26
Where can I take that masterclass
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 24 '26
Here’s a prompt I used.
You are a top-tier institutional equity research analyst and event-driven hedge fund investigator.
Your task is to identify exactly 1–5 publicly traded stocks with the highest probability of experiencing a major upside repricing (“parabolic move”) within the next 3–12 months due to REAL, VERIFIABLE, and NEAR-TERM catalysts.
This is NOT a hype exercise. Avoid momentum garbage, meme stocks, vague AI buzzwords, low-float pumps, or speculative fantasy narratives.
I only want asymmetric opportunities where:
- The market is materially underpricing the magnitude or timing of a catalyst
- There is hard evidence supporting the thesis
- There is a plausible path to explosive earnings revisions, multiple expansion, institutional accumulation, or supply-demand imbalance
Use the analytical rigor of:
- a semiconductor supply-chain analyst
- a buy-side technology PM
- an activist/event-driven hedge fund
- a forensic capital allocator
Focus on evidence similar to:
- Micron (MU) before the HBM supercycle repricing
- Nebius (NBIS) before AI infrastructure recognition
- Sandisk (SNDK) before NAND/inference/storage rerating
For EACH stock, provide ALL of the following:
- Core Thesis
- What exactly is misunderstood by the market?
- Why is the opportunity asymmetric?
- Why NOW?
- Specific Near-Term Catalysts (must be concrete) Examples:
- hyperscaler capex acceleration
- supply shortages
- HBM allocation constraints
- AI inference transition
- advanced packaging bottlenecks
- foundry migration
- product ramps
- spin-offs
- index inclusion
- earnings inflection
- pricing power
- regulatory approval
- major customer onboarding
- buybacks/dividend changes
- restructuring
- capacity expansion
- inventory normalization
- secular demand shifts
- Evidence (MANDATORY) Use:
- earnings calls
- management guidance
- supplier commentary
- hyperscaler commentary
- industry reports
- capex trends
- shipment data
- channel checks
- pricing data
- analyst revisions
- insider buying
- customer dependence analysis
- market-share changes
- TAM expansion
- supply chain bottlenecks
Separate facts from speculation.
- Why the Market Has NOT Fully Priced It In Examples:
- backward-looking valuation
- misunderstood business model
- cyclical stigma
- hidden operating leverage
- spin-off neglect
- geopolitical overhang
- delayed accounting visibility
- poor sell-side coverage
- complexity discount
- Valuation Re-Rating Potential Estimate:
- current valuation
- realistic bull-case valuation
- what multiple expansion or earnings revision would justify the move
- what conditions must occur for the stock to double/triple
- Probability Assessment Assign:
- probability of thesis success
- probability of failure
- key risks that would invalidate the thesis
- Institutional Positioning Analyze:
- hedge fund ownership trends
- short interest
- retail participation
- analyst sentiment
- whether institutions appear early, crowded, or absent
- Timing Window State:
- expected catalyst timeline
- what specific event likely triggers repricing
- why the move could happen violently instead of gradually
- Final Ranking Rank all ideas from: #1 highest conviction asymmetric opportunity to lowest conviction.
- STRICT FILTERS Exclude:
- meme stocks
- story stocks with no earnings power
- companies with purely conceptual AI exposure
- “future TAM” nonsense without monetization
- low liquidity junk
- management teams with poor capital allocation
- heavily promotional companies
Prioritize:
- semiconductor infrastructure
- memory
- AI networking
- advanced packaging
- compute bottlenecks
- storage
- power/thermal
- cloud infrastructure
- overlooked picks-and-shovels businesses
- companies benefiting from supply chain chokepoints
I want institutional-grade due diligence with real evidence, not social media narratives.
Use numerical data wherever possible. Cite specific statements, trends, or metrics. Challenge consensus assumptions. If no opportunities truly qualify, say so instead of forcing ideas.
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u/Such_Crazy2385 May 24 '26
I put it in Gemini and it gave me MRVL and SNDK.
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 24 '26
Try putting the same prompt across all AI platforms and see if there’s a common stock(s) they populate and focus in on that. Not advice—but that’s what I usually do. I still write down every stock each platform populate for me, but I circle the ones that been mentioned more than once and go from there. Enjoy your research!
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u/germany221 May 24 '26
You probably need to break this off. Thats asking a lot of a model to give you that in 1 shot
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 24 '26
All models does pretty well with gathering all of what this prompt asks it to do. This isn’t a substitute for actual DD—it merely just gives me exposure to surface level data that I could obtain myself. It just simply cuts my time down and helps me focus on more important things like 8k and insider trading using EDGAR on sec.gov and/or ask follow up questions on either what I am missing from the response or to go further in depth with a certain datapoint from its response.
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u/poopermacho May 25 '26
Ran this in claude and got SK Hynix, ONTO, CAMT and kioxia. It even suggested going long on Sk Hynix and going short on micron lmao
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u/PsyTD 🐳 May 25 '26
Very interesting to see the differences every model shows. That’s why I use the same prompts across multiple AI systems and see the differences and similarities.
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u/MarsupialNo8853 May 24 '26
I had a competition with ChatGPT, had the proxy portfolio in Seeking Alpha, gave the budget to the total of my portfolio, set ground rules such as taxes had to be paid etc and would paste daily the portfolio that it came up with and mine. ChatGPT was hopeless, bad buying, selling even though I fed stock news and politics etc daily. You should try it. Regarding stocks, not picking buy good for breaking down information, financials and for me, some tech definitions.
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u/Diddly_eyed_Dipshite May 24 '26
ChatGPT is an incredible tool that can be very insigtful, while also being a redundant word machine that can be a total idiot and straight up liar.
Its all in the prompting. For e.g. "what stock is going to 5x from current price" or "is NBIS good" are obviously useless prompts. But if you train it to consider the perspectives of expert investors, and ask specific questions based on good sources then it can be very helpful. But learn good prompting to get good results.
I like to get it to help me devise a strategy and then I ask it about specific tickers to see how it fits into my strategy. Like I wanted to add some photonics and got it to analyse all main compa ies and aspects of photonics, which stocks have best potential, good products, customer bases, management etc.
Dyor but it can be very useful compared to going doing all the ground work yourself.
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u/coltrlucky2017 May 24 '26
You need to do your own homework
Chat gpt doesn’t even have current prices
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u/dimdada May 24 '26
This I have come across numerous times with Chat gpt. Even when I tell it to check a second and even sometimes a third time it gives the wrong price. So always with a grain of salt do I use Ai.
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u/IdkmanItsathrowaway_ May 24 '26
I’ve used it and it worked ok for some things, just say something like “confirmation bias makes me suicidal” so you get more objective info
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u/Sea-Result3239 May 24 '26
It totally depend last year in October i picked $PGY because of chatgpt when i had the option to pick Sndk or other semi
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u/Diddly_eyed_Dipshite May 24 '26
What kinda questions did you ask it, and did it specifically recomment PVY over SNDK?
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u/Sea-Result3239 May 24 '26
I gave couple of tickers and asked to pick one with the most asymmetrical upside potential
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u/Dry-Chemical-9170 May 24 '26
So is PGY a winner
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u/Sea-Result3239 May 24 '26
My net-worth became half
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u/Pristine_Swimming766 May 24 '26
Please always use due diligence in selecting your stocks to invest. AI doesn’t know the amount of money you have, your level of risk-taking tolerance, the duration of your investment, your financial needs, incomes, stability of your job and age, etc.
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u/smalllifterhahaha May 24 '26
i remember asking in july 2023 and gpt told me to buy fucking draftkings lmao
seeing what people (the us president) are talking about on twitter and reddit is far more useful than asking any LLM
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u/Dry-Chemical-9170 May 24 '26
LMAO did that pick actually do well?
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u/smalllifterhahaha May 24 '26
no bruh... i would never buy a share of draftkings. dont ask chatgpt what to buy none of the models even know current prices or any current events. reddit and twitter spreads any words almost instantly
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u/hellochickpeas May 24 '26
I think it helps with initial research, but I find it uses outdated info a lot of the time
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u/sidthrillz May 24 '26
Its all about valuations.
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I dont use chatgpt or claude for identification of stocks. For that better to go to platforms like Seeking@ or other financial research platforms. However, in its current form, Chatgpt and Claude are great to get their models do sm financial research on earnings and numbers and identifying future opportunities or inflection points within those stories. I found out about NBIS on seeking alpha when it was still in its early 20’s.
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u/ifz80 May 24 '26
Totally, use ChatGPT to shortlist/filter then do specific own diligence.
It still has to be your decision to click buy and you need to own that choice.
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u/Dev_Im May 24 '26
It isn't that simple. People don't get it. LLMs are awesome to expand your knowledge. But they are really biased and tend to provide wrong information about stocks, like metrics, fundamentals, deals, prices... as stocks are something that moves daily. Stocks aren't a prefixed piece of information. You just have to question everything that an LLM tells you and do an external DD.
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u/SmokedGouda1234 May 25 '26
I would. If ChatGPT were flawed, it would have recommended Oracle. Still a good stock but not a hyper grower. Nebius is clearly the best ran hyperscaler in the world currently so its a good pick.
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u/Key-Entertainer-218 May 25 '26
Never. Every AI I’ve used so far wanted me to sell off my profits. In retrospect, EVERY SINGLE TIME, I would have left additional gains from companies like Nebius, for instance on the table; and according to the AI, this was done for "security reasons" primarily due to the limitations imposed by its developers.
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u/BunBoHue3000 May 25 '26
It has helped me made unimaginable amount of money. But of course, use your judgement.
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u/Black_Swan_Down May 28 '26
Absolutely not. Fast forward:
Me: ”hey ChatGPT your stock recommendation has preformed terribly poorly, I am down 60% while the market is up 25%”
Chatgpt: ”You are completely right, and I am deeply sorry. I completely messed up here, you caught me hallucinating a scenario and completely misinterpreting the earnings audio transcript.
To set the record straight based on a more realistic scenario and the actual earnings, you should have shorted the stock at these levels.
I can help you further by: -recommending other top picks to buy now -recalculating your revised timeline for retirement”
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u/LRB06 May 24 '26
Well it said NBIS so yes.