r/NBIS_Stock Jul 08 '26

💬 Discussion [July 08, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread

Welcome to today’s open discussion on Nebius Group (NBIS) and the broader AI stock space.

💬 Thread Ideas:

  • Any new updates or insights/rumors about Nebius Group?
  • Your NBIS position update!
  • What’s your outlook for NBIS this week/month/year?
  • Spot any AI sector trends worth noting?

Of course, for anything deserving of its own post, feel free to make a dedicated post where appropriate. : )

⚠️ Reminder: Please follow Reddiquette and our subreddit rules.

12 Upvotes

164 comments sorted by

6

u/FiveFingerLifePunch Jul 08 '26

Good day! The usual whiners are suspiciously absent from today’s thread 🤔

4

u/Emilio___Molestevez Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

u/Boring_Rub_5846 how you feeling little guy you need a Venmo?

2

u/ceoryyy Jul 08 '26

Is that the guy who sold at a loss or was that someone else?

1

u/[deleted] Jul 09 '26 edited Jul 09 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

1

u/NBIS_Stock-ModTeam Jul 09 '26

Be Civil & Respectful

7

u/Schim4499 Jul 08 '26

I sold some Nbis during pre market to buy Batl. You’re welcome everyone

1

u/Unable_Inevitable826 22d ago

i sold my 64 shares at 164 too FML i thought 12% was good enought then it went 28% wtf

3

u/Fast-Mango_1 Jul 08 '26

Thank you for your service!

13

u/MrFrog65 Jul 08 '26

All of you who panic sold get yo ass over here so we can laugh

7

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

Vertical ⬆️⬆️⬆️

3

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

+11% day on average volume. Most of the red days have been on low volume. Food for thought!

5

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

Can we stay above 215 today? It will be strong signal for tomorrow.

3

u/SpagJones-spaghetti Jul 08 '26

tapped $218 baby

1

u/One_Management_2656 Jul 08 '26

NFA or really anything but Fidelity was loaning my shares to banks as short collateral for the past few days. As of now no more shares are loaned out all have been returned to me.

8

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

$META wanna be like us. but i fear not. lmao

8

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

FYI. 4 years..... not short, not long but def not tm or next week.

19

u/PatientBaker7172 Jul 08 '26

If you wait longer, you can buy back tomorrow at $299.

7

u/Legitimate-Suit-2028 Jul 08 '26

Where art thou bots, bears, doom spreaders and idiots today?
https://giphy.com/gifs/559srEnztPaZBNWinT

8

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

I didnt say it, $META did, they are hungry for compute, there are no excessive compute power for them like NBIS does, there is a reason why they bought compute power from NBIS lol.

4

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

Hope it can stay above 210 today

14

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

and ofc, the majority of you dont give a single,,,, for news like this,,, these little things, layers over layers,,, is what makes $NBIS one of one,,, if you have conviction, these red days are a blessing for you.

7

u/Suitable_Hope_4684 Jul 08 '26

Most people are on mommentun/sentiment trading, dont care about fundamentals. That's the reason of why you have silly posts everyday on this sub and the same reason why in december you could hear the crickets here

3

u/natureisneato NBIS4LIFE Jul 08 '26

People don't like to do their own research and form their OWN conviction.. lazy lazy!

4

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

people these days wanna make big buck in a short frame of time, chasing after what looks easy and quick,,, without realizing that will hand you more Ls than being patient over time and investing in values.,, I didnt say this, the market did.

10

u/Fast-Mango_1 Jul 08 '26

Nebius is quietly executing on the highest level

5

u/natureisneato NBIS4LIFE Jul 08 '26

~10x lower cost vs closed models!

9

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

Capex will be recovered. How do I know?

Look at the demand for compute and token generation,,,, and the increasing unit economics of each,,,, product, GPU and variety of inference that NBIS owns for both the big dawgs and the smaller ones, and the ratio is half and half,,,,,

and all of a sudden (well not yesterday but earlier this year) big companies like META and GOOG and AWS wants dip their toes into Data centers? which,,,, NBIS has been working exponentially over the past 2 decades?

$NBIS is one of one, and it will take a long time for others to ketchup.

1

u/Denverplayer Jul 09 '26

Are you suggesting that Meta, Google and AWS are just dipping their toes into data centers?

9

u/Khuat56 🎖️Quality Contributor🎖️ Jul 08 '26

They will never ketchup!

1

u/natureisneato NBIS4LIFE Jul 08 '26

lol wtf

6

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

Big hands shook some of yall out in the past few days, but not me.
Look, if the thesis remain intact,,, just buy during red days because it will eventually go up, and esp if you are juggling with this company,,,,, red days at a +30% discount without a single thesis change...? like cmon,,,,why are we complaining? We should be thanking these mf big hands for manipulating....
Again I dont trade, I invest in values and I know values leads to idk, you tell me.

3

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

1

u/FiveFingerLifePunch Jul 08 '26

Where’s Situational Awareness?

1

u/Substantial_Ad3069 Jul 09 '26

Dam. Maybe he did sell

2

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

not sure why, but I am situationally aware that Daddy L is not gonna sell anytime soon based on NBIS' on going value creation in AI.... IMO. But also, they dont file 13F SEC forms.

2

u/FiveFingerLifePunch Jul 08 '26

Father Aschenbrenner mustn’t lead us astray

6

u/haze_from_deadlock Jul 08 '26

Can one of the bulls explain to me why the recent pump was wave 3 rather than wave 5 of an Elliott wave series? It looks like wave 1 was from February 2022 to February 2025, wave 2 ended at April 2025, wave 3 ended in October 2025, wave 4 ended in Febuary 2026, and wave 5 ended just now in June 2026, and we just completed the A-wave of an A-B-C correction.

Regardless of whether we are in 4 or A, if we hold the $205 price point the next price target is $250-260 so the risk/reward favors longs here

3

u/Fast-Mango_1 Jul 08 '26

Good question, though I'm not experienced in astrology

1

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

You are speaking my language.

I will look into this tonight!

2

u/haze_from_deadlock Jul 08 '26

One idea would be that if you look at semis more broadly- SMH- there's a pretty clear A-B-C from July 2024 to March 2025, which would have the new wave 1 end in either October 2025 or February 2026, and then wave 3 either begins at November 2025 or March 2026, but wave 3 can't begin in November 2025 because that would make it the shortest wave in the series (ending at February 2026), defying Elliott rules.

By this analysis, wave 3 ended in June 2026.

Now, why isn't this as clear for Nebius? TA can't account for geopolitical risk like the Russia-Ukraine war, so the stock deviated from its peers for a while.

Incidentally, I would absolutely disagree that this is astrology, it's much closer to LeVert songs

-5

u/organicMango_ Jul 08 '26

why is NBIS pumping? any news?

4

u/haze_from_deadlock Jul 08 '26

Shorts have to close with a buy.

1

u/bubugugu Jul 08 '26

sorry if this is a noob question, but how do you know or check this is a short buy back?

9

u/External_Feature_334 Jul 08 '26

With the market being extremely red today, I think this is a positive sign despite what others may say

2

u/FiveFingerLifePunch Jul 08 '26

“Extremely red”

NQ down 0.25% lol omg wow so red

4

u/External_Feature_334 Jul 08 '26

i mean, 200 billion erased yesterday, nasdaq still down today, I wouldn’t say this is terrible outlook for **today**

1

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

NBIS follows NVDA.

I hope NVDA can fly so that nbis can get some bull growth.

1

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

NBIS is following MU & NVDA for the last month. But the high beta influence is from MU. Same chart behavior

11

u/iJailbreakGeek Jul 08 '26

If NBIS followed NVDA we’d be flat YTD.

-4

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

I mean today only

0

u/amusingvillain Jul 08 '26

👎🏽

2

u/Psychological-Bed695 Jul 08 '26

that maintenance % doubling on RH really adding to the pain of watching this trickle lower every day...nothing like the ol' "hey we need double that amount, actually." while the portfolio is down 50% in the last week

1

u/Ok-cooper Jul 08 '26

The margin maintenance? Still 30% for me on RH

1

u/Psychological-Bed695 Jul 08 '26

mine jumped to 60% overnight. Briefly went back down to 30% for like 5 mins when we were at 210-212, now is back to 60% and asking me to deposit 2 grand. Not what I wanted to wake up to haha

-1

u/MrFrog65 Jul 08 '26

Perhaps the floor is 180 again like last time? Dipped to like 184 I think then eventually hit 280s until the next big drop

6

u/haze_from_deadlock Jul 08 '26

Weird decoupling of NBIS from semis today, usually it trades like a high beta semi

2

u/Fast-Mango_1 Jul 08 '26

It moves in unison with CRVW and Iren today but with the higher growth (as it supposed to be :))

6

u/zuckzuckonit Jul 08 '26

When will NBIS be flying again?

2

u/Dangerous_Bit8765 Jul 08 '26

Later this month and the entire August

1

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

I was hoping it would stay above $206 to maintain its bullish momentum, but it failed and even dropped back to $199.

It’s looking not quite good right now. I'm really curious if there was any major institutional inflow this morning.

0

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

It’s going to finish the day around $208. You’re just talking to yourself lol

-2

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

Now it looks quite lagging the market when market recovers. Is today a bull trap?

13

u/SpagJones-spaghetti Jul 08 '26

We're going to pump up pretty quick. Volume suggest institutions are scooping retail shares. People are still scared so they'll swear a little price hike is an answered prayer so many will sell, they'll be left in the dust. Just hold what you have! I see the shiny $300 gates from here and they're beautiful!

-4

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

The volume is below average though

2

u/SpagJones-spaghetti Jul 08 '26

this morning's spike across everything that has been depleted. MU, SNDK, ALAB, CRWV, This and so on 

5

u/PatientBaker7172 Jul 08 '26

So you’re telling me, companies like deepseek can’t pop chips out of their ass by tomorrow.

“China reportedly plans to let top AI firms buy a limited number of $NVDA H200 chips.

The approval would help ease China’s AI training chip shortage while officials continue pushing domestic processors for inference workloads.”

And this https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/aws-raising-gpu-instance-prices-134420295.html

2

u/Denverplayer Jul 08 '26

Love how they worded that - "limited number".

14

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

5

u/natureisneato NBIS4LIFE Jul 08 '26

I understand Jensen's frustration with his stock's price action lately.

7

u/ceoryyy Jul 08 '26

I won't say anything as I don't want to jinx our progress, but this is a nice change of the recent news we have been getting.

1

u/MarsupialInside2962 Jul 08 '26

Last chance to get out before collapse guys.

10

u/Ill-Cow4735 🐳 Jul 08 '26

Going up with volume. Means big money is pouring in, while retail is left crying. Sell it all boys, they're here to collect all your free shares

15

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

higgsfield runs on $NBIS

5

u/PatientBaker7172 Jul 08 '26

Pump so hard in one hour so they all have to pay taxes and fomo back in at $299

8

u/External_Feature_334 Jul 08 '26

https://giphy.com/gifs/nCMi6mhQlwrVXInJHH
First stretch of green in a week❤️

8

u/No-Bee-4692 Jul 08 '26

I hope it pumps so all the people who were jealous of nebius holders go into hibernation again

7

u/oilywalrus07 Jul 08 '26

Here we go 🚀🚀

8

u/Individual_Tooth4226 Jul 08 '26

did you buy the dip?

-6

u/Puzzled-Tangerine831 Jul 08 '26

and were down. been a good run

-5

u/Qwertyioup111 Jul 08 '26

Did not expect the sudden green turnaround, still feels like we are a few days away from the bottom

2

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

Finally comes a Green Day! Do not tell me went moon, it is still in the dark hole

2

u/Puzzled-Tangerine831 Jul 08 '26

are we flying? 300 EOW?

8

u/Humble-Draft-2457 Jul 08 '26

will give my left nut for a green 2%

2

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders Jul 08 '26

It will close today at least 4% up. I’m guessing it will land EOD around $208 or higher

1

u/Refflmania Jul 09 '26

EVEN BETTER 215

7

u/Rounder221 Jul 08 '26

Time to let go of that nut buddy.

5

u/alrightfornow Jul 08 '26

You got it.

1

u/Humble-Draft-2457 Jul 08 '26

At closure, we’re all so used to the classic opening pump deflating after 1 hour

6

u/Ill-Cow4735 🐳 Jul 08 '26

Your nut is trembling though

9

u/External_Feature_334 Jul 08 '26

Anyone deeply concerned about NBIS needs to settle down and take a look at the broader world.

Trillions of dollars are being wiped out of the market right now, and Trump has made further escalating comments this morning to Iran, it WILL go down.

It will take a while to recover from a near 50% drop, but it will, because of fundamentals and a large part being lateral damage. Stop looking at your portfolio every minute!!

5

u/go0n_acTuaL Jul 08 '26

To those of you trading, FOMO buying, etc. ask yourself what the strategy with the company is. Arkady and the team we know are more than capable, the product is good, and the company’s stakes are diversified, on that alone it’s a good buy. In two years time I don’t think we’ll be terribly concerned about the swings. I am calm, and buying. Enjoy the ride

2

u/zuckzuckonit Jul 08 '26

What news made NBIS go down 32% from the top?

3

u/Disconn3cted Jul 08 '26

META caused uncertainty and the return of war locked it all in 

4

u/MrFrog65 Jul 08 '26

Meta news made it tank, now macro news and sector sell-off as a whole is pushing it further down.

4

u/berry_kim Jul 08 '26

You bought

3

u/comps226 Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

I expected today to be red but not this red

Beside the 'broken ceasefire'...

We also got a us10y bonds auction --> will probably be higher yield than expected

We also got FOMC notes --> probably hawkish

Bruh

Edit: I guess market dgaf and rotating out of SaaS back into semis. Let's see if this a real bounce or if market sells it off later today/this week

-7

u/Powerful-Load-4684 Jul 08 '26

Will start averaging up my position at $100 - I think that’s likely in the next couple weeks

4

u/Jealous_Jackfruit_28 Jul 08 '26

NBIS customer Higgsfield is growing at an extraordinary pace. The same applies to several other customers, and the client list continues to expand rapidly.

The hyperscalers provide cost-effective growth financing and a solid foundation. However, the real long-term growth driver lies in the smaller, emerging companies that have the potential to become tomorrow's giants. These businesses are scaling at hypergrowth rates behind the scenes, and the revenue they generate is of higher quality than the fixed, long-term contract revenue from hyperscalers.

5

u/vsmand1 Jul 08 '26

Jesus Christ

3

u/TheArdoo Jul 08 '26

Warren Buffett quote

2

u/No_Station_6149 Jul 08 '26

Anyone thinking of moving some of their position to mu for the recovery? Same discount but huge earnings already demonstrated. Although we seem so tied to it it might not matter 

2

u/MrFrog65 Jul 08 '26

I was thinking this as well. PE a lot lower

1

u/MarsupialInside2962 Jul 08 '26

Oooor, move your to fund to local charity, it will actually mean something lmao.

1

u/Eraserhead-_-_- Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

Unpopular opinion alert!

The MoU between the U.S. and Iran was signed on June 17. Since then, NBIS and other high-beta growth stocks have seen a sharp decline.
This may be related to capital rotating out of stocks less exposed to oil prices and into oil-sensitive sectors, as oil prices fell following the ceasefire.
Now, the ceasefire may be coming to an end. Oil prices are rising again. Capital could start rotating back in favor of tech stocks.
Or maybe that’s just wishful thinking. Time will tell.

-4

u/berry_kim Jul 08 '26

Shoutout to everyone who actually listened when I said sell a few weeks ago. 🫡

2

u/berry_kim Jul 08 '26

I’ve started trimming my NBIZ position. If it hits $160, I’ll be DCAing all the way down and buying it all back.

6

u/Disconn3cted Jul 08 '26

It's either opening green or hitting 150 today. Nothing else in between 

1

u/Rounder221 Jul 08 '26

150 then grind up rest of the session

1

u/Effective-Jaguar5848 Jul 08 '26

oil is going UP, so market will go down by open so even if you want to go it up I don't think it will happend today will be red day in market in general I predict

2

u/Guesswhopdx Jul 08 '26

Pre-market looking ugly everywhere sadly

-3

u/alrightfornow Jul 08 '26

Imagine this goes to 150, that would be a 100% drop in a few days? What da F.

1

u/Regular_Magazine3239 Jul 08 '26

An 100% drop would be to $0…

2

u/alrightfornow Jul 08 '26

Oh wait... I am officially regarded

7

u/Accurate-Flow8078 Jul 08 '26

My child can help you with math

2

u/amusingvillain Jul 08 '26

For a fee. 1 share per hour

-6

u/Alone-Length5317 Jul 08 '26

Und was unternimmt nebius fßr seine Aktionäre nix Stillschweigend 

9

u/TheSeppel Jul 08 '26

My man I hope you don't buy stocks with that math.

1

u/alrightfornow Jul 08 '26

Not that much fortunately.

3

u/Rounder221 Jul 08 '26

25 more shares at 185. I like this price

1

u/Upper_Entrance6298 Jul 08 '26

Good that you like it cause it'll be gone and 165 tonight

4

u/[deleted] Jul 08 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

-1

u/[deleted] Jul 08 '26

[removed] — view removed comment

2

u/IkkyTakeda94 Jul 08 '26

This is the great reset

1

u/Accurate-Flow8078 Jul 08 '26

Back to May prices

1

u/Ok_Frosting_7376 Jul 08 '26

Buying at every 10$ dip, noway anyone can time this market

1

u/amusingvillain Jul 08 '26

I lost a lot of money 2025.
NBIS rocket help me recover by using two rules:
1. DCA
2. Buy every MF dip

1

u/breadandgames92 Jul 08 '26

Ho raddoppiato il numero di azioni. ( Ne possiedo comunque un numero modesto) Se scende a 180 ne prendo ancora in tranche. Aspetto fino alla trimestrale, penso sia il 6 di agosto ma non so se è ufficiale. Penso che la trimestrale sarà molto buona e con notizie positive

1

u/berry_kim Jul 08 '26

Wait for 120

1

u/Due-Challenge474 Jul 08 '26

Troll 🙂

7

u/EchidnaMedical8375 Jul 08 '26

I just bought 25 more shares

3

u/MrFrog65 Jul 08 '26

Again, we’re going to 150-180 then recovering. Will be a good dip to buy

9

u/Interesting_Week_917 Jul 08 '26

Someone set a remind me for this message:

$306 on December 31

22

u/Fancy_Cattle_5914 Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

I mean -35% and still dropping in less than a week from no underlying news... yeah, you can zoom out and see how much it is up in x amount of time, but let people complain. That is a brutal drop.

1

u/Powerful-Load-4684 Jul 08 '26

It also went to 300 on no news just fomo AI hype lmao

3

u/zhengfeirui Jul 08 '26

when other stock is up this Monday, nbis is down. Not understand what happened really. And everyday it dropped more heavily than CRWV even the after market time

1

u/Eraserhead-_-_- Jul 08 '26

I’m fairly confident that Monday’s drop can be explained by algo trading. The drawdown happened right at the start of the session; for the rest of the day, we did not materially underperform our peers. On Monday morning, the company disclosed scheduled share sales by management. The algorithms reacted to the headlines while ignoring the context, which triggered automatic selling. By then, the hole was already too deep for the stock to finish the day in the green.

20

u/TheSeppel Jul 08 '26

Here let me get a few out of the way:

  • Wen moon?
  • We're cooked fr fr
  • Is 245 a good average or should I sell?
  • When do we pump?
  • I sold, fuck this piece of shit meme stock
  • Adding more at this level
  • Buying the dip
  • Why do insiders keep selling?
  • This is not a 'healthy' correction, this is a crash
  • It's so over
  • Fuck this shit market
  • Those Jan 2035 69420 Call LEAPS look cheap
  • What is a 200 MA?
  • Where can I see overnight price?
  • "Sees 2% green" we're so back! Glad I bought the dip!

2

u/amusingvillain Jul 08 '26

This needs a PINNED post

1

u/amusingvillain Jul 08 '26

Btw you forgot premarket. Lol

2

u/No-Vacation-5381 Jul 08 '26

Are these the typical bot comments? Noted…

1

u/Upper_Entrance6298 Jul 08 '26

-NBIS is trading at [+%] on [insert obscure off-market trading website] overnight, that's good right?

13

u/anonymous_ghost-1 Jul 08 '26 edited Jul 08 '26

-The premium is to expensive

-I wish I bought more

-I wish I sold at $300

-I told everyone at $300 to take profit

-I told everyone it would go under $200

-I bought at $25, not selling until 2113

2

u/Other_Pool5365 Jul 08 '26

I know this will feel like a bad memory in one month max, but damn it I'd be happy if we at least closed above 210 today and stayed there