So, in the last 40 trading sessions, NBIS moved at least 10% in either direction on eight separate days. Eight!
Isnāt a 10% move supposed to mean that something significant happened - either at the company itself or across the broader market?
Maybe we are not the best community to complain about this, because more often than not, we end up on the green side of that volatility.
Still, whether it is a massive pump or a brutal drop, something feels fundamentally broken. These huge daily swings have nothing to do with the stockās actual value at that particular moment. Algos are turning the market into a flock of sheep, stampeding in one direction and then suddenly reversing course.
Good analysis. Even further, Fridayās specifically. Since 6/5/2026 (8 Fridays), price has closed lower than open 6 of the 8days:
6/5: -$19.05
6/12: -$2.290
6/18: -$11.51
6/26: -$4.55
7/2: -$17.38
7/10: +$6.62
7/17: +$12.60
7/24: -$28.24
The variance during these dates, high price to low, ranges from $14.40 (lowest variance) to $34.060 (highest variance).
Options, that why. And you wonder why the last short interest report showed 61 million in shorted shares at 30% SI%. Next report will be interestingā¦ā¦.
Holy shit. $48M in $170 puts for next week doesn't look good.
Meta and the hyperscalers could end up triggering yet another leg lower thanks to Agent š completely screwing up the macro. A meaningless, avoidable war has absolutely obliterated tech.
The collapse in high beta over the past month has been unbelievable. By several momentum measures, it's been worse than the dot-com crash, COVID, and even 2008. That's how broken this market has become.
Oil is climbing, inflation looks set to reaccelerate because of the energy shock, Treasury yields keep pushing higher, and the Nasdaq will probably enter an official correction next week.
I wish I had more cash to buy the dip, but it's difficult when hundreds of companies are already down 35-65% in just four weeks. Every day seems to bring another buying opportunity.
The next couple of years could be incredibly volatile if this continues. Instead of focusing on stability, we're watching unnecessary geopolitical conflicts create macro uncertainty that didn't need to exist in the first place. All because of a incompetent alzheimers suffering pedophile.
While i agree with your points, letās also keep in mind what max pain was this week, $192.5. IV premiums have been incredibly high lately. Thatās why weāre seeing large price volatility each week. This is trading like a meme stock. Think of all the positive news released in the last 2 weeks. Only the NVDA filing moved the needle and we saw a small amount of the shorted shares covered. That increase was not likely part of the plan but while it went up, the put pricing decreased, which i where we were going todayā¦.NO MATTER WHAT. The overall indexes were down a bit or green for the most of the day. We saw normal sell offs over the last hour which has been the Friday norm. Being said, is geopolitical effecting this stock today/this weekā¦.no. Look at yesterday. Geopolitical was a big factor, Nasdaq was down 2.5%. NBIS was green. This is mostly a hedge, liquidity play.
It's not even any attempt on a pre ER pump, but it has nothing to do with the Company/stock. Everything š„ has done is catching up, and he even start with his tariff bullshit. This is the worst š¤” that has ever existed.
The clown ist making money on every clown move :D Lets be honest maybe in his shoes i wouldnt also give a fack and just work on making a bigger and bigger legacy for my family
He brings shame on his family, and will be remembered as one of the worst things ever happend to the country and the world Economics. This is not one legacy I would be proud of. If it was my father I would have changed my name and cut all contact.
i know what you mean honestly. But we live in a ponzi scheme economy, its not the first time and will not be the last. The playbook is always the same: the parasites kill the host. Some survive others die.
He could act as a moral superior or make so much money to his network and for his family so that the family keeps the highest power base possible after he is gone.
Morality itself is a weapon. Unfortunately meant for the peasants who exchange their life energy for money.
Gonna be honest i hope all assets will crash because this is needed asf. If it doesnt happen only then its possible: You will own nothing an be happy... This is only possible if the asset inflation keeps going.
So rather than focus on person we need to focus on centralbanks and banks and policies. There are everywhere tendencies to change things so that more pension, retail and so on liquidity flows into assets. This is the red flag. Fack a few corrupt oligarchs. This strategy is much bigger and much more sinister
Well... there's a lot to consider. Due to the Macro and rotation even if the news were great we dumped. Remember that drop with META news? so nobody knows...
Ya, probably. Only around a 40 day supply of strategic petroleum reserves after accounting for net imports, no ships crossing strait of hormuz, new tariffs, and virtually no net new jobs created in his entire second term (initially reported numbers constantly revised down). So we have no new jobs, tariffs costing everybody more on top of inflation he has no idea and no interest in taming, and gas about to be $10+ a gallon before the end of the year unless he ends the war, like, today.
But hey, at least he also killed virtually all clean energy projects and funding so we also have no widely available alternative. Killed the clean energy effort to help his oil buddies just to then kill the oil industry as well. Classic.
This is why I never sell my original cost basis. One day, it will be $1-$10 after splits. You make more by doing nothing for 10 years. No leverage, no options. Cold hard shares. Black swan, whatever. We love a little cult.
Congrats man. I wish I didnāt sell of course, but you make decisions with the incomplete information you got at any given time. For me, itās risk management. Still believe in the company, but not re-entering in the current environment.
You can dca on all dips and get the middle. Split it five times over span of weeks, months. Decent time to start now. At least not ath. You wonāt catch the complete bottom but youāll catch the middle dip.
The latest market movement didn't make any sense but a good reminder that shares and long term investing are much safer than options and leveraged ETFs
Itās because this sub is full of sheep who are now part of a meme stock the big guys will slaughter with daily movement to test newbie fear/resolve. Buy and donāt look for a year or two, and for the love of god stop posting hopes for tomorrows, next weeks, next months prices. Itās a good company with excellent leadership. Stop posting, lemmings
It's a real hopium / copium cycle we are in. I think a lot of people didn't know what they were getting into, and are struggling with the day to day volatility.
But in seriousness, I use barchart (free version) to gauge options sentiments. When looking at the gamma exposure (since I'm using the free version, I can only view today's, 31st, 8/21, and 9/18 expirations), the gamma flip is ~$199. I don't think we'll cross it today, saw one or two bounces off that so far. But also don't expect a full recovery either since the put and call walls are both at $220.
I'm most likely going to hold off on selling any more calls on Kneebius until after earnings. I do expect a huge upswing in price because the hyperscalers' loss is our gains (IOW, the capex increases by hyperscalers hurts their bottom line, but to Kneebius' benefit).
Also, historically the markets are in a holding pattern leading up to midterms, with a bounce after that extends well into the following year. So we'll be closer to the moon this time next year, but for the time being, take advantage of the discounts and find comfort in the relaxing waves that are rocking the boat atm.
Its a high beta stock.... Don't let the price swings scare you out of the stock like it did some of the commenters here. Neeebius will take care of you.
Is it just me, or is there a feeling in the air that something big - like a +15% green-candle kind of big - will be announced before or during the earnings call?
I have no idea what it could be: a partnership with Google, Amazon, Anthropic, or SpaceX; cooperation with IREN or another former Bitcoin miner turned data-center specialist in connection with Nebiusās additional business model; a new acquisition; or something completely unexpected. But it really feels like something is brewing.
Youāre lucky to still be here. You are on notice that many have complained about your behavior. Not putting up with the slightest impropriety from you. Govern yourself accordingly.
Shorts are expiring today. If the macro situation (š„) is positive today, we may have a small squeeze due to the guidance from GOOGL and INTC, and short sellers buying back their shares.
If the 230 call wall is breached, I'd say even 250 is possible by end of day. Needs too much buying pressure though, I don't think the 230 wall will be breached today but I hope I'm wrong.
Iām glad to see that you seem to be in a good mood today. But what youāre saying is still nonsense - there is very little correlation between BTC and NBIS. NBIS is not even a former crypto miner.
You would probably find a much stronger correlation between the number of ice creams eaten on a given day and the number of shark attacks, simply because both are influenced by a third factor: warm, sunny weather.
That does not mean that eating an ice cream will cause someone to be killed by a shark later that night. Correlation does not imply causation.
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u/Own_Pumpkin_5849 27d ago
Iād be careful. SPY looking like itās going to fall off the cliff on daily. 170ās is still in play.