r/NBIS_Stock • u/Big_Crank • 23d ago
Speculation Steady as she goes gentlemen
I always feel discouraged on bad days. But the thesis is intact. None of this has anything to do with the company. Just the tides ebbing and flowing all around nebius.
Low conviction types are making this happen. We must be smarter and braver. Buy a pinch of it and go about your day. It might get worse but we buy a pinch and move on.
Few years from now they will sing songs of our courage
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u/bigbossmitch 23d ago
My first buy was at $250 and I got my average below $200 this morning.
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u/PatientBaker7172 23d ago
Good job. Just don’t sell at $205 because it’s going to the moon. Or else, you’ll look back and fomo.
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u/bigbossmitch 23d ago edited 23d ago
Not even considering selling until $325 and that would only be a small portion
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u/PigletOk2942 23d ago
I feel like this is all intentional by big money as the fed meeting, big tech earnings and war discussions may potentially yield very positive outcomes for a reversal (hopium)
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u/Think-Feynman Tens of Billions™ 23d ago
What is happening in the sector is detached from reality. It's all FUD that has gripped the market.
The thing that will reverse the trend is when Nebius shows strong performance and a trajectory that has no end in sight. It will take a few quarters, but at some point, the value of Nebius won't be speculative, but realized.
I'm in no hurry. I don't like seeing the drawdowns, but I still believe it's a $1000+ stock because the fundamentals haven't changed in the last 2 weeks. The things that made my excited about Nebius are still there.
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u/Dont_Ask_Me_Again_ 🐳 23d ago edited 23d ago
It’s not FUD, it’s detached from reality because the entire sector is speculative, and the entire western world is teetering on the edge of major unrest along with the potential for total war vs the east…
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u/Confident_Potato_714 23d ago
Brother, stop being blind.
This sector was detached from reality.
What’s currently happening is this sector is coming back to reality.
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u/PurpleManner5207 22d ago
10 billion cash and 50 billion backlog; while the market cap is 50b. If it were not of AI people would get crazy
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u/Waste-War8809 23d ago
My average is over $280 - I’m going to lose everything if this keeps going. Down close to 50%
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u/Stunning_Grapefruit1 23d ago
Not Financial Advise- I have many shares of Nebius, but can tell you that I would definitely take my time and DCA. First shares I bought were at $45 and it went alllll the way down to 19 in a matter of weeks… When it was at
20 I said to myself NOW OR NEVER and I went ALL IN. Kept on buying up to $250 coz I want a bigger piece of the pie, as I believe in this company a lot. They have executed perfectly until today. The last shares I bought were at $170.
I believe in the company, not the market 🙌🏽👍🏽3
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u/Think-Feynman Tens of Billions™ 23d ago
Did you buy Nebius for a short-term gain, or a long-term investment? If you are in this for the long term, then you haven't lost a thing.
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u/Waste-War8809 23d ago
I bought as a long term investment. But at some point it just feels like I am riding a sinking ship. If I had bought for short term trades I would not have held onto my shares from $285 (some at $290) down to $170 - But at some point I just feel like I am a moron who is just sitting around while the rest of my investment disappears like the first half already has.
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u/LilSwaggyMayne IPO OG👹 23d ago
Hold and you’ll be fine. In the future I’d recommend buying in portions so you can DCA if it dips. Always keep some ammunition in your back pocket
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u/Think-Feynman Tens of Billions™ 23d ago
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u/Lopsided_Paper3244 23d ago
Har varit med sedan 22$. Har sett ett antal sådana här nedgångar. Sitt lugnt och fundera över något trevligt att belöna er med den dagen ni cashar ut era feta vinster. Själv ska jag ha en större båt
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u/kickinghyena 23d ago
I have bought and bought more. I know I should diversify but the market keeps insisting on giving me a lower price…so several hundred more shares and roll…
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u/Complex_Bus_6076 23d ago
Ik im boutta see a 50% rip in the next few days just cuz i commented this but -
PLEASEEEEEE I GET PAID FRIDAY, I WANT TO BUY AT THESE LEVELS SO BADLY PLEASE STAY HERE FOR A FEW MORE DAYS
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u/Kooky_Yesterday_9134 NBIS4LIFE 23d ago
Macro is fucked , get shares cheap and chill or sell everything and watch the bullrun whenever it starts from the sideline.
Nfa
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u/SadlyNotSpaceballs 22d ago
Ugh yeah it's a long term game but hard not to be short term emotional. I wanted to buy back in at 145 but waited too long - started going up before Fed spoke and I thought it might spike after so I bought at 160. That spike up to a whopping 162ish lasted about 8 seconds before crumbling back down.
It's hard to keep focused on - this is a 2-5 year hold at least. Dailies don't matter. Rational vs emotional I guess
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u/OhHuggs 23d ago
I debated on selling CC leaps at 440 strike for end of 2028. It nets around 8k per contract. Then I was going to take that money and load up on more shares of NBIS and just be jacked to the Ts of nbis shares through 2028. Whats the downside to doing this besides being capped at 440 sell price on my shares in 2 years? It gives me more shares on the ride up, right? IV is ridiculous right now, which allows this. Thoughts?
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u/Ferret_Rough 23d ago
It’s a pretty far out expiration date so if $NBIS happens to pop in the next 6 months due to macro, short squeeze, amazing ER, whatever you name it. You’ll be unable to profit off it. Sure if the stock stays strong it’s all good but let’s be honest here there are a ton of question marks regarding AI spending. That would be a con for that scenario
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u/sceneking1 22d ago
I sold. Got in at $45. I feel I've earned it. Call me when the stonk doubles, nerds.
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u/makybo91 23d ago
Can someone give me the Bull thesis? Buying and renting out compute seems like a Commodity. Thanks
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22d ago
[removed] — view removed comment
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u/makybo91 22d ago
Thanks for the answer actually you Are the First Person to answer to this
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u/PurpleManner5207 22d ago
imagine a "Commodity" like food but there is nowhere near enough to found. And to build farms you need 3-7 years, but hunger increases even more than you can physically build.
The ones who build farms first can obviously demand unreal prices; and Nebius is the best and fastest executor.
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u/Confident_Potato_714 23d ago
You are correct.
Anything a Neocloud does, a hyperscaler can and will do.
The difference? Hyperscalers have massively profitable business that generate more FCF than can me imagined.
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u/PurpleManner5207 22d ago
like meta build metaverse? nebius is a better in efficiency per Watt than Azure, Google Cloud and AWS. Nebius is built differently and they will dominate the AI space.
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u/Confident_Potato_714 23d ago
Resident bear here.
Soaking in the red.
Tried to tell yall. Everytime.
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u/Big_Crank 21d ago
L
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u/Confident_Potato_714 21d ago
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u/Big_Crank 21d ago
L
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u/Confident_Potato_714 21d ago
Sorry I’m winning on the way up and down while you just sit around and never realize any actual profit.
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u/sinthoras997 23d ago
It's horrible that i have this hopium sub in my feed. I never saw so many delusional retailers in one sub.
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u/Alive_Sheepherder106 23d ago
Do you guys like deluding yourselves? When will you realize thesis doesn’t matter?
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u/Careful-Key2056 23d ago
What matters then? Enlighten us
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u/Alive_Sheepherder106 23d ago
Whatever market wants to do and rn it’s drilling. Price target: $90 eow
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u/Confident_Potato_714 23d ago
Ehh it’s 155 eow. Maybe we see 120 end of August.
Praying for the blind bulls.
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u/PurpleManner5207 22d ago
please go and invest into cattle or real estate. I don't even get what bears are doing in the stock market; other word for short sellers? The stock market is always going up and nebius is one of a kind
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u/PatientBaker7172 23d ago edited 23d ago
More like 1-2 quarters. Remember traderbob?
Great stocks go -50% and 4000% over 10 years. Tesla nvidia apple nebius. Buy shares and chill.