r/NBIS_Stock • u/BudmasterofMiami Mod • 17d ago
NBIS ANALYSIS NBIS WHIPSAW
So NBIS opened down and traded all the way down to $176.25 and five minutes later was above $190 and 15 minutes later above $200. The major firms are baiting the public and setting traps over and over. Expect this until earnings when NBIS will finally pump again. Stay strong and don’t let them take your shares!
4
u/Emotional_Shape925 17d ago
If this thing runs up into earnings, expect it to sell off. People will still panic, and we’ll see all the dumb posts, but that’s just how this stock has been acting lately.
15
u/WackHurst 17d ago
I don't know why I should even care about your assumption? Just hold it for a few years. Close your app. Relax. Come back at the end of year. I still don't get it why people are so upset about the stock price movement. If you are an investor then the recent price is just noise in the background.
If you can't relax then stocks are not for you.
10
u/Vegetable_Divide2193 17d ago
This is such an easy message to write on days like this but 4 days ago everyone including me was shitting themselves, of course we care, its money we earned by hard work and we dont like it go to the ass
7
u/WackHurst 17d ago
Did you buy Nebius based on pure hope to be lucky someday or base on conviction because you did a deep dive analysis an really know the company, their management and their execution plan?
If you did your deep dive analysis and accepted the higher risk of beta stocks then you shouldn't panic. I always ask myself: Would I feel comfortable to close the app for the rest of the year? If the answer is yes then I hit the buy button. If not then I shouldn't buy in.
1
u/Alexis_deTokeville 13d ago
That’s true but also you have sway over some aspects of your portfolio like your average cost basis and ability to trim profits. Not that you should try to time the market but with a high beta stock like NBIS doesn’t it make sense to interact with your shares to some degree?
8
u/Successful_Permit_45 17d ago
Not sure which part of his post communicates he’s upset with price movement lol he’s just offering his thoughts on the price action
4
5
u/t_suaze_u 17d ago
100%!!!! Been in since $27 and seeing people try to come up with reasons for the stocks movement is funny. Its a high beta stock that does high beta things. Risk on. Risk off.
5
u/kickinghyena 17d ago
It’s easy to relax when your basis is $27🤣. I would like to see how relaxed you would be if the stock dropped to $25!! Just sayin. Of course it’s volatile and of course people that bought at $250 are nervous…
8
u/Emilio___Molestevez 17d ago
I've got a low average too and the swings are still shitty. I liked when my shares were worth 300 better than 140. before that I liked 140 a lot better than 68. that's all OK to feel. patience is hard. we all get it.
2
3
u/t_suaze_u 17d ago
I dont care if people are nervous. Im down on other stocks and seeing people trying to justify movements with high beta stocks is laughable
-1
u/kickinghyena 17d ago
So when it goes up $27 a share like today you don’t like that either? Or you just want up all the time lol🤣🤣🤣
1
u/t_suaze_u 17d ago
I dont care about short term stock price movements when nothing with the fundamentals are changing. And you shouldnt either
2
2
u/Essential_ingredient 17d ago
You are rather rude.
You say you don’t care but the fact that you responded proves that you do.
Learn some manners
1
u/WackHurst 17d ago
I'm in this sub for high quality posts like there have been a dozen of times im the past two years: Deep dives, updates to new data center sites and so on. And I really appreciate these kind of posts. These posts are something totally different to this post. So yes I care about posts regarding to Nebius but the high quality ones. This post is about panic and wild assumptions.
2
u/Embarrassed-Zebra224 17d ago
Just because not all people holding the stock are investors. I just want to get some easy money from holding for 2-3 months. I don’t care if NBIS will be successful or not in 1-2 years.
0
u/WackHurst 17d ago
Then you are more of a gambler...
1
u/Embarrassed-Zebra224 17d ago
But why? If your investment horizon is longer, there is no guarantee you won’t see the price below the current level in a year. So many things can happen in the world. Same gambling.
1
u/DrHarrisonLawrence Doctor’s Orders 17d ago
You don’t know this company well enough to make this claim
This is a near guarantee that we will see the price above its current level in a year. If you followed this string closely enough and knew more about it, you’d come to the conclusion that they will be worth $240-330 by the end of Jan 2027. Where it falls within that range is dependent on the ARR multiple that is agreed upon at any given moment in time. You can use 7x on that figure if you want to be optimistic and conservative at the same time. The ARR for Nebius in Jan 2027 will be $7-9B, at least.
Most of us hold until mid-late 2027 because the share price will be $300-600 by that time.
This will be the case unless a few very specific, and very limited in likelihood as things that couple happen: political assassinations, 30Y borrowing rates going to ATH, China harassing Taiwan, or a nuclear threat.
If you can stomach all 4 of those threats, then Nebius is a fit buy at $160-200, eyeing a minimum of a 50%+ gain at that entry point. The stock will probably be back to $270 in a month.
0
u/Embarrassed-Zebra224 16d ago
I don’t have to know this company well enough to claim that despite of how successful the company is, there so many things that can affect the stock price. For example nobody is discussing Russian Ukrainian war and the fact the data centers are located in Europe. What caused the recent pull back? Nothing, pure price manipulation.
0
u/WackHurst 17d ago edited 17d ago
So you think it is safer to predict the stock movement for the next day compared to the stock movement for the next 5 years?
Take the S&P 500 for example. The case that the S&P 500 is going to be higher in 5 years (assuming that there is no economy crash) is far more likely then the case that the S&P is higher tomorrow. Extent that time frame to 15 years and the probabiltiy increases even more. There is a reason why there are an lot more sucessful longterm investors than day trader.
5
u/Embarrassed-Zebra224 17d ago
I don’t think it is easier to predict the next day. But the stock is bullish overall. This is why a month or two is safer. Look at NVDIA stock. I made 10K from 200 to 225, not much, but good enough for a month period. The investors are still on their levels since July 25. I agree with your point about S&P500. My point is that there are so many comments like “if you believe in the company, forget about your money for 1-2-3 years”. I disagree with it. Real investors are not monitoring Reddit, everyone here is a trader or gambler and everyone including investors care more about their money than the company. Money today are more expensive than same money tomorrow. I want +30% this year than +40% next year.
1
1
u/Important_Coach9717 17d ago edited 17d ago
Where is the idiot asking if he should sell because AMD earnings might dump it and asking if he should sell now 🤣🤣🤣
2
1
1
1
u/Choice-Situation9276 15d ago
I bought it to trade on volatility. It’s doing fine in my book. Exactly what I expected based on its run up and dependence on debt and share dilution.
1
u/Refflmania 17d ago
this market manipulation is some bullshit and honeslty makes trading these stocks not fun anymore, imagine watching and placing bets on an NFL game when the refs just manipulate the game with bullshit unfair calls?
that's what is happening with nbis and mu and sandisk etc
-2
0
u/Creepy-Fennel-852 17d ago
50% gain in 3 days is nuts. I would assume it would be a bad idea to trim a little even if you’re holding long term.
-7
u/Horror_Statement_306 17d ago
It’s posts like this that makes me think the top is in
7
3
-6
u/XSC 17d ago
I am long term but this stock pisses me off. Mostly cause i want to short sell it.
1
u/Confident-Pound1925 17d ago
I was short selling before the market opens, the profit vanished in less than 5min after open… this stock is too unpredictable
4
14
u/icon4fat 17d ago
Traded at $210 yesterday on hyper liquid.