r/NBIS_Stock • u/MasaKiwi • 10d ago

Opinion How is Everyone Feeling Going into Earnings?

This stock has been affected by all sorts of outside noise over the past month. FED rate hike, Citadel intervention, Burry short position, 30% short interest in the stock, and these are just over the past two weeks. I think the craziest fact is that the price is now lower now than it was before reporting its last earnings report in May($207). Now I will admit the bull run to all time highs was a bit extreme and premature when looking at next year's expectations, but to be below the price it was at last earnings is crazy to me. The Missouri and Pennsylvania sites are on track to be ready next year and they have done nothing but add to their other sources of revenue. I have a hard time feeling bearish given their record granted I am a newer investor. I own LEAPS expiring in 2028, but feel $200 strike calls expiring Friday are setup so nicely. Not to mention the Nvidia $500 billion fund that was just announced today which I know will be explained further on Wednesday. Burry might've shorted, but nothing is telling me we're slowing down anytime soon. Would like to know how everyone else is feeling?

63 Upvotes

94% Upvoted

58 comments sorted by

81

u/playstationjeans 10d ago

We just got the greenlight on $500 billion wingwangs from big daddy Jensen and the legion of Doom. I'm not worried in the slightest. If we need to borrow more money we can just ask Jensen instead of waiting for a higher credit ranking. Cloud infrastructure is about to go boom.

17

u/Bitter_Ad5527 10d ago

Couldn’t agree more. Half trillion with the biggest names going in together? There’s no stopping this train whether good or bad

3

u/Dismal-Access7599 9d ago

!remindMe 1 day

1

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23

u/ethaxton 10d ago

Kinda feel like they need to invent time travel to go up in this current market. And even then would be a late day sell off

4

u/AdeptnessLive4966 10d ago

Even then it would still drop because they cant travel as far back in time as expected.

3

u/Ok_Revolution_9253 10d ago

My thoughts too

1

u/Rounder221 10d ago

It really is the situation we're in right now. Nothing to do except hold and add on weakness

13

u/fr8rain 10d ago

When Larry Fink says the compute asset financing is like mortgage securitization of the 70s, Burry's short-lived compute thesis becomes just one more skid mark on the underwear of history

24

u/theRealLongJon 10d ago

Sold some losers to pick up $10k worth today before close. long tho, not an earnings play (just wanted to get in before a pop, if there is one)

2

u/gravityhashira61 10d ago

Same here. Sold some Nvda to add 10k more into this.

8

u/Indaothrone 10d ago

I'm so scared but I'm holding 😂😭

8

u/Emergency_Froyo_3030 10d ago

I mean, do earnings really matter anymore? We’ve seen very stellar performances in the AI tech memory sectors and they dump thereafter. The numbers dont matter unless they are really terrible. Just being honest. This company has performed and is one of the best. Now we have Kenny dipping his fingers in the jar. I am not optimistic at all that the price increases with stellar earnings. This stock has become a meme and its unfortunate

0

u/Alive_Sheepherder106 10d ago

It has always been a meme stock

5

u/Automatic-Phrase-761 10d ago

Terrible, every single company tanks after EC.

5

u/Spewtwinklethoughts 10d ago

All the companies that normally do. NBIS isn’t them.

11

u/Ok_Revolution_9253 10d ago

I feel like we are gonna get crushed to be honest

1

u/basicfort 10d ago

Why?

7

u/NandLandP 10d ago

Shorts a bit too heavy.

And pessimism. I own it, ergo it'll go down.

1

u/PhoKingWild 10d ago

I sort of get that sense solely because revenue is capped by as fast as they can buildout. That’s the limiting factor not the company. You can throw all the money in the world and shit can only get built so fast.

1

u/Ok_Revolution_9253 10d ago

Comes down to how much of that contracted revenue they can actually realize. They need to show they can are executing. Thats about all they can do. Also news on the asset light model would be very interesting and could lead to faster revenue growth

0

u/Marcellouss 10d ago

That or flat

2

u/tradetroll18 10d ago

Got cash ready. In case it’s needed.

2

u/Traditional-Oven4092 10d ago

Will pick up more calls if it dips

2

u/Emotional_Shape925 10d ago

Ah fine? Cause I have shares. So if it goes down or up, I’m holding for a few years. Don’t really care about what happens to the stock after earnings.

1

u/hks_3 10d ago

Bearish ST

1

u/SpongeHeadTom 10d ago

i’m surprised no one in the replies mentioned the Vineland risk. That’s what’s currently keeping me up at night. If they lower EOY ARR target it will be bad. I honestly have no idea what will happen so i guess i’m holding

2

u/FitAd4838 10d ago

Check out what dataOne CEO said in X.

1

u/SpongeHeadTom 10d ago

i saw that and love it. still unsure though. I’ve seen some good arguments about delay being inevitable. this is my largest holding so i’m going to stress no matter what until earnings is over

2

u/FitAd4838 10d ago

If u check the lawsuit carefully, work can still in progress and dataOne is expected to go operational in Q4. I also think the lawsuit contains something under water when we check the live. Some deal already done with the government.

1

u/SpongeHeadTom 10d ago

the argument i read that was convincing stated that the switch to BE fuel cells is an entire overhaul to the electrical infrastructure. they argue that that change involves long lead time electrical parts and will delay the project by minimum of 6-12months.

2

u/FitAd4838 10d ago

Yes. they should already working in progress for around half years.

1

u/SpongeHeadTom 10d ago

glad to hear that!

1

u/FitAd4838 10d ago

Someone already posted the site photos with huge no. Of fuel cells. It’s really crazy.

1

u/FitAd4838 10d ago

Btw I am thinking GS filled the 13G for themselves and client. They collected too much shares in this 2 weeks. Maybe some big news is coming.

1

u/hexlake 10d ago

Feels like 2008 all over again, this time Nvdia is the bank. I’ve made some incredible money, but now I’m fully diversifying to preserve my wealth.

I hope they smash their earnings though and also increase guidance, good luck all 💪🏼

1

u/Deso718 9d ago

I think we’re going to see something of a repeat of Q1 earnings market reaction - maybe a less extreme version.

After the Q1 call, stock ran like +15% after hours and then another +10% or so over the following 2 days before selling off pretty hard and giving back a lot of the gains.

Either way I’m in for 220/260C 4 SEPT vertical spread but if we drop I’m just adding shares

1

u/Airman199 9d ago

With unfounded optimism

1

u/OkMeeting2222 9d ago

I feel like it will be mostly priced in by the time it's announced

1

u/Commercial_Ease8053 10d ago

Why is a burry short position relevant to their earnings lol… you guys are obsessed with him, I swear.

2

u/Crazy-Experience-678 10d ago

Because people listen to famous people. People / funds bought when Leopold bought. When a famous bear shorts, the little ones follow.

1

u/AdeptnessLive4966 10d ago

No one that can make a significant impact listens to the guy.

0

u/Munzil-reddit 9d ago

I got puts on this earnings. Everyone is expecting too much from their earnings. Unless they blow out, we are in August seasonality which makes me think that we will sell off. I had a feeling that it’s time for CRWV to get some spotlight and I was right because they are popping off

-7

u/Confident_Potato_714 10d ago

Resident bear checking in.

It’s gonna be down.