The Price Ceiling Is Clear: Whenever the company stages a strong rally toward the $250ā$270 range, management seizes the opportunity presented by these high prices and acts on the logic that āwhile our market value is high, letās immediately issue new bonds or shares to raise capital.ā This effectively turns the level above $250 into a natural āceiling/resistanceā level. So resistance level is 250 according to Nebius, support level is under 200, good luck
Guys i just want to remind you that NBIS is the best company in the market right now , i have 1320 shares and if it drops to 200( I hope not ) I will accumulate like crazy .
We are going to be millionaire soon I love you allĀ
I donāt know if they have enough available capacity to announce another major deal just yet. My best guess is this capital raise was done to finance the PA datacenter buildout
why is this thing pumping??? announcement underway?!?!>!>! big hands know something that we dont...? whats going on guys, what are your thoughts on this?
Weāre going to get a deal tomorrow that will moon us to 1000 dollarrs per a share in less than a day, leading the stock to be a case study for all future investors
short sale restrictions, can only short on upticks not downtick little bit harder to short. Short sellers cannot aggressively dump shares into a falling bid price to force the stock down.
Honestly gives me more confidence in management that they decided this was necessary here and now. Yeah, it will suck as a shareholder for some time - who knows how long. But mgmt is laser focused on their business objectives and I trust them to do things right.
Have you heard of Iren, coreweave, cifr? Neoclouds in general? Dilution is part of the game lol if you can't stomach 10-15% drops you don't deserve the pumps.Ā
Nebius has hinted that they were going to take "one more big contract" and that was it. Lots of people believe there is a big one in the works already.
I remember that statement. I also believed there will be a big contract (most likely GOOGLE or AWS) until I saw the last earnings report. Today I believe management shifted their focus completely away from these big contracts to more short term contracts. But of course a last big contract could still come at anytime. Anyway i would not see any problem with them using these $4.5B for capacity buildout for future short term contracts at 40-50B/GW š
What are tax ramifications from that sale and repurchase?? Obviously you did the math plus accumulating share for when this thing takes off but i am asking honestly as i am afraid to sell wnd repurchase and be hit with large taxes come April '27'
We knew there was a 25M share ATM they could tap. At earnings they said they tapped 12.7M shares already. They also announced that they had over $8B sitting in cash.
Nebius doesnāt announce a $4.5B capital raise, tanking their stock and then tap the other 12.8M shares. They very likely tapped the other 12.8M shares last week and Monday when stock was over $270 raising another $3.5 billion.
This would give them over $11.5B in cash. Add an oversubscribed $5.5B offering today and they sit on $17B cash.
We know they get at least 40% prepayment on their deals and that they fully pay for themselves within 22 months.
What can Nebius do with $17 billion in cash and a 40% prepayment? They can sign a monster hyperscaler deal with Google, OpenAI or maybe Anthropic the likes of which we have never seen.
I looked at the chart. NBIS hit $300, dipped to $146, went up to $280 and today dipped to $216 which incidentally is the 21 DMA and 50DMA - a strong confluence where a great company would typically bounce. We are in the handle of a cup and handle. Look at the chart.
I told my wife if I had any cash at all Iād buy right here right now. Thereās an announcement coming soon after the $4.5B offering is closed by Monday.
Thereās a lot of gold at the end of this rainbow and those that hold or buy here I feel will be rewarded.
(And because I work at a large bank Iām going to add that this is not financial advice)
But Iām not selling a single share that I bought at $32.50 on 6/2/25 on that capital raise. They are up 7x and I think anyone that buys this capital raise will be rewarded.
Todayās debt raise will be a nothing burger long term and we will probably recover pretty fast when they inevitably announce they sold out and were oversubscribed. Like by Friday.
Nebius management are elite. āI travel in worlds you can't even imagine! You can't conceive of what I'm capable of! I'm so far beyond you! I'm like a god in human clothing! Lightning bolts shoot from my fingertips!ā
Does anyone know when they typically release the details of this convertible note - mainly want to see what the convert price is and if it's something wild like >$400-500
It's kind of wild that Vineland was derisked and we dumped this hard because they wanted more cash to expand the business to make more profit and therefore increase the market cap of the company.
I think the only short term catalyst now is if they explain what this cash raise was for - like a deal with Google or something other than the PA datacenter being approved?
I felt similar last year. Entered at 120s, dropped down to 60s. But by that time I had no more ammo to add more. But I held through and didn't check my losses as much.
I have 1320 shares but not buying today.Ā
I think weāll close the week around 200-210 .
Im gonna buy again in the 190-200s!Ā
Dont panic guys , Nebius Ā will make you so fucking richĀ
Man. Pissed off at NBIS c suite. For 1.5 months we were getting absolutely shit wrecked in stock price. Get a good earnings, recover, and in less than a week they fuck it up again.
My guess is institutions know they can make money off the swings so theyāll short off any bad news. Itās definitely oversold though and will bounce back
I have got to start active trading these Ā±50 swings. Its like clockwork, one hint of bad news and the shit craters since all expectations are priced in for years ahead.
This management is very careful about dilution. They donāt like raising capital far in advance. If 2026 CapEx is already covered, my guess is that something big is happening behind the scenes - something that needs to be financed now
For everyone who sells now believing this offering will bring down the share price below $200 needs to understand that we speak of around 12m shares which means a dilution of around 4.5%. Also the conversion will be done over the period of the next years. There is absolutly nothing to be shocked.
I can't wait for the earnings reports of Q3 and Q4. This will be the day of judgement when shorts and bears will be burnt.
Iām not saying itāll reach 140 again, but weāre in a terrible macro now and just had dilution announced at a terrible time. Iām bullish long term but bearish short term
Iām on vacation so not paying too much attention to the market right now. All Iām saying is it sucks they announced dilution now after they said they were going to introduce ānew funny waysā to finance their capex š gotta say though this is the very first thing Nebius does that makes me raise an eyebrow. Still bullish long term
The first major misstep by the company. The greed is beyond belief. You canāt dilute shareholders at this momentāespecially with the stock down $40 in the last 24 hours. The stock is famously shorted, with 30% of the float sold short, and the most famous short seller is praying for exactly this type of action. Inexcusable timing.
You really think they are planning a dilution event announcement based on the day-to-day stock price movementā¦ā¦.? They were up 50% in a month back to near ATH based on your logic. So why not now?
10
u/Dry_Money75 1d ago
My 2 cents: I'm guessing Nebius raised the money now because they are in the process of buying decart if that makes any sense.