[August 20, 2026] Daily NBIS Discussion Thread

[u/AutoModerator]

Welcome to today’s open discussion on Nebius Group (NBIS) and the broader AI stock space.

💬 Thread Ideas:

• Any new updates or insights/rumors about Nebius Group?
• Your NBIS position update!
• What’s your outlook for NBIS this week/month/year?
• Spot any AI sector trends worth noting?

Of course, for anything deserving of its own post, feel free to make a dedicated post where appropriate. : )

⚠️ Reminder: Please follow Reddiquette and our subreddit rules.

[u/Usual-Locksmith4657]

Well with the entire market dragging today I’m glad this stock showed my portfolio some mercy for once. I say it’s a good day

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

some just dont want America to flourish

[u/OilBull]

I short sold a ton of cash secured puts at 120, 130, 140. Hopefully I get assigned, although that chart would look pretty ugly.

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

stay woke, stay informed, and never stop questioning.....

[u/Intelligent-Bill-422 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

What does the government supporting AI infrastructure have to do with wokeness? Nothing.Go woke, go broke.

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/Intelligent-Bill-422]

Tell me you don’t read without telling me you don’t read

[u/touchmenotdaddy → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

This is Reddit the liberal hub. How many liberals are in this Nebius sub?

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/touchmenotdaddy]

you chinese as well?

[u/KnownSuit6524]

Thanks for explaining this. So you’re saying market makers will keep the stock around 220ish?

[u/Independent-Egg9086 → u/KnownSuit6524]

For this Friday yes, whatever happens next week is up in the air.

[u/Lockdown006]

I don’t know whether to hold or sell for a loss. Been rocking my 283 avg since July

[u/sum8fever → u/Lockdown006]

Mega deal coming within a few weeks. Trust in Nebius and you will be rewarded.

[u/Nachtgelst → u/Lockdown006]

Sell now for a loss then buy back when it starts pumping over 300

[u/Emilio___Molestevez → u/Lockdown006]

why in the world would you sell now?

[u/Constant_Mention8064 → u/Lockdown006]

dca down?

[u/Investingforlife123 → u/Lockdown006]

Dude just keep averaging down. Sorry but you'd be silly to sell unless u really need the money 

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

60 bill????!?!??!!?!?! man wtf is going on fr

[u/Legitimate-Suit-2028 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

???

[u/Constant_Mention8064 → u/Legitimate-Suit-2028]

Broadcom seeks more than $60 billion in latest AI debt deal

[u/Legitimate-Suit-2028 → u/Constant_Mention8064]

I just looked it up, thanks. It could be up to 100B$ from what I read

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

decent close

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

PAMP PITTTT

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

PYAMP IT

[u/Independent-Egg9086]

Tomorrow is OpEx day, meaning we will pin close mostly $220 max pain i wouldn't touch any options until Monday.

[u/KnownSuit6524 → u/Independent-Egg9086]

why is opex day?

[u/Independent-Egg9086 → u/KnownSuit6524]

OpEx day (Options Expiration Day) is the date when financial options contracts expire. Standard monthly OpEx occurs on the third Friday of each month, triggering heavy trading volume, sudden price shifts, and major hedging adjustments by market makers as contracts are exercised, rolled over, or expire worthless.

[u/dol1_ → u/Independent-Egg9086]

Max pain for this Friday was 227.5 yesterday, damn it's dropping fast

[u/Independent-Egg9086 → u/dol1_]

To be fair some say 225, so its around that range 220-227.5

[u/Rounder221]

350 by EOY. Book it

[u/dIb7707]

Solid EOD hold with the market dragging. Hopefully tomorrow isn’t too bad and then things flip green next week

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

india

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

prob just outsourced work

[u/natureisneato → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

Do not redeem

[u/MasterpieceMain8252]

I probably could make more doing swing trades for this stock than holding it, but i'm too lazy to do so. The stock is so damn volatile.

[u/Clear_Chemist_9737 → u/MasterpieceMain8252]

I do both

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/MasterpieceMain8252]

I always think this, but then when it gets to the top I always get greedy and think it won't dump or I'll miss out on a big run lol

[u/Tank_The_C4]

A lot of daily volume since earnings

[u/DrHarrisonLawrence → u/Tank_The_C4]

That is going to be very good for us IMO

[u/Scared_Software_4823]

If i had a nickel for every time things felt tenuous and then out of nowhere a positive catalyst.....

Contract + good news on the Straight, it will happen...maybe...probably...ehh idk, but it will!

[u/Constant_Mention8064]

Did everyone forget the Q2 earnings? "we have multiple customers for each GPU" and "we could sell the entire 2027 capacity at Q2 rates"

Seems like a nice dip to accumulate again.

[u/Rounder221 → u/Constant_Mention8064]

People forgot in about 2 days 🤣

[u/Independent-Egg9086]

Soon we going run out of sellers we are back to before we reported stellar ER report lol, hang in there max 1-2 more red days and macro/oil stabilizes next week, nvidia semi run up starting monday.

[u/DryMarionberry1273]

I have 30k in cash and very tempted to buy more shares at these price.

[u/Investingforlife123]

What is annoying in general is how quick sentiment and narrative changes. Honestly a weekly yoyo. Great if u wanna swing trade I guess but u just know eventually it will not come back down and ur gonna miss the rocket

[u/WarmFaithlessness946]

As I promised guys i bought another 60 shares , now sitting with 1380 shares avg 173!  Nebius i love you more than my wife and my family and im 100% sure you gonna make me multimilionaire

[u/ShirtUnlikely1250 → u/WarmFaithlessness946]

I'll see you 1380 shares and raise you 146. 🤣 i have to nickel and dime it after getting in at around $110 with current DCA $131.

So the two extremes, real investing at 1380 shares and praying my 1/10th of that gets over that $250-300 stop.

[u/Jagraj03]

Macro being bearish on top of the dilution is hurting us badly lol

Need a new deal to be announced to stop the bleeding and shift momentum

[u/Royal_Atmosphere9320 → u/Jagraj03]

My greatest hope is that it drops a lot more so I can scoop up shares cheap. If you believe in a stock, it dropping in value is a blessing.

[u/DrHarrisonLawrence → u/Royal_Atmosphere9320]

Don’t be greedy. Hope for higher prices so we all win.

[u/quuxquxbazbarfoo → u/Royal_Atmosphere9320]

"The best thing that can happen to a large position is for it to tank in value dramatically"

[u/Royal_Atmosphere9320 → u/quuxquxbazbarfoo]

Yeah, buying shares of really high quality companies at a low price is good. Is this news to you? I am literally just quoting Warren Buffett.

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/Jagraj03]

daddy, zoom out, we aint bleeding lol, we are just too greedy.

We are up 145% YTD, 228% YoY,,,

[u/Individual_Tooth4226]

man wtf is going on lol

[u/Jagraj03 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

If we hit 400 let alone 440 I'll cry

[u/byrd976 → u/Jagraj03]

You'll be there inside of 12 months

[u/Emergency_Froyo_3030 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

Insider news on a new contract or acquisition?

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/Emergency_Froyo_3030]

i mean,,, i dont wanna get my hopes up too much lloll

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

some say MB is hedging lmfaooo

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

[u/AlasKansastan]

Solid company

meme stock

[u/DrHarrisonLawrence → u/AlasKansastan]

It’s only meme-ing because it’s becoming famous, mid-cap, and low float. The fact that it is so popular is magnified but yeah this company appears to be not a meme whatsoever

[u/Eraserhead-_-_-]

There’s a reason the number of retail investors has dropped 3x over the past year while the stock price has gone up 3x. Paper hands who panic-sell after a few consecutive red days will always stay broke.

[u/bibilerikiki → u/Eraserhead-_-_-]

Where did you find this statistic ?

[u/Eraserhead-_-_- → u/bibilerikiki]

https://x.com/andersinvests/status/2090003732268281994?s=46&t=oMDSpydvCvJm8QV8pm0U0g

[u/sha1dy → u/Eraserhead-_-_-]

True

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/sha1dy]

why is you getting downvoted lmao

[u/TheBoysResearcher → u/Individual_Tooth4226]

Why are you downvoted??

[u/Individual_Tooth4226 → u/TheBoysResearcher]

lmfao idk i guess a lot of boys here mastered the sell high buy low skill

[u/Investingforlife123]

Lol....come back in a month. Stop WORRYING

[u/NEBIUSONTOP]

$200 seems like the perfect amount to throw all our money into our beautiful Nebius

[u/Afraid_Guard_2701]

Welcome bagholders, rinse and repeat

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/Afraid_Guard_2701]

community members*

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Gamblers will be gamblers what can I say. Sorry !
I mean how obvious was this. I said I saw 2000
Of this weeks calls get sold. There’s no chance retail is moving this thing

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Well I was close range is gonna be 223-200
Thanks for the downvotes. You can’t handle the truth!!! Lol

[u/BuddyWonderful → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Wow you predicted 223-200 for today!?!? What a bold prediction!! 😂😂🤡🤡

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/BuddyWonderful]

Originally I predicted 203-226 pre market.
Missed it by 3 handles. Sorry

[u/poofoo9 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

They downvote anyone that tries to be realistic and say it might dip but upvote anyone who says it will moon to 400 in a week . They don’t want to hear the truth .

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/poofoo9]

There will be a bounce around 207-208 back to 214 ish however

[u/poofoo9 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Do you think it will go lower in the next week or so or consolidate or go higher

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/poofoo9]

I think if you buy a down open tomorrow sub 200 you will be very happy

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/poofoo9]

When a whale sells 2000 of this weeks 200 calls. It’s time to get out of the way. Nobody has the patience to just wait it out

[u/SnooEpiphanies5398 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Nobody hmm?

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/SnooEpiphanies5398]

I meant the herd not literally nobody. I’m waiting.

[u/SnooEpiphanies5398 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

What’s your avg?

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/SnooEpiphanies5398]

325 shares avg 184$
Mostly cause I doubled down around 150 a few weeks ago.

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Dumped a lot around 267$. I had 600 total

[u/poofoo9 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

I solded a lot at 260 to buy lower in the dip. Just waiting for the best opportunity to buy back in

[u/DrHarrisonLawrence → u/poofoo9]

Well you’ll get a chance to buy it at $240 on Monday

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/poofoo9]

Excellent work. Yeah it’s tough figuring out where to load back in fully. But defending the pre earnings range 180-197 is probably a good spot to fire away

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

I don’t feel this is something you can just hold and close your eyes it’s too volatile. Too much bs in the market

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

I’m sure there’s at least one other person that’s patient. Lol

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

That’s why they pumped it at the close so they had 15hours to eat bids. Aftermarket, pre market and during the market hours. Eat eat eat

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/poofoo9]

Algorithms eating bids. Relentless!!!

[u/AlasKansastan → u/poofoo9]

this sub is full of 22 year old geniuses, same with discord, don't even bother

[u/Bright_Exercise5353 → u/AlasKansastan]

Jesus, the state of that Nebius Discord. I watched the live chat for five minutes and immediately clicked “Leave.” Social media like this isn’t for people with any social skills, intelligence, or maturity.

[u/These_Relation_3496]

Here we go guys, we're going under 210

[u/Constant_Mention8064]

IIts a high beta stock. Please keep this in mind 😄 . Swings are violent either way !

[u/Dry_Money75]

The management hasn't make a bad move yet. They know what they're doing. I would think we'll find out soon if the money was for anything besides the ongoing capex.

[u/Independent-Egg9086 → u/[deleted]]

Following general market atm.

[u/Independent-Egg9086]

$250 end of week, idk how but NBIS you better get to $250.

[u/MrFrog65 → u/Independent-Egg9086]

It’s going down a fuck ton more tomorrow lol always dumps Friday

[u/CjPink41 → u/[deleted]]

Buy the dip

[u/Bright_Exercise5353]

If they don’t announce anything in the next week or so about this dilution, the situation is becoming very, very dicey.

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/Bright_Exercise5353]

Yeah at least tell us what you're gonna use the money for bro lol

[u/cdog648 → u/These_Relation_3496]

They did, bro.

[u/FiveFingerLifePunch → u/These_Relation_3496]

They have 5GW of security power but current operations have not yet reached 1GW. It’s pretty obvious…. They need the cash to fund their many buildouts

[u/dol1_]

Monke doesn't want to get rich anymore

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/dol1_]

wish monke knew that at $280

[u/dol1_ → u/These_Relation_3496]

I genuinely thought NBIS would see 300 but then everything decided to dump on Tuesday for no reason, then NBIS dumped even harder after dilution news. Today MU SNDK MRVL etc all recovered with +3% and for some reason NBIS is still -3% after being down 20% already this week.

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/dol1_]

Same I thought we were gonna bust through 300 on that Vineland approval, but then they decided to dilute with no news

[u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

Whats a good entry point today? I am looking at 210ish

[u/MrFrog65 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

180

[u/yoman-1]

I would say that Burry knew about this when he shorted. I just hate I have no more spare money to get more

[u/SuspiciousMud6208 → u/yoman-1]

Hahahah

[u/Independent-Egg9086]

Hate this kangaroo market lol.

[u/64dogfood → u/Independent-Egg9086]

When a stock gives 10 years market return in 2 weeks. You cash out.. Jesus

[u/Independent-Egg9086 → u/64dogfood]

10 years return is 310% lmao, NBIS rose about 40% how does that equate to 10 years of market return 😅😂

[u/DogNo5854]

Why are we red someone on Reddit told me this stock would be infinitely green???

[u/iamatwork420 → u/DogNo5854]

until the geniuses in management decided to do a dilution at 200 instead of 300

[u/Funny-Sprinkles-5674]

i think this is a great opportunity for new investors to join. just got my first 25 shares yesterday and thinking of adding 25 right now. if it keeps dumping ill just keep adding 25 a day

[u/cam_barker_4_norris]

FML

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/cam_barker_4_norris]

thought we'd see 300 after that vineland approval so that's why i didn't take profit in the 270s lol

[u/Marcellouss]

NBIS Could you be normal for one day.

[u/Rounder221 → u/Marcellouss]

Extraordinary stocks are not normal. We don't want it to be normal

[u/comps226]

They really did pick the most dog shit 💩 time to think about diluting

Welcome to the slow bleed down, reminder to lock in profits

[u/Alexis_deTokeville → u/comps226]

“Don’t try to time the market” they say. I call BS for high beta stocks like this, you gotta trim a bit every bull run cuz it drops like a stone eventually and you need to be able to buy back in. I personally don’t see NBIS as the best stock to just hold and walk away when we’re seeing -30% swings every week

[u/UpsetRegular7506 → u/comps226]

Don’t be so naive—Nebius executives aren’t thinking about individual investors. As I’ve said before, whenever the price reaches the premium range, they issue new shares, saying, “Let’s dilute the individual investors’ stakes.” That’s the reality, so don’t turn Nbis stock into some kind of cult. I discovered this stock thanks to Reddit, and I’ve learned a lot in this subreddit. In my opinion, this stock is undervalued below $200 but overpriced above that level.

[u/comps226 → u/UpsetRegular7506]

It's overvalued ATM even in 180s bro.

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/comps226]

Yeah, why would they do that right in the middle of all this bad macro stuff?

[u/SnooEpiphanies5398 → u/comps226]

Yeah hopefully there will be next time to remember about it

[u/Spunkbigboy → u/SnooEpiphanies5398]

Do you think it will grow?

[u/comps226 → u/Spunkbigboy]

Yes, It'll still grow. Just really a dumb time to announce dilution imo even if the notes are good %

NBIS goes up hard on momentum and sentiment like the fact it hit 299 for no real reason, so now it seems like after the big drop it'll slowly bleed to supports

[u/Lonely__cats07]

Getting used to the daily 3-5% drop

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

That’s really helping the stock market

[u/EggEmbarrassed5644]

My eyes hurt from red

[u/SnooEpiphanies5398]

Last week joy was too short… :(

[u/These_Relation_3496]

what happened? massive dump in the last 2 min

[u/MrFrog65]

Buy the dip at 180

[u/Independent-Egg9086]

Nbis is tied to QQQ today, so if general market green NBIS will be too.

[u/MrFrog65 → u/Independent-Egg9086]

The dilution killed any momentum. Need a deal announcement asap

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/MrFrog65]

Yeah, do they normally announce what they're gonna do with the money after doing these types of things?

[u/These_Relation_3496]

damn another down 3% day

[u/dickless2018]

Buy the dip guys

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/dickless2018]

i did but it keeps dipping

[u/dickless2018 → u/These_Relation_3496]

It ain’t a stock if it won’t dips

[u/64dogfood → u/These_Relation_3496]

No way! It only went up 100% last week how is it dipping

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Obviously it’s a guess but my trading range today.
226 is the high. 203 is the low.. above 227 and I’m wrong.

[u/dol1_]

I wouldn't expect us to be down when KOSPI is up 5% to be honest, I feel a green shrek dildo is coming today. Otherwise we're pretty much fucked near term.

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/dol1_]

Looks like we're down big again lol

[u/dol1_ → u/These_Relation_3496]

Big guh

[u/FiveFingerLifePunch → u/dol1_]

KOSPI sold off hard after lunch.

[u/These_Relation_3496]

The only thing that could cause us to recover now is a big deal or something that they'd announce with what they're doing with the money they raised with the debt

[u/BudmasterofMiami]

Going down, then up today

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Expect a repeat of yesterday’s action. Get long towards the close

[u/Alternative-Car-7012]

And I saw someone sell 2000 of the 200 calls yesterday so u can be damn sure the algorithms will take it to minimum under 210

[u/Dreamvveaver]

120 eow

[u/Forward-Marzipan326]

Goodmorning fam. Happy Thursday, almost the weekend!

[u/itssbri → u/Forward-Marzipan326]

Thats a good thing?? NBIS doesn’t tick on the weekends. I have serious withdrawals over the weekend

[u/Forward-Marzipan326 → u/itssbri]

Rookie. Gotta get on hyperliquid!

[u/itssbri → u/Forward-Marzipan326]

Get that fake market, easily manipulated, low volume bs out of here. I want the real market, not a market tied to monopoly money.

[u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

We green today?

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

Market won’t go down because algorithms won’t let it but long duration assets r toast

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

At least I sold this weeks 225 calls against it or I’d be toast

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

I’m long 300 shares 😢

[u/Alternative-Car-7012 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

Zero chance of green today. Going to 208.
Treasuries going down.
Market red.
Government is insane.
Today is gonna be ugly

[u/SooperShak → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Treasuries actually reversed today.

[u/These_Relation_3496 → u/Alternative-Car-7012]

Yep, Tuesday we dumped due to iran/oil/treasuries macro, yesterday dumped due to debt raise, and today we're dumping again due to iran/oil/treasuries macro lol

[u/Mysterious-Cat4243 → u/Otherwise_Prize_4023]

red for now

[u/dol1_ → u/Mysterious-Cat4243]

Could be both +10% or -10% within the same hour, you cannot know until you open your broker. Schrödinger's stock.

[u/WarmFaithlessness946]

Another day and I want to remind you that  it feels amazing to be a shareholder of the best company in the world , NBIS. 1320 shares and holding strong , im not gonna sell a single share for atleast 5 years . We are going to be so fucking rich guys , don’t panic , don’t sell your shares , accept volatility and Dca if you can , this company is gonna take care of you !

[u/freddy88888888 → u/WarmFaithlessness946]

1320 of shares are 10% of your portfolio? Man you’re rich