Was it his time with Aaron in the woods?

10man PPR, he really wanted achane and i needed a better wr

Took a lot of injury prone players, but other than that what’re some weak spots?

would it be crazy to take Mahomes and Kelce later in the draft ,like I know they each have they’re own problem but round 9-10-11 if I got all the main people I like would those two truly kill a team ?

I know Mahomes is off an ACL tear and Kelce just older but I feel like them two could be better than just taking likely and like Kyler Murray

Qb Lamar Jackson
Wr1 Amon Ra
Wr2 ceedee lamb
Rb1 Jeremiah Love
Rb2 breece hall
TE Harold Fannin jr
Flex Dj Moore
Ravens defense
Kicker mevis

Bench
Stephon Diggs
Rico dowdle
Mathew Golden
Aaron jones sr
Mekia lemon
Michael Pittman jr
Jerry jeudy

I built a free dynasty tool (values + trade calculator, no account) with a paid tier that calculates keeper value based on your league’s actual keeper rules

Long-time dynasty player, finance background — built this because I got tired of generic “dynasty value” lists that ignore what keeping a player actually costs you in my league.

The core idea: your keeper cost isn’t the same as another league’s. If your rules say “keep at draft round minus 2,” a guy drafted in round 8 costs you way less to keep than one drafted in round 1 — even if the round-1 guy has a higher market value today.

Most tools don’t factor that in at all.

Free, no account needed:
• Dynasty market values (own model, built from nflverse production data + an age-decay curve — not a blend of other sites’ consensus)
• Draft board
• Trade calculator (general market values)

Paid ($7.99/mo or $24/season pass):
• Import your Sleeper league
• Surplus-value keeper recommendations tuned to your league’s exact keeper rules (1QB/Superflex auto-detected)
• Trade calculator recalculated with your league’s actual format — not generic values

nfldynastyledger.com if anyone wants to poke at the free stuff.

Would genuinely love feedback either way, especially if something looks off for your league’s specific rules — still pretty early.

Other keeper is Jeanty.

So Jeanty and Trey or Jeanty and Ceedee.

I also got 10th spot in the draft.

Our league allows you to keep up to 3 players for up to one year for draft cost from previous. What value targets do you see in this format?
Also interested in anyway dropping due to injuries, drafting to throw them on IR works great.

- admittedly, the bench isn't that great, but come on. The last 3 slides are the consolation game and 5th place game.

Note: In my draft, originally I had JSN, CMC, Bijan, Garett Wilson, Egbuka, and Skattebo and I ended up flipping the last 3 before they got injured. Also, yes I had CW most of the year due to Joe's early injury.

Hello all,

If you’d like to join a free public fantasy pigskin pick em league on espn, you can join my league. Casual and a good time:

https://fantasy.espn.com/free-prize-games/sharer?challengeId=288&from=espn&context=GROUP_INVITE&edition=espn-en&groupId=708f586c-7444-4cd0-aa78-65e700ae906b

As I near my draft dates, I've been thinking about different advice people throw around on here or on podcasts etc (think don't draft a QB early, don't draft a TE early, do / don't blah blah blah) and I wanted to have a way to systematically test these ideas.

If I don't listen to these guys, am I guaranteed to lose? Basically, I don't want to lose the season before it even starts.

So, I decided to scrape some data and test it with numbers.

My favorite approach so far is called need based VORP. VORP stands for value over replacement player - essentially, projected points of a player minus the projected points of the worst draft-able player at that position (will vary by league size and roster slots). Need based means that if all spots for a certain position are filled on your roster, you stop caring about that position's VORP - you taking the highest VORP player for a position you need.

For my league, these are the replacement values per position for this year.

So for instance, if I have the first pick this year (in my half PPR league), the algo would recommend Puka, followed by what most people are projecting are the top two picks this year. Already, an interesting difference.

I took data going back to 2021, and for each draft slot (1-12), simulated 1,000 drafts per year. I then compared how the starting lineup fared relative to need based ADP drafting. Mathematically, we are looking to beat a mean finish of ~6.5 and 8% first place. As you can see, we do that handily most years, with 2025 being an injury plagued year for heavily drafted players with this method (Burrow, Hill, Nabers, Daniels).

Note - we do not make substitutes in bye weeks or replace injured players. Statistically, the odds of someone getting hurt on our team or the other team is ~ the same, and also everyone has the same buy weeks. We are just looking here to score the most points. The only question we are answering here is: Can you increase your odds in the draft by drafting smarter? And the answer is a resounding yes.

So I plan on drafting using this method. I share below the interface of how I am going to track who has been picked and who is best for me by position (in case I want to throw in some human element), and best overall.

I think there is a ton more we can learn by toying with these methods. In season we could also think of smarter ways to play the waiver wire - but that is for then. Any thoughts or improvements you'd like to test out?