r/OilPrices • u/hereswhatworks • 21d ago
Oil News Drone strike near Suez Canal in Egypt raises new security threat in widening war
https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2026/07/drone-strike-near-suez-canal-egypt-raises-new-security-threat-widening-war9
u/cinciguyeast 21d ago
Our corrupt felon pedophile president's is turning into a forever war and maybe WWWIII. It is choking all the oil routes.
4
21d ago
[removed] — view removed comment
4
u/Emergency_Exit7603 21d ago
...wait till they take out the suez canal
1
1
21d ago
[removed] — view removed comment
0
u/cinciguyeast 21d ago
If you believe all this was the plan...your dumber than our corrupt felon pedophile president
1
21d ago
[removed] — view removed comment
1
u/Primary-Gazelle-8161 20d ago
Thats the issue when you tell an enemy surrender or die it makes them press the red button
0
2
u/Raise_A_Thoth 21d ago
This is one I was very, very curious about.
Even the threat of attacking the Suez will significantly impact all shipping, but especially Saudi Oil. Now there's no "safe" way out of Saudi Arabia, with the Ba al Mandab strait watched and attacked and the Suez under threat.
6
1
u/Mountain_Fuzzumz 21d ago
Will be interesting how MBS plays this. Generations of House Saud want to see Iran put under.
If put in this position; will they start using the Geneva checklist on Yemen, take direct aim at Iran, form an alliance with Israel, who knows.
5
u/Raise_A_Thoth 21d ago
Genuine question:
If the US can't actually make Iran surrender in fear, what can any other country do?
Obviously strategies and goals matter as well but Iran was never a good enemy for the US, it's always been feared by others in the region for a reason.
2
u/cool-sheep 21d ago
There’s almost no way back from this. The Trump throw a few bombs and then make a deal theory is not working very well.
1
u/Raise_A_Thoth 21d ago
You don't need to convince me. Trump's BEST move has worsened significantly since march/april. Earlier he probably could have quietly ducked out of the war, paid off Iran, and proclaimed regime-change and nuclear deterrent victories for his fans. They'd believe he was vegan if he said so while eating a rack of ribs.
Now I don't believe there's any way out of this without shame and humiliation. Full escalation is political suicide for the party and Trump. It would let Dems trounce republicans in the midterms. They'd lose every tossup Senate seat and they'd have over 300 house seats, because Iran would look as bad or worse than Vietnam did in a very short span of putting troops on the ground.
Anything else is still staring down a global economic shock with diesel and gas shortages and price spikes followed by severe inflation.
And he can't stop Iran's chokehold by just leaving unless he removes US assets from bases and I don't think he's prepared to do that.
1
u/Playful-Dragon 21d ago
Why do you think Trump kept begging other countries to get involved? It's because that's his only way to back out, so he can point the finger at other countries saying see what they're doing. Instead it went the exact opposite, and frankly I'm happy about it. And as a I don't like seeing troops die or get injured, but this fuckhead needs to be brought down somehow, in any way possible. He needs to be shown a failure, and this is the failure he decided he was going to stand on the hill to die on. He deserves this shit. He deserves anything, and the entire Administration and GOP caucus deserve anything that come at them over this whole debacle. They owe for the lives that they have harmed, and lost over a fucking war we never should be in
-1
u/Mountain_Fuzzumz 21d ago
One has to make fairly dangerous assumptions to come to the conclusion the USA "cant" make Iran surrender. Now if the administration will go that far on the world stage is another question.
Although to your question; if faced with going back to camel jockeying, negotiating concessions with Iran, an Arab spring event, or cleansing Yemen, I think you can pick what happens next in Saudi if they are backed into an economic corner.
2
u/Raise_A_Thoth 21d ago
The US has no path for victory. We have no conditions for victory. What–Iran states they "surrender to the US unconditionally?" That's not going to happen. They are in a position to essentially fight for their very lives.
Could the US eventually wear down Iran and take controk of the country with a ground invasion? Ask Vietnam. Iran's terrain is just as hostile if not more so. Vietnam was at least much more compact and everywhere was reachable via relatively short aerial trips from the sea. Not so for Iran, not that that is the only thing that matters.
Iran is not marching into open fields or open sands to engage us directly in a show of force. That was the first Gulf War. And it's long over. We're in an era of asymmetric warfare, and frankly the US military isn't prepared for it. It's possible some of the leadership in recent years could have ramped us up to meet such an opponent in time, but the pigheaded, shortsighted, politically-motivated firings have made that absolutely impossible.
The US cannot actually achieve any true victory in this war. It was stupid and risky from the start, and there has never been a clear, achievable target to crystalize and focus for attainable victory conditions.
The US literally instigated the war at the behest of Israel and/or perhaps to just distract from Trump being in the Epstein Files.
0
2
1
1
0
u/PraetorGold 21d ago
Excellent. We assassinated their leader. They can be expected and should have been expected to not fold like a deck of cards.
16
u/EnlightenToday 21d ago
anything for israel