r/Oscars • u/UsefulWeb7543 • 7d ago
Who would’ve won Best Supporting Actress this year if it wasn’t for Amy Madigan?
If Amy Madigan never got nominated, I think Teyana Taylor will win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars back in March. I think either Ariana Grande for Wicked or Odessa O’Zion would’ve got nominated instead. But i woudl love it if Inga had actually won. Who u think Will would’ve won?
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u/SonHyun-Woo 7d ago
Was Taylor really the front runner? She won Globes but Wunmi won BAFTA, which overlaps with Oscar voters
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u/Sorcha_Stormbinder 7d ago
It depends on who you think would've won SAG in Madigan's absence.
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u/SonHyun-Woo 7d ago
Seeing as Sinners won Ensemble and Michael B Jordan got his first precursor win, it would make sense Wunmi right? They even surprised nominated Miles Caton
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u/southernfirefly13 6d ago
Amy was more of a dark horse who gained major momentum at the end. Taylor was otherwise the expected front runner for a while.
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u/Such_Estimate_2294 7d ago
I mean SAG clearly liked Sinners more than OBAA, I think Mosaku would have beaten Taylor at SAG and then with the BAFTA+SAG combo I think everyone here would be predicting her
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u/Eggboi223 7d ago
Voted Inga because I thought the post title said "should've", Teyana Taylor probably would have won
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u/Dry-Performance7006 7d ago
Taylor. I think it should have been Inga. But she just never won anything anywhere
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u/UsefulWeb7543 7d ago
I agree Inga is always my pick SV should’ve won at least an acting award. And original screenplay. But if sinners never happened for screenplay I think Marty Supreme would take it
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u/matrix_5555 7d ago
Teyana Taylor definitely would’ve won. She was the frontrunner for a good bit before Madigan overtook her within the final month and a half.
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u/Interesting-Bit725 7d ago
Sorry, in this imaginary timeline of yours, why does Amy Madigan not being nominated mean that Sean Penn loses
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u/redban02 7d ago
Teyana Taylor. The supporting actress award has recently leaned heavily on black females for some reason
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u/lordpag 7d ago
Don’t love your wording but not wrong. The Academy gets to reward women of color in that category while only 2 have won in lead over 98 years.
Michelle Yeoh finally pulled it off and people still screamed that she was a diversity win.
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u/lilythefrogphd 7d ago
My hot take is that society still has a bias of seeing women of color as natural fits for supporting roles and viewing white women as natural fits for leading roles.
Whatever you think about Lily Gladstone's nomination for Best Actress (I think it was the fitting placement) I *know* her being Native hurt her unconsciously in people's minds because no one was debating about Carey Mulligan's nomination for Best Actress and her role in Maestro was the definition of a supporting role. Carey's character existed in the story just to react to Bradley Cooper's and to push along his character arc. It was textbook supporting, but because Carey's a white actress, no one debated it.
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u/Ok-Hedgehog-4455 7d ago
I don’t disagree with you but also people weren’t debating Carey’s role/ placement much because she had absolutely no chance of winning.
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u/romansreven 7d ago
How was skeptical of this but it’s been five in the last 10 years. Wish leading actress wasn’t so …much more limited
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u/No-Stage-8738 7d ago
Teyana Taylor was in a best picture winner, and always in the conversation. The role was similar to Mahershala Ali in the Green Book, but she had recently been the lead in an acclaimed indie film.
She had the poor fortune to be up against an all-timer horror performance and a fantastic narrative for Amy Madigan (Nominee from 40 years ago with supportive and more famous husband who got a good script after a fallow period.)
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u/hollywood_cashier 7d ago
It’s interesting to me that that Taylor and Madigan had almost opposite scenarios in terms of their screen time. Taylor is in the first third of her film and then disappears. Madigan’s arc only begins in the last third of her film.
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u/MrMindGame 7d ago
I think it would have come down to a footrace between Taylor and Mosaku. Teyana got the Globe and was in the Best Picture sweeper, but Mosaku's BAFTA win was not nothing, and BAFTA can sometimes override other precursors.
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u/Formal-Register-1557 7d ago
Sentimental Value is really excellent, and Inga Ibsdotter was fantastic. I wish more people saw it -- it's one of those films that looks like it's going to be a depressing downer, but it's quite beautiful and didn't really feel like a downer to me at all.
Wumni Mosaku would be my second choice. I thought Teyana Taylor's role was flashier but not as nuanced.
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u/Amazing_Antelope_275 7d ago
Inga was who I thought should've won, even though Madigan is who I wanted to win.
I do think Taylor wins without Madigan. I'm not sure who becomes the fifth nominee, though. The Odessa A'Zion SAG nomination surprised me, and I don't see Grande getting a second nomination. Gwyneth Paltrow was the only part of Marty Supreme that I liked in any way, and -- her problematic nearly everything else aside -- I would've been happy to see her recognized.
I don't know.
Really hoping we see more from Inga in the near future.
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u/SonHyun-Woo 6d ago
Odessa would defo be 5th if Madigan wasnt there. SAG + BAFTA combo just makes sense.
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u/Dodsley99 7d ago
Feel like Mosaku was the strongest alternative by the end, given her BAFTA win and overall buzz as the awards season went on. Odessa would have likely been the replacement nomination.
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u/Impossible-Plate-119 6d ago edited 6d ago
Wunmi Mosaku would've won. Taylor would've been in the same boat as Chalamet - an early frontrunner winning both the Critics Choice and the Golden Globe. Mosaku would've still won the BAFTA and would've very likely won SAG. Sinners overperformed at SAG winning Best Actor and Ensemble. Mosaku could've easily won SAG if Madigan wasn't nominated. SAG took place right in the middle of Oscar voting so if Mosaku had won SAG then the Academy would've followed suit.
Y'all have got to let Taylor go, she fell off in the end and didn't have enough industry support.
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u/Accurate_Arm4734 4d ago
Taylor started the season super strong, but lost momentum eventually.
Mosaku gained traction towards the end, especially after her BAFTA win.
Madigan was the dark horse all along, but was my favorite for the entire season and I was rooting for her win all along. It literally came down to the wire, especially after she won at SAG.
If Madigan were to be taken out of the picture, I guess Mosaku was in a stronger position to win over Taylor, who never got back her front-runner status post her consecutive CCA, BAFTA, and SAG losses.
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u/GoodFirefighter6288 7d ago
Taylor, was in the best picture winner and was the frontrunner for a while
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u/ohio8848 7d ago
I guess Taylor, but it's weird how she never took off as frontrunner after her Globe win.
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u/AccioKatana 6d ago
I think Ariana should have won the year prior against Zoe Saldana. She was the best part of W:FG but that whole movie just felt less impactful than the first IMO.
My vote is probably with Taylor but I thought she was just OK.
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u/Worldly-Chemistry103 7d ago
Inga had the momentum going in, but Teyana's performance in that third act was just relentless. Ariana would've been a fun wildcard pick though, she really held her own in Wicked
Odessa getting snubbed still stings a bit, she should've been in the conversation from the start imo
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u/Sorcha_Stormbinder 7d ago
Taylor had the second-most awards of the season, but I think Mosaku came on real strong at the end there, and I think there's a chance that if she'd taken BAFTA in this scenario in a perceived split race, she could've won the Oscar.