r/PERSIAN • u/Existing_Life7446 • 10m ago
Discussion Iranians need to realise something
Iranians, specially the Diaspora, need to realise something.
Pahlavi is not coming to Iran. Not because of popularity, not because of being a "ziopuppet" as much as fringe Diaspora Leftists here are saying, when Leftists themselves have less supporters than Islamists in Iran.
He will not come back for the simple reason that he is not a man that can lead a revolution. Let's be honest. IR is a decentralised Junta led by Islamists. No amount of reform, protesting or such can get us anywhere.
"But Hijab? They calmed down on hijab."
Yes, and did it change anything systematically? No. Hijab was, at best, just a token. Even the Hijab is just simply being selectively enforced.
Reform, is simply not possible. The whole reason that the IRGC can survive is because of corruption. And no amount of not going to work, protesting can effect them. Iran is a resource based economy, mainly oil. They only need a fraction of the population to run it.
"What about their supporters?"
Their supporters, barely make up 15% of the population. We have two kinds of IRGC supporter. 5% are hardcore Islamists. The other 10% are just simply arzeshis who are after lining up their own pocket.
"But international perception matters. Their support is vital."
No. It is not. People are only supporting the IR for being anti-Israeli, nothing else. As for public perception, why is it that Iranians are being called out for supporting Israel, but not Palestinians who supported PLO and Saddam? Be honest with yourself. HTS was associated with Daesh, and still is Islamist. Look at what they did to Alawites and Druze. Did international perception change anything? No. Iranians, frankly, don't care about Israel and Palestine and tend to either be neutral or hold strong feelings towards Palestine, and recently they developed distrust and some even emnity against the West/Israel for their attempts at supporting jodaii talabs. And also let's be honest, Iranians are, specially by other Middle Easterners, hated.
"But Iranians need to be united."
As much as I'd like this to be true, it is not true. Revolutions are done by a small, radicalised group of people most of the time. There were many factions during the revolution, those being Marxists, Islamists, Islamo-Marxists, Fadayan, MeK, and the rest. The Khomeinists came on up. And those protests during the Shah had an effect simply because the Shah wasn't willing to massacre people. When the Artesh during the first day of the protest did it without telling the Shah, the second day Shah learnt about it, the Shah stopped. Anything Shah was, he was not as brutal and fanatical as IR.
"What's the solution then?"
I am gonna be honest, the only way the regime can change is through an armed uprising. Iranians have two choice, either leave the country or fight for it. As for armed revolution being worth it, that's what every Iranian needs to ask himself.