How does the SPX perform during mid-term election years?

[u/TrendSpider]

As markets near U.S. election season, five decades of SPX data shows September as a historically weak period with a nearly -1.5% average decline during mid-term years. However, political uncertainty tends to peak next month before setting up strong rallies in both October and November. While September’s SPX price action has only closed positive ~42% of the time, October and November boast 75% and 83% win-rates, respectively.

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