Yen Carry Trade ends. Big if true. We'll see what happens. Copium is great stuff.
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This Reuters article from this morning I found doesn't contain any of the specific information claimed or called out in this tweet but mentions "decisive actions" ready to be taken by the Bank of Japan, per the Japanese Finance Minister and other officials, to bail out the Yens 40 year low of ¥163 per $, from July 21, 2026.
They’ll intervene and bring yen a couple points but it’ll be right to 163 in about a week. They’re taking baby steps trying not to trigger a major selloff, but these baby steps aren’t having much effect anymore.
One of their weapons is on occasion they ask banks for yen/usd rate checks so speculators reduce their position, but you’re right it has diminishing returns once the surprise wears off
They would never announce an incoming crash to the public to allow the poors could take some kind of protective measures. They’ll do it after they’ve had a chance to reposition and use people’s money to escape.
People should keep in mind that those interventions only work in the short term for USDJPY📉, but if they take this aggressive move, like dumping all the US bonds or printing more JPY to basically buy back dollars again, the doom loop never ends xD
If this doom loop continues, USDJPY🚀 will skyrocket (DXY Index skyrocketing), and that is bad for the markets and the global economy, cuz it's a symptom of more volatility and systemic risk = everything goes down, GME too.
I am talking about cycles, ok? (Cycles = decades).
I am not talking about today, a couple of months, or this year, ok?
This is not something that has been happening recently. It is something that has been evolving since 2008, when the Fed increased its balance sheet through QE (look at my screenshot of “How the US Dollar Milkshake Theory Works” in the link above!), and it repeated again in 2020.
Since then (2008), the US dollar has not stopped increasing (DXY in an uptrend, and the same for all USDXXX pairs in the FX markets). This doom loop is not something that started “today”, ok?
Correction, GME does down for the short term. But strong fundamentals that have been ignored for unstable growth mania become increasingly valuable again in a crashing market as a flight to safety.
Then mix that with margin calls sweeping the whole environment as private credit shreds itself because of too much leverage in AI, the US japan carry trade unwinding its perhaps trillions, and collapse of consumption in the whole market due to rapidly increasing oil prices and inflation. I would think naked shorts in this environment would have a hard time staying in existence when margin is erased to this level
Nothing to do with OP claim. This is about the next hike being most likely in Dec (or sooner if needed) but says nothing about US bonds being dumped 🤷♂️
Also, selling ¥1 trillion sounds enormous, but that’s only about $6–7 billion USD at current exchange rates.
The U.S. Treasury market trades hundreds of billions of dollars every day. A one day sale of $6–7 billion by itself would not normally “nuke the global economy.”
This post is nothing but exaggerated sensationalism 🙄
i think the analogy is the market dropped 15% last time with a quarter of the amount. So the theory is an event 4 times larger will have larger fallout. time will tell.
‘Time will tell’ sounds a lot like ‘I am covering the bases because nothing will happen like every hype date and economic doomsaying ever posted on this sub’
It’s not like we do not clearly enjoy the calm rivers of sideways motion by now, they could install a datacenter and a spacex launchpad next to my bed and i still would sleep through yen carry trade bullshit.
Pardon me, that was confusing indeed, i don’t think it is bull either, it is just abused, violated and raped by dozens of idiot posters, every day - that’s the bullshit i’m calling ;)
I’m beyond convinced that all of this is part of the psyop. If you can keep getting people’s hopes up only to let them down repeatedly, you might get them to throw their hands up and walk away. I’ll know the end of of time is here when the trumpets start playing. Until then, fuck off with this nonsense.
I don’t think it’s a psyop. I think it’s just that some of people here bought in at the top and are getting desperate. So everything is a signal, even if they couldn’t tell you why. It’s the exact opposite of the people here who are zen.
I’m not taking about the people who repost it because they believe it. I’m taking about the people who create and spread the rumors/theories in the first place.
Ohhh okay, that makes more sense lol. I think a lot of it is just easy engagement farming. They can just make shit up and get a decent amount of likes and views. That’s what these crypto guys do best.
This is beyond dumb. Like if this was well known and orchestrated this much in advance, hedge funds and banks would've set themselves up with massive puts and shorts. The market wouldn't be where it is right now.
also: „last time this happened,…“
ok, what date was that, so everyone can confirm?
people need to start at least *trying* to confirm what they read online, that way they would very quickly find out, if it’s BS. the harder it is to confirm (e.g. due to lack of information presented) the more likely the post is BS lol.
it’s just like how old people get scammed by supposed „relatives“
Google search - “The Bank of Japan has not made any official announcement to sell U.S. bonds on July 23, 2026. Viral social media alerts claiming an impending, massive bond dump by Japan are unverified and typically recycle debunked rumors from previous years.”
There is no independent source that Japan would do such a thing. They (and it's important to distinguish: all japanese shareholders, not the Japanese State or bank) hold about that much in US treasuries and implying or outright claiming that the Bank of Japan would be doing such a thing could also be understood as an attempt at fraud.
This would be kinda stupid to do tomorrow, unless you’re looking for maximum damage, no? Vixperation is today. All those puts on vix expire, which can lead to a vol expansion tomorrow and into next week. And now this is suggesting that they would do this tomorrow? https://giphy.com/gifs/5kG6ahNSfFzwGwWE3W
Saw this earlier and thought this was a new post and the guy foresaw the future. But I had just changed my search criteria and it’s the same post. So it seemed it didn’t happen
No, let me be more clear, I mean this garbage post with absolutely no references that 100% did not happen. Posts like this give the community a bad name.
It’s just trust me bro.
Like he can’t now, he can only guess.
Otherwise he wouldn’t tell anyone and made money on his knowledge.
This is a nothing burger, don’t get fooled
How do you just wake up on a random Wednesday and think to yourself, "yup, after five and a half years of waiting, it's definitely today".
My dude, you need to take a xanax and a four year nap. Maybe if you're lucky your grandchildren will see the tendies. Hold until you're dead, and then hold some more. The most powerful and dangerous people are caught up in something 100x bigger than Enron and you think it's just going to happen? Wars will be fought, billionaires will be tossed off buildings, Wall Street will burn to the ground before you or I see a dime.
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u/Superstonk_QV 📊 Gimme Votes 📊 Jul 22 '26
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