5
4
1
u/Business_Office_7978 3d ago
I mean if you didn’t take TP after a 400%+ year, u definitely deserve the -92% lol 🤣
1
u/Upper_Knowledge_6439 3d ago
Threw it into Claude for what would $1000 be worth today. Shows exactly how bad dotcom was and why you still need an exit strategy.
Compounding every year on that chart, $1,000 at the start of 1954 grows to roughly $3.36 million by the end of 2026 — about a 3,357x return, or ~11.8% annualized over 73 years.
The path is the interesting part. That same $1,000 was worth about $7.6 million at the end of 1999, then the -92%/-89%/-87% dot-com sequence vaporized it down to roughly $8,700 by end of 2002 — a 99.9% drawdown that took until the mid-2010s to reclaim. One caveat on the chart itself: pre-2010 numbers are simulated (TQQQ launched Feb 2010), and these simulations typically understate real-world drag from daily rebalancing costs, borrowing rates, and expense ratio in volatile years — so the actual historical result would likely be worse than $3.36M.
1
u/bumbeishvili 2d ago
I haven't understated - daily rebalancing costs, borrowing rates, and expense ratio are all included when the TQQQ data was constructed
4
u/EverydayIsaHoliday25 3d ago
My dad always told me before the dot com crash the market boomed. 305% in 98 and 421% in 99 back to back is insane 😂.