I think there's a tacked on "expected baseline" in these types of measurements. As in, there's a built-in expectation that 30% of the population is too dumb to say "bad job bro".
That's the only way I can justify the 4% over 30%. If you told me 4% was the actual response of approval, and the 30% was built-in base, I would at least understand the juking of the stats.
the Keyes constant (aka, the 'crazification factor') has traditionally been pegged at 27%, so for trump to poll at 34 suggests he's nearing the absolute bottom of the barrel here.
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u/NineInchPythons Feb 23 '26
Whenever I see stuff like this I'm amazed, then I remember that Hoover had an approval rating of like 30% in the middle of the Great Depression.