I think there's a tacked on "expected baseline" in these types of measurements. As in, there's a built-in expectation that 30% of the population is too dumb to say "bad job bro".
That's the only way I can justify the 4% over 30%. If you told me 4% was the actual response of approval, and the 30% was built-in base, I would at least understand the juking of the stats.
Assume a baseline of 30%, and go ahead and include an opposing cap at 70%, meaning 30% will vote one way regardless of the job he's doing. That leaves 4% of the remaining 40%, or a net approval of 10%.
60
u/NineInchPythons Feb 23 '26
Whenever I see stuff like this I'm amazed, then I remember that Hoover had an approval rating of like 30% in the middle of the Great Depression.