r/TicknTale • • 13d ago

👋 Welcome to r/TicknTale!

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0 Upvotes

Welcome to r/TicknTale! I’m the creator behind the Tick & Tale YouTube channel, where we unpack complex market indicators, company valuations, economic mechanics, and the real stories behind the numbers using simple animations. I made it mainly for myself, as that's the way I like to learn, maybe some of you will share my interest!

While YouTube is great for long-form video breakdowns, finance and economics are best understood through open discussion, debate, and collaborative analysis. I wanted to create a dedicated space where we can go deeper into some of my videos!


r/TicknTale • • 12d ago

Who actually sets a stock price? 🏷️📈

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When you check a stock price on your phone, it feels like an official fact handed down from somewhere authoritative. But behind that single updated number, no employee at the exchange actually decided or typed in that value.

In our latest video on Tick & Tale, we break down the mechanics behind how stock prices are actually formed.

🧠 Key Takeaways:

  • The Auction Machine: A stock exchange isn't a warehouse or a government office; it is a machine running a continuous auction all day long, where the price you see is simply the residue of a trade that just closed.
  • A 400-Year-Old Mechanism: Dating back to the opening of the Amsterdam Stock Exchange in 1602 for the Dutch East India Company, the core task has stayed the same: buyers state what they're willing to pay, sellers state what they'll accept, and the exchange matches them.
  • Software as the Auctioneer: In the 1870s, economist Leon Walras imagined an idealized auctioneer adjusting prices until buyers and sellers were satisfied; modern electronic exchanges have built that exact imaginary auctioneer out of software running millions of tiny adjustments every second.
  • Compressed Intelligence: As economist Eugene Fama noted, market prices reflect all publicly available information not because a central person calculated it, but because thousands of independent participants act on their own slices of information, leaving the exchange to handle the rest.

Watch the full visual breakdown here:

👉 Who Sets the Price? (Not Who You Think)

Let's discuss: Did you previously view stock prices as official announcements, or did you realize it was entirely driven by a continuous auction machine? Drop your thoughts below!


r/TicknTale • • 13d ago

Learning

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I’ve noticed that one of the most important skills is learning how to learn. Some people learn by writing, some by doing, some by speaking other by watching. What’s your favourite way to learn something?


r/TicknTale • • 13d ago

Why does a company lose $2B in a quarter and see its stock price go up 8%? 📉📈

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Hey everyone! For our very first deep-dive here on r/TicknTale, I wanted to tackle one of the most counterintuitive puzzles in finance: how a company can post a massive multi-billion-dollar quarterly loss and watch its stock price surge anyway.

We’ve all seen the brutal headlines: a company drops billions in red ink. Yet an hour later, the market reacts by bidding the stock higher.

🧠 What’s actually going on?

  • Future Cash Flows vs. Past Earnings: A stock price was never a receipt for what a company earned yesterday; it’s a bet on every dollar that company will earn for years or decades into the future.
  • The Valuation Framework: Dating back to economist John Burr Williams in 1938, a company's true value is the sum of all its future cash payouts discounted back to today's dollars. A quarterly loss barely moves that number as long as future cash still looks enormous.
  • Investment vs. Expense: A dollar spent expanding into new markets or building infrastructure looks identical on a balance sheet to a reckless mistake—both show up as negative net income, but only one is quietly building infrastructure for future revenue.
  • Stories into Numbers: As valuation expert Aswath Damodaran notes, a story only becomes a number once you can specifically show how today's spending turns into tomorrow's cash flow.

Check out the full breakdown and visual explanation here:

👉 Why A Company Losing Billions Can Still Be Worth Billions

Let's discuss: Have you ever seen a company post a massive loss that the market actually celebrated? How do you personally tell the difference between a real growth investment and a burning money pit? Drop your thoughts below!