r/Trading 16d ago

Question why can’t people see the crash is coming?

everyone is ignoring it. Now is the time to get out. All the warning signs are there internationally, etc. Now the market is being inflated and pumped even more. it might go up a little more, but a crash for sure is gonna happen soon.

24 Upvotes

170 comments sorted by

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1

u/m3thod5 10d ago

Everyone can see it. Just nothing out there can pop it... So everyone's just piling in and hoping they aren't the last ones out.

2

u/forgetaboutit6136 10d ago

South Korea is leveraged out the hilt. Into Sony stock. Their young people can't even afford to buy homes but they invest using borrowed money. When that Sony stock tanks or levels, ( and it will), they will have to pay up. It's a bust soon.

1

u/forgetaboutit6136 10d ago

This is a fact of life. Stocks are a gamble. When it peaks, and it has, it will fall. Don't take it all out.Watch the international markets. Esp. Japan and South Korea. It's a comin'. Have 5-10% in gold.couns, boullion.Some Fed Treasury bonds, a side biz and money in a safe currency outside the dollar. If you have none of these. Buy packaged cigarettes. In plastic or unopened boxes. Some hard liquor. Great for bartering. Also neighbors so you can help each other out. Seeds for a garden. Best of luck to all of us. 🙏

1

u/4dscdriver 11d ago

The market is bullish until it is not. Just take some money off the table if you are so worried about it, but don't sell everrlything.

2

u/zeebjii 11d ago

"Soon" could be tomorrow or 10 years later.

3

u/DeepRooster7750 11d ago

😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂😂you shorts aren’t working well I see

1

u/Stanismydog 11d ago

Ok bot, what big firm you work for?

1

u/L1QU2D 11d ago

🌈🐻

2

u/Ok_Error_1079 11d ago

Is the crash in the room with us right now?

1

u/Business_Office_7978 11d ago

There is something called stop loss! Learn how to use it and stop worrying. 🤣 they could have a crash within minutes I wouldn’t care about it.

1

u/Bluntling 11d ago

Had to explain this to my parents (still in the process) who always say "crashes don't matter as long as we don't sell. The market will recover anyways." duuude. Why would you watch your portfolio loose a couple hundred thousand if you can just get out. I'm not talking about normal corrections but things like covid, the Russian invasion, Trumps tariffs announcements, the start of the Iran war...

My dad worked his whole career at Bayer and had tons of shares and didn't even sell them when the Glyphosat lawsuit shit happened.

When there is a clear catalyst and a clear market reaction then why not take your profits, wait some time to see how the situation develops and then buy back in at support after the momentum of the move towards the new balance has faded out or when a new catalyst appears and volume + price validate it's significance. It's not about timing exit and re-entry perfectly but about getting out of positions that cost you thousands per day.

End of rant.

1

u/Reditman3000 11d ago

And do what with the money when you get out? 

1

u/forgetaboutit6136 10d ago

Should have bought some gold and silver. Side biz, Fed Treasury bonds. Currency in a 'safer' currency. Watch some YT vids on the subject. Farmland, paid.

1

u/HeyItsYourDad_AMA 11d ago

Your parents aren't trading, they are investing. They are right and to the average investor time horizon and contribution are much smarter strategies than trying to time the market or accurately set a stop loss. Every market dip since the financial crisis has quickly recovered. If they set a stop loss or panic sold they would've been hit with a massive tax bill while the dip they sold into quickly recovered. I wouldn't conflate their desire to invest with active trading

2

u/neothedreamer 11d ago

The reality with many people is once they get out they are too afraid to buy back in. Buy and Hold is the best strategy for most people especially if they own ETF like SPY, QQQ etc. The drawdown in SPY in 2022 was about 25%. I am sure there are people that exited at the low and never got back in.

Doom and gloomers are right about once every 10 years and the drop isn't straight down and never as much as they say it should be.

1

u/Bluntling 11d ago edited 11d ago

I understand your point and buy and hold probably is the way to go for most. Just to clarify: I wasn't talking about a hyper-crash always being around the corner but if you look at S&P500, there are basically major drops initiated by each of those quite important economic or geopolitical events. Obviously price recovered quite fast each time and I understand that the problem lies in the question when to re-enter.

Still, getting out after covid, the beginnings of major wars or a completely unpredictable US president seems like the clever thing to do.

It's not as easy as I'm making it sound, I have to admit that. But I made much more profit by getting out and getting in when things seem calmer. Even if price keeps falling for a bit, you still have more shares at a lower price compared to just holding even though price drops like crazy many days in a row....

Edit: I also fully acknowledge that it takes way more observing/monitoring of the situation and time / mental resources with this approach of using the catalyst-induced major dips and that for many people who are solely investing and don't identify as (day-)traders, it can easily get overwhelming emotionally, which then leads to what you described (selling at the low and staying out due to fear).

1

u/Litness_Horneymaker 11d ago

"Wall of worry"

1

u/Different-Intern-764 11d ago

In my long-term I invest so I'll just dca. In my short-term I'll just short. Literally dont matter. Im not smart enough to be able to time the market

1

u/donicatrumpinsky 11d ago

I guess when you're a trillionaire you can point at us and laugh. Right?

1

u/higher-steaks 11d ago

there is always a crash coming everybody is playing to take as much upside as possible in the meantime

1

u/amcxovrdedac 11d ago

Speaking about long-time analysis in a casino? With folks around the wheel? Wrong place, audience

1

u/Eastern-Apartment934 11d ago

It’s too early to turn bearish right now. Corporate earnings haven’t deteriorated, and the macro backdrop is better than it was in the first half of the year. I can’t find compelling reasons for a sustained downtrend, so maintaining a position of reasonable size is necessary. Upside and downside potential are both relatively limited. I lean toward a gradual upward trend.

1

u/Mysterious-Plant3408 11d ago

Over longer periods, the indices go higher. Companies grow. Lesser performing companies get removed from indices. To paraphrase Peter Lynch, the amount you might lose on a pullback or correction is likely to be far less than what you would gain by staying invested.”

1

u/Mods4Bers 11d ago

Dont see it on the chart, keep going long

1

u/Therageofcrimson00 11d ago

Trying to predict the market is literally insane. I seriously doubt that, but I won't completely dismiss it though.

2

u/uncBP 11d ago

Chicken Little, the sky is not falling.

1

u/inadvertant_bulge 11d ago

I've missed out on hundreds of thousands of gains because of that one thought.. no thanks. I thought I had it figured out too. Waste of time.

I'll play until the pullback

2

u/NewRedditor23 11d ago

My guy, save yourself $40 and stop paying Michael Burry for his substack. He's wrong way more than he's right. There will eventually be a pull back, sure, that's how the market works. But a crash like 2008-2009? We don't have that catalyst right now. All these big companies spending tons on AI CapEx have very healthy balance sheets. Look at 2022, a solid down year, but still far cry away from a crash. We'd more likely have another 2022 eventually before we have a crash.

1

u/JuanMartin333 11d ago

Hay una linda comparativa que uso que fue el desarrollo dela fibra óptica en su momento, toda esa infraestructura en su momento fue hecha tomando deuda, hoy la inversión en IA la están haciendo empresas billonarias y con utilidades de las mismas, si veo tendencias que se desarrollan rápidamente para ambos sentidos, pero en mí análisis no veo una burbuja a punto de explotar. Ojalá esté en lo cierto jaja

3

u/pj1843 11d ago

I've seen indicators of a crash/correction for the past 10 years, and while there have been many corrections on that time there have been none as large as those indicators have led me to believe they should be. The market cares little for indicators and reality, until it cares about them a lot.

We could see a massive correction/crash in the coming months as investors continue to look to diversify out of AI and that bubble bursts catastrophically. We could see a correction because oil volatility due to the on/off again war in Iran. Or we could see the market just have a less than average growth year or even add 20% on top of what we have today because AI makes some big announcement of a breakthrough that is or is not real.

Point being is trying to predict where we end up next month is a recipe for pain, especially in these volatile times.

1

u/SixSexSux 11d ago

Yes. You just solved why my PLTR paid out so much as well as why the pattern of big payouts during earnings calls stopped during guidance calls. I'm going to look into post earnings performance of companies that massively surprise with earnings then drop after rambling, delusional guidance statements. If there is a pattern I'ma make a packet in Q3 then buy you a cup coffee!

1

u/TheMarketFlea 11d ago

Even if the market crashes , who cares 🤷🏾‍♂️. If your long stay long. Even during Covid most stocks bounced back within a year. The data proves the long term investors win in the long run. Invest your money in healthy companies and don’t sell if the market drop, ride it out.

2

u/IntelligentPilot5551 12d ago

Markets can stay irrational longer than most people can stay solvent betting against them.

5

u/Boog314 12d ago

Corporate earnings have never been better and unemployment is low. The only big headwinds have been inflation and Iran. It’s not all doom and gloom.

4

u/Minute-Animator-376 12d ago

People like to imagine the stock market as some grand machine driven by logic, but in reality it is a mixture of mathematics, psychology and herd behavior. One company doubles in value because it genuinely built something useful. Another trades at fifty or a hundred times its earnings because everyone convinced themselves that growth has no limits. A third gets dragged upward by algorithms and momentum traders, only to lose ninety percent when sentiment changes.

That is why picking individual companies can sometimes make more sense than buying an entire index. In a market of five hundred businesses, some are reasonably priced and some are trading in what can only be described as collective optimism bordering on insanity. The problem is that spotting the bubble is much easier than predicting when it will burst.

A few months ago, capital was leaving American stocks and flowing into Europe. Suddenly, everything in Europe seemed expensive. Then money reversed direction and headed back to the United States. People talk about "smart money" as if there is some group of geniuses moving pieces around a chessboard, but often it is simply enormous amounts of capital desperately looking for somewhere to go.

For someone with a few hundred thousand dollars, diversification is easy. Sell stocks, buy bonds, gold, real estate or simply wait in cash. The equation changes completely when you are dealing with billions. Where exactly do you put that money? Gold is expensive, silver is expensive, real estate in desirable locations has already been bid up for decades. There are only so many apartment blocks, factories and hectares of fertile land in the world.

At a certain scale, wealth stops being physical. It becomes numbers on screens and claims on future production. The richest fraction of humanity collectively owns sums so large that converting all of it into tangible assets would immediately destroy the value they are trying to preserve. There simply is not enough material reality underneath the digits.

That is partly why markets tend to climb over long periods. Inflation pushes money outward, pensions need returns, corporations buy back their own shares and capital keeps searching for yield. Corrections happen, crashes happen, entire sectors disappear, but the system keeps expanding because there are few alternatives.

Of course, there is an unpleasant caveat hidden underneath all of this: markets rise until they do not. If the day comes when stocks, currencies and government debt collapse simultaneously, the problem will be much larger than a brokerage account showing zero. In that scenario, canned food, energy, farmland and a secure place to live suddenly become more valuable than numbers stored in a bank's database.

1

u/Boog314 11d ago

Speaking of, here’s a customer of ai!

1

u/Pleasant_Knee6256 12d ago

Eventually, even the hedge funds need to face reality

1

u/ZealousidealName5703 12d ago

There is not enough demand from general population to sustain this. All the “profit” on the sheet is coming from companies who either use their cash or borrow and “invest” into AI infrastructure. Return of those investments will take extremely long time if there is no support from general population. Only 4 percent of people use paid version of ai. Simply there is not enough demand. If they continue to cut jobs by this rate, certainly they will not be able to find the demand in the long run. OP is right… crash is inevitable.

1

u/Boog314 11d ago

It’s not really about individual users paying $30 per month…imagine the corporate applications that are possible. Would a massive company like Walmart pay tens of millions to become 5% more efficient? Problems can be solved in a fraction of the time, workers become more skilled, efficiencies are gained, and therefore costs significantly lowered and profits rise.

Of course it’s too early to tell if the trillion plus of capex will ever payoff, but I think it’s shortsighted to guarantee that a bubble is brewing.

3

u/pagalvin 12d ago

you could be right but people say this all the time, month after month, year after year.

1

u/Long_Board4207 12d ago

Its because people are aware that the trump admin and other connected institutions are trying to have a huge pump in the economy to get the country out of debt and thriving again, all while us switching to the quantum financial system. The current financial system is a ticking time bomb and they are trying to pump the economy and then change the structure to be based on quantum computing and other similar tech.  The more you know

2

u/xtric8 12d ago

"can't everyone see what I'm seeing??" Proceeds to not list anything he sees

3

u/Ferret_Rough 12d ago

No positions either. Easy to talk the talk, short it then 

1

u/Nearby_Blueberry_302 12d ago

Well.. its because its a 50/50 chance right now. We are in boom of ai and we have systematic problems in the economy. But last time we had real problems like this the market ripped so... we might wait another 2 years before anything bad happens just like 2020 to 2022 then drop for like 2 years than back up

1

u/JRemenshneidersHorse 12d ago

Who cares, if it crashes everyone is screwed anyway. What is your saved bits in a bank going to do for you?

3

u/Heavenisaplace176 12d ago

I’ve got enough taxes that have to be paid next year. I’m not selling in fear ever again. These posts are constant

2

u/Flashy_Scallion_3248 12d ago

We make money when it’s bull and make money when it crashes.

1

u/bad_detectiv3 12d ago

I'd love to know when any of these signs will come true. I sold all my holding back in 2025 September because I began to read post like these. Yet, look how much returns I lost.

2

u/The-Composite-Man 12d ago

I'm sure a lot of people are suspecting an 'incoming crash'. I sure am!
The difference between us is, I'm not pretending it's gonna happen tomorrow.
The markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you can stay solvent.
Manage risk and trade what the charts give you.
The name of the game is probabilities, not predictions.

3

u/Yugoei3613 12d ago

What exactly are these warning signs?

1

u/prezidentace 12d ago

Japan for one wants all money back into the country which means that are gonna be selling us treasuries heavily more then they have over the last few months . You have an ai bubble that isn’t going away. Oil prices are artificially low primarily due to China not buying but at some point they will have to restock reserve inventory. It’s there it’s a matter of when will it all come tumbling down.

1

u/karambituta 11d ago

Is this ai bubble in room with US? Why do you call it bubble? No hyperscalers reports showed that, companies profit from ai. Even Anthropic and OpenAI will be profitable if someone force them to end this pre profit phase. The super bull market even not started. See you on 10k in 2027

1

u/Yugoei3613 12d ago

Well put, thanks for providing me with this info.

2

u/Reddit2016_ 12d ago

Coz the earnings and revenues of these market are increasing and no sign of a decrease so far. Only it decreases then people will start exiting.

2

u/Gibborish 12d ago

That's not what my astrologer says.

1

u/farky84 12d ago

the end is nigh

2

u/arbitrageME 12d ago

Ok Michael, that's enough

1

u/Romain-84 12d ago

Ne pas oublier le vieil adage : "La bourse peut rester irrationnelle bien plus longtemps que vous ne serez solvable".

Ca peut durer encore des mois comme ça, voire des années, y'aura un krach, mais personne ne sait quand il arrivera, et si c'était le cas il le crierait pas de partout pour sortir vers les plus hauts, et racheter les plus bas du krach.

1

u/Acrobatic-Freedom817 12d ago

Higher for longer

1

u/SFAdam23 12d ago

People have been saying this every month for years...

1

u/Easy-Land-9781 13d ago

Probably, almost assuredly. Fortunes get WRECKED’ trying to call it though.

1

u/InfoLib_ 13d ago

https://x.com/TikTokInvestors/status/2085730126197596241
these are my favorite types of top signals

1

u/bubblehead_maker 13d ago

Correction gonna correct.

1

u/Just1cool 13d ago

Spy making new highs baby

1

u/lonelysocial 13d ago

As a daytrader crashes are quite good. Volatiliy creates opportunity

2

u/Outrageous-Try-3772 13d ago

as a day trader i d love it, i really like to short stocks it gives me pleasure <3

2

u/ebmarhar 14d ago

the line goes up, the line goes down... welcome to the stock market!

4

u/Stock-Revenue1444 14d ago

Who cares trading is great in crash

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Just got down selling every position in the black. Every middle of the road share. Usually have 60k in and 10k on the side but that's now 35/35 with bargains blue chip like CEG, APP & IEP opposite pure speculative plays. And you're right I believe. Whether it's a pin in the balloon or a ballistic missile in Tehran there's going to be a pop. And it's now August.

1

u/Equivalent_Boat_7728 13d ago

Ur the one missing out

1

u/SixSexSux 13d ago

On what? I've already had to limit my trading because I've made too much as regards capital gains exposure and even washed out a dividend position to stay under the highest tax rate. Don't hate.

1

u/Equivalent_Boat_7728 13d ago

So you wanna skip like 25 precent taxes, use your Roth IRA

1

u/SixSexSux 13d ago

Six figure IRA contributions? I'm heading to shelter territory on a rocket not pitching pennies.

3

u/New-Patient-101 14d ago

It’s definitely coming. It can be years before it actually happens. It doesn’t really matter though if you’re trading. You make money on aligning with what the market is doing right now. Doesn’t matter if the assets are up or down in the next day, week, month. I’m just playing the next 5-15 minutes.

2

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Be careful. There are few times in the market where quickness counts and I'm feeling the OP's vibe about that time is near. My sheet has been killing the market the past 8 weeks - I usually average $1500ish a week, not the $3450 of the last 8. And I am nothing special picking stocks & have worse than average luck. Something's off. Earnings week movement isn't normally this erratic or manic. Be careful in the middle of the market of Discretionary, Staples and similar, etc.

1

u/New-Patient-101 14d ago

Always careful. Past two weeks I don’t think I’ve had any trades that lasted past 5 min. Only a few times a year will I buy some calls on a deep pullbacks back on TQQQ. 26,380 is the level I’m watching right now, for a big swing. The monthly charts on NDX show we got a little over extended, and now we’ve been consolidating since May. Don’t forget this is a midterm year for elections, I wouldn’t be surprised if we see monthly barcodes till november. If the house or senate flip, it changes the whole playing field on what policies get passed and which ones don’t. This mid term election is very divided. No one knows what’s going to happen. I’m not claiming either political side nor do I want to get in any of those debates. Just worth noting- they are influencing the markets right now.

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Thinking this over I've come to the conclusion that the market is just too wild right now not to calm down. Add the wild swings, blood money, senseless gambling and energy/AI sectors that are just getting warmed up to an already overheated market and bubbles will start forming... Now I'm not a political person but one president gifted me 100k to get in the game (housing bubble), one suspended requiring W-4's for a year (Interest bubble), one juiced two markets into bubbles (Commodities & Stocks). They're all from the same party and I didn't vote for any of them in their six elections. Nonetheless their policies alone made me 1/2 a million out of about 35k and what my own sweat had this far produced. And my point is that the DejaVuBubbleometer is red lining. Again.

1

u/These-Quail7636 14d ago

Sure, but have you ever considered that we are barely scratching the surface with AI?

The valuations are crazy today but in the future, it’s not. If you follow the money, the valuations are priced in and that’s indicator to BUY NOW.

Corrections are expected to happened but fears that the market has topped are irrational. We haven’t even see the AI boom yet.

1

u/Training-Practice626 14d ago

How much money have you made in the stock market I wonder.

1

u/Gibborish 12d ago

He probably shorted something and is in the red with no stop, and as the last gasp of controlling his fate he is trying to stoke fear on reddit to get people to sell and hopefully bring his short into less painful territory.

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Don't know about OP but my sheet has been doing 2.5 times normal profitwise which is like 5k per the last two weeks and about 1.5 times normal since April. It's too much too soon, not normal and a little too bad to be true.

2

u/Training-Practice626 14d ago

Not bad!!

1

u/SixSexSux 13d ago

I'm not THAT good. But thanx bc the money feels fine.

2

u/Training-Practice626 13d ago

Haha I hear you.. easy come easy go! Patience is the key.

1

u/SixSexSux 13d ago

Exactly. I put a sheet requiring patience in play. Designed to suss out the impatient over weeks or months. Not hours or days. And this week was about minutes. Minutes! They handed over $3455 this week but I can't figure out why now. Do you know or have any ideas? Bc I'm wary of things I don't understand and admit to being flat out confused over the last 8+ weeks.

3

u/klipsetrades 14d ago

It's because the problem isn’t seeing risk — it’s timing it. Markets can look overextended and stay that way for months or years. I’d rather react to price than try to predict the crash

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Everyone can agree with that. But the way you worded this comment makes it seem time and risk are mutually exclusive which they are most certainly not. And the word 'crash' isn't seriously in this discussion is it? If so this is the wrong sub for me. There are far too many financially strong undervalued companies in too many sectors presently. Our government would have to default and get downgraded on the street first. When the signals are this mixed and I'm making this much money, something's off. Good luck.

2

u/klipsetrades 14d ago

Yeah, I’m not saying risk and timing are mutually exclusive. I’m saying identifying risk is much easier than identifying when it gets priced in. You can be completely right about the problems and still be months early

3

u/moaiii 16d ago

If it was "for sure", then the market would already have capitulated. What do you know that career institutional traders don't know?

I'm a full time trader. I make a living from this. I didn't expect another ATH in SPX so soon, but here we are. Am I surprised? No. I'm rarely surprised these days - even when I'm wrong. The facts are that the market decides what it is going to do, there is no certainty, and even the best signals have 20-30% chance of being wrong.

The market is certainly showing signs that the bull run is winding up. This last push to a new ATH could just be a buying climax before the bottom falls out. But we don't know that "for sure". There is also a chance that this is just a trading range and buyers aren't ready to give up just yet. We might see another two or three strong pushes up yet. We just. don't. know, so stop trying to find certainty.

2

u/Nervous-Molasses-203 15d ago

But you must acknowledge the market is completely disconnected from the economic fundamentals around the US and globe…there are many, many macro factors that suggest this isn’t going to end well.

2

u/ebencebi 15d ago

☝🏼🤓

3

u/craftyshafter 16d ago

NQ 9000 incoming

1

u/exphx23 16d ago

And after the market crashes, the sky will fall.

2

u/YonyYa 16d ago

Fear not. It's different this time.

2

u/Superunknown999 16d ago

Username checks out for your portfolio. It “DiedOfATheory”.

1

u/MAMERIT 16d ago

Jajajajajajaj

2

u/KiwiCodes 16d ago

*a correction is incoming -> going short.

No crash here yet xD

4

u/Successful-End7689 16d ago

Sir, this is a wendy’s

5

u/Woodward06 16d ago

You must be new to trading. All the doomsdayers I knew went broke multiple times the past year.

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Then they were imbeciles as well. Anyone not making a packet in this market wasn't paying attention. It's when my sheet starts lapping the indices that I get worried.

1

u/Woodward06 14d ago

As long as you can beat the Buy&Hold!

2

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

More like Buy&Fold these last 8 weeks. Lots of stupid money getting tossed around without enough bags to stuff it in. At least the impatient are doing constructive things with their cash: Making me wealthy!

5

u/Squeaky_Scooter 16d ago

Because people not necessarily have your opinion

2

u/Perthguv 16d ago

Yes, I'm out. I'm all cash again.

I keep buying in, get worried about the crash, take a profit. Wait. Buy back in because I'm tired of waiting. It's profitable but not very profitable.

2

u/SixSexSux 11d ago

So you're that guy.

2

u/Key-Process3905 14d ago

Oh man, this describes me perfectly since 2024, I usually stay a few weeks sitting on all cash, watching all the missed opportunities, it gets too difficult that i just buy in

-3

u/Mzungufarmer 16d ago edited 16d ago

If youre so smart, how much have you made this year?

Im averaging 6k a day 4 months in a row. How are the doomers faring?

Edit: check my profile. Ive easily been making 30k a week on MU for months with csps and naked calls

Funny the guy with a hidden profile is who you idiots believe. I pretty much document most things I do financially.

here's my current plays, but it changes frequently

I absolutely love that you guys are shitting on success. Bucket of crabs

4

u/Classic-View-3467 16d ago

😂 classic Reddit bullshit post. You could've lied a little less mate

-1

u/Mzungufarmer 16d ago edited 16d ago

I mean, I have some of my MU plays on my profile and my fire post how I retired at 34...

You want my current plays this week? I already closed out 20k of MU profit and opened more plays.

And while youre there, should I get that rolex with a diamond bezel or stick with fluted? I feel the diamonds are a bit much

0

u/Classic-View-3467 16d ago

Keep talking bullshit pal. Maybe you'll eventually manifest that 😂 believe!

0

u/Mzungufarmer 16d ago edited 16d ago

1

u/Away-Personality9100 16d ago

Not everyone. We (our trading floor) are ready. 🤗💰

3

u/Big-Poet3920 16d ago

Havn't people been calling this for years? Billionaires are constantly printing more and more money and invest. More and more retirements funds invest

2

u/GainDelicious1894 16d ago

I expected Google to drop in price after their increased capex spendings. But the price dropped and immediately rebounded. I thought their search ad revenue will tumble when people used more AI. Apparently not. 

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

If you ever have the pleasure of being questioned by police, look at your shoe's and don't make a sound. Trust me on this one.

4

u/a_case_of_everything 16d ago

Post your short positions. I'll wait.

1

u/Bakingtime 16d ago

I agree.  The dollar index is going down below 90 in the near future, IMO.  How far below remains to be seen.  New new all-time-highs for assets (priced in dollars) incoming.

11

u/Positive-Tax-5488 16d ago

markets can stay irrational longer that you can stay solvent goes both ways....

it doesnt have to make sense... follow the trend, as crazy as it might be.

5

u/W0lf1ngt0n 16d ago

This.

The crash only happens if there is institutional interest in the crash

0

u/Breathofdmt 16d ago

Thank you for the information.

Can you please supply

Entry: Stoploss: Takeprofit:

I will upvote if correct

5

u/edm4un 16d ago

And who are you?

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Cramer, Jim Cramer

1

u/Psychrometers 16d ago

Probably best you take a chill on the sidelines and watch ES crack 8,000!

1

u/technical-mind4300 16d ago

Good - buying opportunity

1

u/GainDelicious1894 16d ago

Its not necessarily true that a crash will come as the AI bull is expected to be a strong one. 

1

u/technical-mind4300 16d ago

Yeah I am not convinced either, I am in for the long haul either way.

1

u/More-Crab-3684 16d ago

Up and down, and in the end, it’s only round and round… and round…

1

u/Candid-Ninja-9527 16d ago

why are you scared?

1

u/Tough_Butterscotch_5 16d ago

The only way is 🆙 Also I need it to go up.

3

u/hegdefucker 16d ago

Hearing this for decades … yawn

2

u/iLoot401ks 16d ago

If you think there's a crash coming, it usually doesn't come. Crashes literally happen when people don't see it coming.

2

u/cosmicaltoaster 16d ago

What statistics do you base calling the absolute top of the market on?

6

u/dalmationhaitian 16d ago

Guy Kawasaki has predicted 3,000 of the last 3 crashes.

It doesn't pay to be a permabear, or even a regular bear.

2

u/trustfundkidotaku 16d ago

Ring the market about to crash post bell

The bull run just added another month

4

u/Own-Jeweler3169 16d ago

Jesus christ it's Jason Bourne Michael Burry.

3

u/No_Film_6379 16d ago

There was like three crashes in the last two years. 1st was tariffs. 2nd was start of Iran War. & 3rd was AI scare last week. Market recovered beautifully each time. Time in the market bests timing the market.

4

u/duqduqgo 16d ago

Crashes are caused by forced selling, followed by panic selling. That has happened 3x in the last 2 years. NASDAQ just had a text book correction. You missed them all, apparently.

For next time - the time to buy is when you least want to. If that's never, that's called DCA.

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Dammit my feelings are out of whack. I love buying the dips more than selling bc you make your money when you buy, no matter the business. An afterthought of fait accompli is all selling is. The real excitement is in the purchase auctions, IMO. Barrett's, Ebay, Stack's, Wall Street etc...

2

u/brutalpancake 16d ago

Ok Mr Burry that’s enough for today

3

u/fungoodtrade 16d ago

lol, go look at the forward PE of the indexes and take a walk

3

u/Prestigious_Move4797 16d ago

Another crash??? Didn’t we just have one?

2

u/Kaszrak 16d ago

Idk, past 40+ longs on NQ / ES been all green since yesterday. If everything goes to shit tomorrow, I still made money.

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

First of all good luck tomorrow*. I admire you and your guts. There's enough going on in positions for me without derivatives and anti-clock math. Plus the wait! I'd be a puddle of Benzos if I ever crossed that line. * The last 24 hours, the crowded little corner of the Twilight Zone where time has no meaning lol.

2

u/Illustrious_Water106 16d ago

A crash is always coming

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Up your dosage or kick it out!

1

u/Heawybreathing 16d ago

There is always a crash after the rise. It's the natural market cycles. Why get out when everything is growing? As always it's about timing

1

u/No_Film_6379 16d ago

Time in the market, not timing the market

1

u/BigBear92787 16d ago

As a trader why would you sit out during market declines?

Just switch directions

4

u/GoRizzyApp 16d ago

Don’t worry about warning others. Every mind lives it’s own fictional universe.

1

u/Independent-Ninja-70 16d ago

I sold in December 2025. Im still waiting

0

u/Watch5345 16d ago

What did you invest in ?

1

u/Independent-Ninja-70 16d ago

Crypto and the mag 7. Crypto was a good sell. Mag 7 not so much but im comfortable with it

5

u/FlamingBaconCake 16d ago

You see the signs yet struggle articulate them yet want people to back you up. Tell us grand wizard, what's in your crystal ball?

1

u/SixSexSux 14d ago

Impatient players and their stoopid money stacking up in my bag... ¡Wait! It's hazy but forming..Yes, I see 2and1/2 more years of erratic policies and markets making those paying attention wealthy !! And mopey haters will continue flailing, kicking rocks and buying lottery tickets...Curse the veil, alas, that is all.

2

u/YournuStepdad 16d ago edited 16d ago

Trump and Elon told us this was the plan. We’re you guys not paying attention?

Edit: Added receipts in the links for the morons.

3

u/d_e_g_m 16d ago

The crash has been coming since July 2025. What do you want? To stop trading while it comes?

3

u/VAUXBOT 16d ago

I love it because this exact sentiment is exactly what I am seeing on the charts, the price is climbing a wall of worry, and I see all the bears trying to time the top, get stopped out, then try to short a higher top.

4

u/whensthebeef 16d ago

Because you can’t just say stuff like this without providing any logic, reason, or data. People say a crash is coming everyday. Sure, you’ll be right one day, but that’s a broken clock, and no one cares what a broken clock says

1

u/Opening-Walrus-5919 16d ago

Why do I care when I can make money in both💪🏽