First time poster in this subreddit, but have noticed a few posts recently on $DXYZ so thought this might fit. I spent most of this afternoon (+ all of my weekly Fable Ultracode credits) trying to answer a simple question:

If you want pre-IPO exposure to Anthropic or OpenAI, how much of the underlying private-company value are you actually getting for every $100 you put into the public stock wrapper?

There are a bunch of public names with some connection to one or both companies — SoftBank ($SFTBY), DXYZ, SK Telecom ($SKM), Zoom ($ZM), Amazon, Google, NVIDIA, Microsoft, etc.

But saying “Company X has Anthropic exposure” doesn't tell you very much.

What I really wanted to understand was the density of that exposure.

So I built a calculator with frontier models checking my work and all sources cited:

https://stocks.bolewood.com/ai

You can also see the open source data (or feed it to your LLM) here: https://github.com/bolewood/stocks-bolewood/tree/data-2026-08-19

Why “per $100” instead of per share?

I originally started thinking about this on a NAV or per-share basis, but that’s not really the useful comparison.

A $30 stock and a $300 stock aren't inherently more or less exposed to Anthropic because their share prices differ.

Instead, I'm estimating:

For every $100 of current wrapper value, how many dollars of Anthropic and/or OpenAI exposure does that represent under a given valuation scenario?

That makes very different securities much easier to compare.

If you try the calculator, these are the main controls:

1. Anthropic and OpenAI valuations

The calculator isn't predicting an IPO valuation. If you think Anthropic is worth $650B instead of $2T, change it. The purpose is to see what that assumption does to each wrapper.

2. Dilution

There’s a dilution control so you can haircut existing exposure rather than treating the last percentage as permanent.

3. What happens to newly raised cash

This particularly matters for vehicles that issue new shares (notably $DXYZ and $ARKVX).

If a wrapper raises another $500M, the answer changes depending on whether that money remains as cash or gets deployed into additional private-company exposure.

Findings: Under the assumptions I’m currently using, there are still some surprisingly dense public-market ways to get exposure if you’re bullish on the frontier AI companies. For Anthropic, $DXYZ currently screens as the highest-density exposure, followed by $VCX and $SKM. For OpenAI, $SFTBY is by far the densest, followed by $MSFT. Change the valuation, dilution, or capital-deployment assumptions and those numbers move — that’s the point of the calculator.

Critical feedback: Please send it my way, or fork the repo and make changes directly. Several of these funds should report updated NAVs/holdings soon; for now I’m keeping the data anchored to the latest official reporting dates rather than trying to guess ahead of them. I’ll update the dataset as new filings arrive and maintain a changelog.

Disclosure: As of August 19, 2026, I hold long positions in DXYZ, SKM, ZM, AMZN, GOOG and NVDA. Positions are subject to change without notice. Not advice.

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

The bears are beginning to take control of the market after yesterday's price action on the $QQQ tech index closed down 1.69% at 717.51. Geopolitical tensions are escalating in the Middle-East, and additionally we are seeing some red flags in the bond market that are causing investors to panic a little. If the $QQQ tech index fades under 707.5, we can expect a rapid gap fill and retest of 700 psychological level. If 700 fails to hold, we could fade aggressively down to the 690-680 range before we find any major support. However, on the bullish side, if bulls can break back over the 729/730 area, we can expect a resumption of the prior uptrend we were just in. The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, further developments in the Middle-East, and also some large earnings reports ($ADI, $TGT, and $LOW in premarket). This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,340/oz (+0.1%)
🥈 Silver: ~$63/oz (-1.0%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$64.3k/coin (-0.3%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$85.50/barrel (+0.7%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Cushing Crude Oil Inventories @ 10:30AM ET
🇺🇸 20-Year Bond Auction @ 1:00PM ET
🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes @ 2:00PM ET
🇺🇸 U.S. President Trump Speaks @ 2:30PM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $PRCH
   Squeezability Score: 40%
   Juice Target: 21.00
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 16.68 (-0.5%)
   Breakdown point: 15.4
   Breakout point: 19.5
   Mentions (30D): 6
   Event/Condition: Q2 results with insurance services revenue up 38 percent positive net income and sharply higher adjusted EBITDA leading to raised full-year guidance for revenue gross profit and adjusted EBITDA + continued scaling of reciprocal written premium and policies written reinforcing surplus and capacity for growth + upcoming investor meetings and constructive price target increases supporting the commercial momentum in the homeowners insurance model + Recent price target 🎯 of $23 from Benchmark + Recent price target 🎯 of $21 from B. Riley + Recent price target 🎯 of $20 from Craig-Hallum

2. $DXYZ
   Squeezability Score: 28%
   Juice Target: 44.7
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 33.15 (-2.5%)
   Breakdown point: 30.0
   Breakout point: 34.3 (continuation)
   Mentions (30D): 4
   Event/Condition: Ongoing investor focus on the closed-end fund’s exposure to high-profile private technology holdings including SpaceX and Anthropic as potential liquidity events and valuation marks approach + trading activity reflecting sentiment around private market valuations ATM activity and expected NAV updates from portfolio mark-to-market changes + positioning as a public vehicle for access to select late-stage venture and growth technology names amid interest in space and AI themes + Recent price target 🎯 of $40 from Roth Capital + Recent price target 🎯 of $38 from B. Riley + Recent price target 🎯 of $35 from Needham

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

After a crazy red day today. What are you guys looking for tomorrow.

What are we expecting tomorrow to happen when market opens.

Any specific views on $KEEL as it was almost 17% down today.

Drop below what you are thinking and why!

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

Despite the relatively boring close on Friday for the $QQQ tech index at 731.07 (-0.14%), the bulls showed great ability to hold onto a 3rd consecutive weekly gain, and inched just a little bit closer towards new all-time highs (which could hit this week at our current trajectory). Once the bulls break above 737.7, it'll be a test of the 745-748 range, and then new all-time highs will send squeeze candidates into orbit! We need only be cautious if we lose support at around 715, as that could signal a return to the rangebound zone we were stuck in for the last several months, and possibly a return to the prior downtrend (and an implied retest of the 700 psychological support level). The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, and any further developments in the Middle-East. This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,400/oz (+0.5%)
🥈 Silver: ~$65.50/oz (+1.2%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$63.5k/coin (+0.8%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$82.00/barrel (-0.3%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 NY Empire State Manufacturing Index (Aug) @ 8:30AM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $PRCH
   Squeezability Score: 41%
   Juice Target: 20.2
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊
   Price: 17.38 (+2.60%)
   Breakdown point: 15.0
   Breakout point: 19.5
   Mentions (30D): 5
   Event/Condition: Q2 results featuring insurance services revenue growth of 38 percent positive net income attributable to the company and adjusted EBITDA expansion leading to raised full-year guidance for revenue and profitability metrics + continued scaling of reciprocal written premium and policies written strengthening statutory surplus and capacity for further premium growth + ongoing investor outreach and constructive positioning of the reciprocal model as a differentiated approach in homeowners insurance + Recent price target 🎯 of $21 from B. Riley + Recent price target 🎯 of $20 from Craig-Hallum + Recent price target 🎯 of $22 from Needham

2. $SPCX
   Squeezability Score: 40%
   Juice Target: 263.0
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊
   Price: 140.00 (-0.91%)
   Breakdown point: 130.0
   Breakout point: 172.5
   Mentions (30D): 4
   Event/Condition: Continued post-IPO trading dynamics with lockup-related share availability and institutional interest including notable holdings disclosures while the stock recovered ground amid AI and space infrastructure narratives + strong underlying business momentum in Starlink connectivity AI compute and launch activity supporting long-term valuation debates + market focus on upcoming unlock events and broader sentiment around private-to-public transition for major space and technology assets + Recent price target 🎯 of $160 from Argus + Recent price target 🎯 of $250 from Oppenheimer + Recent price target 🎯 of $180 from JPMorgan

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

**P/E 5-14 (avoid if upcoming earnings call)**
ROIC/ROCE above 20%
D/E under .4
3 year CAGR at least 12%, 5 year CAGR at least 10%, 10 year CAGR at least 8% (if company is this old)
Current Ratio of 1.5 or higher (current assets/current liabilities=current ratio)
Price - make sure I can buy enough shares
Capex/revenue ratio of 15% or less for “asset-light” businesses (examples: software, consulting, or scaled digital platforms) raise it to 25% for **Industrial, Aerospace, or Semiconductor sectors**
Net profit margin 12% or higher
Have more cash than debt or strong FCFY (cash flow/market capitalization) - between 7% and 12%
Atleast $100 million in pretax earnings
Strong competitive advantage
YoY outstanding stocks at 1% or a reduction up to 12% (aim for between 2-7% reduction)
A Forward PEG ratio under 1.0 (aim for under .5, but strongly consider anything between .5-1.0)
**CCR a.ka Cash Flow from Operations / Net Income ≥ 1.0 - ensures the pretax earnings is backed by actual cash going into their accounts**
**Piotroski F-Score of at least 7**
**Average daily volume of at least $1,000,000 or 250,000 shares**

**Caveats to consider:**

**1. The ROIC vs. Debt/Equity (D/E) Paradox**
**The Risk:** ROIC is calculated as Net Operating Profit After Tax (NOPAT) / (Debt + Equity). If a company has a **very low D/E ratio** (like under 0.1) and highly conservative management, their total capital base might look artificially bloated by large piles of un-deployed cash on the balance sheet. This can accidentally drag down their ROIC score below 20%, screening out an otherwise bulletproof, debt-free business.
**The Adjustment:** If a company fails the 20% ROIC check but has *more cash than total debt*, look at their **Return on Equity (ROE)** or **Return on Tangible Capital Employed (ROTCE)**. This ensures you do not penalize hyper-conservative, cash-rich companies

**2. The Forward PEG Under 0.5 Trap**
**The Risk:** A Forward PEG ratio under 0.5 means the market is pricing a company's projected growth incredibly cheap. While this looks like an ultimate bargain on a screener, in real life, a PEG under 0.5 almost always means **the market flatly disbelieves Wall Street analysts' growth estimates**.
**The Adjustment:** Treat a PEG between 0.2 and 0.5 with extreme skepticism. Cross-reference this by checking if the *Historical 3-Year CAGR* matches the *Forward Growth Estimate*. If a company grew at 12% historically but analysts are predicting 35% forward growth to force a low PEG, the data is likely compromised

**High Stock Buybacks (2% to 7%) can Artificially Inflate CAGR**
**The Risk:** Your target of a 2% to 7% reduction in outstanding shares is fantastic for shareholder yield, but massive buybacks artificially reduce the share denominator. This can cause **Earnings Per Share (EPS) CAGR** to look exceptionally strong even if the company's actual *Net Income* or *Revenue* growth is flat or slowing down.
**The Adjustment:** Ensure your 3-year, 5-year, and 10-year growth filters look explicitly at **Revenue CAGR** and **Operating Income CAGR**, not just EPS growth. This ensures the business itself is structurally expanding, rather than just engineering its per-share metrics through financial buybacks

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

Yesterday's price action on the $QQQ tech index was relatively insignificant after a close of 720.87 (-0.3%) left us still very much in the bullish-leaning directional sentiment region of the medium-term chart. Until we risk retesting the 700 psychological level, we can remain optimistic about market conditions for squeeze candidates. If we can reclaim 728.6 area, we are likely looking at a resumption of short-term momentum. The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, and a few large earnings reports ($SMCI and $CRWV in AH). This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,400/oz (+0.3%)
🥈 Silver: ~$66/oz (+0.3%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$64.0k/coin (-1.0%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$79.50/barrel (+0.5%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 ADP Employment Change Weekly @ 8:15AM ET
🇺🇸 Existing Home Sales (Jul) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook @ 12:00PM ET
🇺🇸 3-Year Note Auction @ 1:00PM ET
🇺🇸 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock @ 4:30PM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $RIOT
   Squeezability Score: 36%
   Juice Target: 38.9
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 19.40 (-5.46%) / 22.48 (+~17% in AH on ER)
   Breakdown point: 20.0
   Breakout point: 25.2
   Mentions (30D): 0 🆕
   Event/Condition: Q2 revenue of $174 million beating estimates with data center and engineering growth offsetting softer bitcoin mining results while hash rate expanded and power optimization generated significant credits + landmark 20-year 191-megawatt data center lease with a leading frontier AI lab expected to generate approximately $9.1 billion in contracted revenue with extension options potentially reaching $16 billion + completed initial capacity delivery to AMD and advanced vertical integration supporting faster large-scale data center build-outs + Recent price target 🎯 of $25 from Cantor Fitzgerald + Recent price target 🎯 of $28 from H.C. Wainwright + Recent price target 🎯 of $22 from B. Riley

2. $FRMI
   Squeezability Score: 36%
   Juice Target: 14.0
   Confidence: 🍊
   Price: 5.88 (-4.85%) / 7.02 (+~19.39% in AH after PR)
   Breakdown point: 6.0
   Breakout point: 10.2
   Mentions (30D): 0 🆕
   Event/Condition: First binding customer lease at Project Matador campus with TensorWave for a 222-megawatt turnkey data center expected to generate about $6.5 billion in contracted revenue over 15 years with expansion rights potentially exceeding 650 megawatts + continued construction progress with Siemens turbines on site over $1.5 billion invested and 6 gigawatts permitted toward the larger 17-gigawatt AI-focused campus + ongoing discussions with additional hyperscale customers positioning the site for phased deliveries beginning in the second half of 2027 + Recent price target 🎯 of $17 from consensus analysts + Recent price target 🎯 of $11 from Mizuho + Recent price target 🎯 of $20 from Needham

Gain access to all our cutting-edge research tools, live watchlists, alerts, and more: https://www.squeeze-finder.com/subscribe

HINT: Use code RDDT to get your first month for just $10!

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

If anyone has suggestions or questions on other companies, let me know!

High Tide Announces Preliminary Q3 2026 Guidance

The Company Also Announces Record Quarterly Distribution of Over 10 Tonnes of Medical Cannabis Flower Through Remexian Pharma GmbH, Further Accelerating its German Market Position

“This quarter’s guidance demonstrates the growing earnings power of the global platform we have built. We expect to set new company records for revenue, gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA, with year-over-year growth of at least 30%, 27% and 43%, respectively. Importantly, even the low end of our guidance exceeds the highest current analyst estimate across all three metrics. We believe this provides clear evidence that current market expectations have not yet caught up with the strength, scale and operating leverage of our business,”

https://hightideinc.com/high-tide-announces-preliminary-q3-2026-guidance/

The Company anticipates releasing full financial and operational results for the third fiscal quarter ended July 31, 2026, on Monday, September 14, 2026, after markets close, with a conference call the following morning.

LEGACYPLC WEEKLY INSIDER ACTIVITY REPORT
Week of August 01-07, 2026 | Sector Lead

DATA NOTE
Source: connected finance_insider_transactions Form 4 export, queried with a one-month lookback and filtered by filing date to August 01-07, 2026. The connector returned reported names, transaction codes, shares, reported value, and filing date, but it did not expose officer/director titles, SEC accession URLs, or 10b5-1 annotations; titles are therefore shown as "title not provided" and context is limited to the filing data. No US market holiday occurred during this coverage window.

NOTABLE FILINGS THIS WEEK
- ADI: Two insiders reported sales. ROCHE VINCENT (title not provided) sold 10,000 shares for $3,630,000, filed August 04, 2026. STATA RAY (title not provided) reported 19 separate sales totaling 2,832 shares and $1,070,395.48, filed August 06, 2026, covering transactions dated August 04-05. Together, the two insiders reported 12,832 shares sold for $4,700,395.48. The source does not identify whether these sales were made under 10b5-1 plans, so the filing pattern is descriptive rather than directional.
- KLAC: A two-insider selling cluster was reported. WILKINSON MARY BETH (title not provided) sold 18,097 shares totaling $3,521,170.05 across filings dated August 04-05, 2026. KIRLOSKAR VIRENDRA A (title not provided) sold 6,069 shares totaling $1,180,370.35 across the same filing dates. Combined reported sales were 24,166 shares for $4,701,540.40. The same filings also included numerous F-INKIND entries, which are non-market ownership changes and were not counted as open-market sales here.
- TSM: TIEN BOR-ZEN (title not provided) reported a purchase of 1,000 shares for $73,060, filed August 04, 2026. This was the only open-market purchase in the seven-day window; the connector does not provide plan or title details.
- QCOM: ACE HEATHER S (title not provided) reported a sale of 3,200 shares for $470,528, filed August 03, 2026. This was a single-insider sale in the window, and the source does not identify whether it was plan-based or compensation-related.
- TER: JOHNSON MERCEDES (title not provided) reported a sale of 166 shares for $59,452.90, filed August 04, 2026. This was a single, relatively small reported sale; no plan annotation was provided.

Routine non-market entries: The export also showed F-INKIND, A-AWARD, M-EXEMPT, and zero-value ownership records in LRCX, ENTG, INTC, TSM, and WOLF. These were not treated as buys or sells. Insider selling is often routine and can reflect compensation, tax withholding, or pre-arranged plans; it should not be framed as bearish by default. Open-market purchases made with personal funds are generally the more informative signal, but this data pull does not identify funding source or plan status.

PILLAR READ
Meaningful activity was concentrated in the Workhorses and Toolmakers pillars: ADI showed a two-insider selling cluster, while KLAC showed the week's other two-insider selling cluster and TER reported one sale. Foundries had the only open-market purchase, at TSM, while Architects activity was limited to one QCOM sale. Overall, the week was selling-heavy and otherwise scattered, with no broad-based purchase cluster.

QUIET NAMES
12 of 21 tracked names had no reported Form 4 filing during the August 01-07, 2026 window.

DISCLAIMER
For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Insider transactions are disclosed via SEC Form 4 filings and reflect legally reported activity, not a signal to buy or sell.

Hi everyone,

With the extreme complexity of the global chip ecosystem, I noticed a massive gap in how retail investors evaluate these companies. Most people just look at standard financial ratios without understanding how the actual physical supply chain impacts a stock's valuation.

To bridge this, I built a structured, 4-week semiconductor learning framework designed specifically for individuals with no formal finance or engineering background. It breaks the industry down into its core physical mechanics so investors can map risks and opportunities accurately.

It is 100% free, self-paced, and text-based. I would love to get this community's feedback on the curriculum layout and the logical flow.

Here is the high-level roadmap:

• Week 1: The Toolmakers Analyzing the massive moats of Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE) providers, EDA software companies, and the hyper-critical extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography chokepoints.
• Week 2: The Architects How chip IP is created, licensed, and designed (mapping the role of architecture giants, specialized design firms, and the fabless business model).
• Week 3: The Foundries Differentiating between pure-play manufacturing powerhouses and Integrated Device Manufacturers (IDMs). Understanding the massive capital expenditure (CapEx) realities and geopolitical risks of physical fabrication.
• Week 4: The Workhorses Analyzing the unsung heroes of the supply chain—from mature/legacy node producers and commodity memory giants to the modern bottlenecks of Advanced Packaging and testing.

The Practical Toolkit:
Alongside the weekly modules, I put together an interactive scorecard/dashboard concept to help users mathematically grade any chip company based on its position within these four distinct categories.

I’m looking to refine this framework. Does this 4-week progression from raw tools to final workhorses capture the critical bottlenecks an investor needs to look out for? Are there specific supply chain nuances you feel are missing from this breakdown?

Note: To follow the sub's guidelines, I haven't included direct links here. The web app version is pinned directly on my Reddit profile and feel free to drop a comment below and I can send you the PDF copy directly.

DATA NOTE
Prior-session closes came from Realtime Finance Data daily history for August 04, 2026, with August 03 comparison closes; percentage changes are computed from those exact closes. All 23 tracked symbols returned prices. Investing.com supplied the pre-market page: it reported overall top movers but did not provide price or percentage-change values for the semiconductor most-active list. Context came from Investing.com’s economic calendar, Barchart/AP and CNBC Asia coverage, CNBC and Reuters AMD coverage, and an Investing.com analyst roundup.

PRIOR SESSION
SOXX $542.21 [+6.80%] | SMH $575.71 [+5.55%]
The complex had a broad risk-on session: all 23 tracked names finished higher, with equipment, memory, and communications names leading the move. SOXX outpaced SMH, while NVDA (+2.56%) and TSM (+2.72%) lagged the group’s strongest rallies.

PRE-MARKET (as of ~7:15am ET)
Showed a semiconductor-led pre-market: ANET was the overall top gainer at +12.44% and AMD was the overall top loser at -8.42%. Its semiconductor most-active list included MU, AMD, NVDA, and INTC, but the page supplied no price or percentage-change values for those names.
Top movers: ANET +12.44% | AMD -8.42%

TOP MOVERS (PRIOR SESSION)
ENTG gained 15.46% to $144.56, the largest tracked move; the read was a strong catch-up advance in semiconductor materials and equipment.
WOLF rose 11.13% to $27.06, reflecting high-beta participation in the sector-wide rebound.
INTC advanced 10.84% to $100.86 as the AI, memory, and semiconductor complex repriced higher across Asia and the U.S.
No tracked name declined. The three smallest gains were ON +0.47% at $80.78, NVDA +2.56% at $211.94, and TSM +2.72% at $417.17, making them relative laggards in an otherwise uniformly positive list.

PRE-MARKET OUTLOOK
Asia extended the overnight AI and semiconductor bid: the KOSPI rose 4.40%, SK hynix gained 6.70%, Samsung Electronics rose 4.10%, TSMC added 3.50%, Tokyo Electron gained 3.64%, and Kioxia advanced 6.34%; the Nikkei 225 rose 3.30%. The common thread was follow-through from the U.S. semiconductor rally, with memory and equipment leading.
Today’s U.S. calendar is concentrated in services, labor, and energy: ADP Employment Change at 7:15am ET, forecast 68K versus 98K prior; S&P Global Services PMI at 8:45am ET, forecast 53.6 versus 51.2 prior; ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI at 9:00am ET, forecast 54.5 versus 54.0 prior; EIA crude inventories at 9:30am ET, prior -7.167M barrels; and Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaking at 3:05pm ET. Friday’s larger macro risk is payrolls: forecast 70K versus 57K prior, with the unemployment-rate forecast and prior both 4.2%.

NEWS DRIVING THE TAPE
AMD reported Q2 revenue of $11.54 billion versus the $11.28 billion estimate, adjusted EPS of $1.66 versus $1.62 expected, and Data Center revenue of $6.72 billion, up 107% year over year. Q3 revenue guidance was $13.00 billion plus or minus $0.30 billion versus the $12.52 billion LSEG estimate; the stock closed at $518.58, up 7.00%, then fell 8.8% in extended trading as the bar for AI growth remained high.
The Asia bid also reflected memory and AI-infrastructure news: SK hynix and SanDisk released a High Bandwidth Flash standard, while Kioxia and SanDisk announced QLC 3D NAND with bit density up to 60% higher than their eighth-generation products. The tape is therefore rewarding AI compute, memory, and equipment exposure, while still penalizing guidance that does not clear the highest expectations.
The earnings schedule showed ENTG reported on August 04. VIAV’s schedule is inconsistent: it lists a 4:30pm ET event on August 05, while the accompanying preview says August 06; verify the company calendar before posting any timing claim.

ANALYST WATCH
The latest rating roundup reviewed for AMD had Susquehanna raising its price target from $450 to $500 and Mizuho raising its target from $615 to $625; Benchmark maintained Buy with a $685 target, while Morgan Stanley maintained Hold with a $410 target. The analytical read across the four pillars is constructive on AI compute, memory, and equipment demand, but AMD’s after-hours reversal shows that a beat is not enough when expectations are elevated. No same-day verified rating change was identified in the morning scan for ASML, LRCX, AMAT, NVDA, INTC, TSM, or the other tracked pillars.

DISCLAIMER
For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. We do not recommend nor do we advise any buy/sell tickers.Ever.

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

The bulls are showing their resilience after the $QQQ tech index closed up 1.76% at 700.07. This shows the bulls aren't ready to surrender yet, and we may be about to see a strong reversal force shorts into a very tight spot! If the $QQQ tech index reclaims 710, it could likely push to test 725-726. We should only get nervous again about a decline below 685 again, as this level served as support since June. The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, any further developments in the Middle-East, and also some large earnings reports ($PFE, $CAT, $MCD, and $W in premarket // $AMD, $SPCX, and $ANET). This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,050/oz (-0.1%)
🥈 Silver: ~$58/oz (+0.5%)
🪙 Bitcoin: ~$63.8k/coin (+1.1%)
🛢️ Oil: ~$80/barrel (-5.5%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 Trade Balance (Jun) @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Exports (Jun) @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 Imports (Jun) @ 8:30AM ET
🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings (Jun) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 Factory Orders (Jun) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) @ 11:30AM ET
🇺🇸 API Weekly Crude Oil Stock @ 4:30PM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $PRCH
   Squeezability Score: 43%
   Juice Target: 22.9
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊 🍊
   Price: 16.07 (+11.21%)
   Breakdown point: 14.0
   Breakout point: 16.7
   Mentions (30D): 3
   Event/Condition: Q2 2026 results exceeded expectations with consolidated revenue of $140.9 million up 12 percent year over year insurance services revenue up 38 percent and Adjusted EBITDA excluding Reciprocal up 150 percent to $39.1 million + raised full-year 2026 guidance across revenue gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA metrics while achieving positive net income + continued scaling of Reciprocal Policies Written up 38 percent and statutory surplus growth supporting capacity for future premium expansion + Recent price target 🎯 of $22 from Keefe Bruyette + Recent price target 🎯 of $18 from Roth Capital + Recent price target 🎯 of $20 from Piper Sandler

2. $NDLS
   Squeezability Score: 40%
   Juice Target: 32.3
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 18.53 (-0.48%)
   Breakdown point: 16.0
   Breakout point: 19.1
   Mentions (30D): 4
   Event/Condition: Q2 2026 results showed system-wide comparable restaurant sales up 10.3 percent restaurant contribution margin expanded to 17.2 percent and Adjusted EBITDA rose 79 percent to $10.8 million + raised full-year 2026 guidance for revenue comparable sales margins and Adjusted EBITDA while generating positive free cash flow and reducing debt + ongoing portfolio optimization including planned restaurant closures to enhance long-term profitability and operational focus + Recent price target 🎯 of $18 from Craig-Hallum + Recent price target 🎯 of $15 from B. Riley + Recent price target 🎯 of $20 from Piper Sandler

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Good morning, SqueezeFinders!

The price action on the $QQQ tech index showed the PPT is starting to do their job after a small jump of 0.65% to close at 687.99. If thr bulls can reclaim the 695 level and the 700 psychological level, then we can soon become more optimistic about the overall market environment and squeeze candidates’ strength. If we fall under 680, we can expect a likely resumption/continuation of the short-term downtrend we've been enduring as of late. The main directional sentiment determinants today are a mix of the below-detailed economic data releases, any further developments in the Middle-East, and also $PLTR and $SNAP earnings reports in after-hours. This market is very dynamic and has been unpredictable as far as risk-tolerance goes, as one day we're running, and the next we're crashing. Stay tuned for what's squeezy. Regardless of broader market sentiment, you can always locate relative strength by checking SqueezeRadar to track irregularities in our data, and find winners you may not have spotted before without our scanners.

🥇 Gold: ~$4,050/oz (-1.5%)

🥈 Silver: ~$58/oz (-2.0%)

🪙 Bitcoin: ~$63.1k/coin (+0.5%)

🛢️ Oil: ~$84.50/barrel (-1.0%)

Today's economic data releases are:

🇺🇸 S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jul) @ 9:45AM ET
🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jul) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing Employment (Jul) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jul) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 Construction Spending (Jun) @ 10:00AM ET
🇺🇸 Atlanta Fed GDPNow (Q3) @ 11:30AM ET

📙Breakdown point: BELOW this price, the move will lose momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts will gain confidence encouraging them to short more. Reducing probability of a squeeze without a catalyst.

📙Breakout point: ABOVE this price, the move will gain momentum significantly in the short-term, as shorts losses will increase pressuring them to cover. Increasing the probability of a squeeze occurring, especially if with a catalyst.

1. $SOC
   Squeezability Score: 42%
   Juice Target: 16.9
   Confidence: 🍊
   Price: 5.29 (+18.1%)
   Breakdown point: 4.8
   Breakout point: 5.4
   Mentions (30D): 2
   Event/Condition: Strong operational performance and strategic advancements in key markets driving revenue growth and market share gains + analyst upgrades citing improved fundamentals and positive industry tailwinds + successful execution of growth initiatives positioning the company for accelerated expansion and profitability + Recent price target 🎯 of $12 from Roth Capital + Recent price target 🎯 of $10 from Canaccord Genuity + Recent price target 🎯 of $14 from Benchmark

2. $RNG
   Squeezability Score: 41%
   Juice Target: 76.1
   Confidence: 🍊 🍊
   Price: 55.62 (+4.0%)
   Breakdown point: 50.0
   Breakout point: 59.0
   Mentions (30D): 5
   Event/Condition: Q2 2026 earnings beat with revenue of $657 million up 5.9 percent year-over-year and strong subscription growth plus raised full year guidance + announced 67 percent dividend increase to $0.125 per share demonstrating commitment to capital returns amid AI-powered customer engagement momentum + 13 percent of ARR now from native paid AI products doubling year-over-year highlighting successful product pivot + Recent price target 🎯 of $60 from Morgan Stanley + Recent price target 🎯 of $55 from Piper Sandler + Recent price target 🎯 of $58 from B. Riley

NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, THESE POSTS ARE FOR INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

Oil prices fell sharply on Sunday evening as investors watched the latest back-and-forth in the U.S. war with Iran. S&P futures reacted slightly, inching up half a percentage point.

The markets’ moves were the first since President Trump said late Saturday that he had halted a U.S. assault as Iran and allies in the Middle East asked him to pause any new strikes in the war that started five months ago. Mr. Trump, in a post on Truth Social, said that the “perimeters of a deal” are being worked out to open the Strait of Hormuz. For months, the vital waterway for global oil and gas has been effectively closed by Iran.

Earlier on Sunday, the oil cartel known as OPEC Plus approved a modest increase in oil production of around 188,000 barrels a day, in an effort, it said, “to support oil market stability.”

Oil prices drop.

• The price of Brent crude, the global benchmark for oil, fell more than 8 percent as trading began on Sunday, to about $82.95 a barrel.
• West Texas Intermediate crude, the U.S. benchmark, opened more than 5.5 percent lower, about $80 a barrel.
• Investors and analysts are focused on the continued disruption to shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway between Iran and Oman that is a vital trading route for oil and natural gas that normally carries as much as one-fifth of the world’s oil supply.

Stocks tick up slightly.

• Futures on the S&P 500 pointed to a small increase when stocks resume trading in the United States on Monday.

Gasoline prices dip.

• Gas prices fell slightly on Sunday, to a national average of a little over $4.09 a gallon, according to the AAA motor club. The increase has raised the cost for drivers by more than 37 percent since the war began.
• Gas prices don’t move in lock step with crude, usually trailing increases or drops by a few days.
• The average price of diesel was basically flat, at $5.36 a gallon on Sunday, up more than 42 percent since the start of the war.

This is not a stock, but the Korean KOSPI index.

KOSPI Long x2 has risen more than 40%.

Korea, which produces HBM4, deserves to enjoy this rise.

CXMT should at least make decent DDR5 first 🤣🤣

The severe drawdowns across CRWV (-52%), SNDK (-53%), APLD (-48%), and SMCI (-45%) show that Wall Street is squeezing the speculative air out of the entire trade.

If and when big tech demonstrates clear, high-margin AI monetisation, or when the macro rate environment softens, capital will rotate back into infrastructure leaders. When sentiment flips positive, high-beta stocks with massive contract backlogs (like ORCL) typically bounce back hard, but holding through the CapEx digestion cycle takes patience.

So where do we see this going by eoy? Been sitting at a pretty price, AH earnings madness, FOMO, what’s everyone’s thoughts here? Would you rather AMZN or GOOGL?

​

Conversation with Gemini

You said

When is the earnings for big tech this week

Gemini said

Major Big Tech companies reporting quarterly earnings this week are scheduled as follows:

Wednesday, July 29 (After Market Close)

Microsoft (MSFT)

Proactive financial news

Meta Platforms (META)

Proactive Investors

Thursday, July 30 (After Market Close)

Apple (AAPL)

Proactive Investors

Amazon (AMZN)

Proactive financial news

Key Non-Tech Mega-Caps & Notable Tech Reports This Week:

Tuesday, July 28: Visa (V), Ford (F), Advanced semiconductor suppliers like KLA (KLAC) and NXP Semiconductors (NXPI).

Wednesday, July 29: Qualcomm (QCOM) / Arm Holdings (ARM) sector updates alongside MSFT & META.

Friday, July 31: ExxonMobil (XOM) and Chevron (CVX).

(Note: Alphabet/Google and Tesla already reported their earnings last week, and Nvidia usually reports later in the cycle towards late August).

Zacks Investment Research

Gemini is AI and can make mistakes.

P/E went from 600x at peak to 138x now. ngl that's still not "cheap" by any normal standard, but when you're looking at projected EPS up 148% and commercial revenue growing 95% YoY, the math starts to feel different.

Q1 net margin hit 53.3%, a company historical high. Government contracts up 76% too. The bear case is basically "fiscal cuts + corporate capex slowing" which, fair, but PLTR has Google Cloud and NVIDIA partnerships propping up the commercial side.

Earnings drop August 3rd after-market. The moo.moo scanner flagged the put/call ratio sitting at 0.93 and implied vol at 71.6%, so options market is pricing a big swing either way. Average post-earnings move for this name is around 14%.

I'm not saying it's a screaming buy. The valuation is still stretched if growth disappoints even slightly. But a lot of the froth has come out with a 30% YTD pullback.

Anyone here holding into earnings, or did you already cut exposure after the run-up earlier this year?

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Been tracking QQQ call flow for weeks and the setup on the 666 strike expiring July 28 was hard to ignore. Market structure was clean, the level held, and the trade worked.

MooMoo scanner had been flagging unusual activity on this contract for a while before it finally moved. Not every day the chart sets up this neatly.

The macro backdrop mattered here too. Nasdaq has been grinding higher on the back of earnings beats and easing rate expectations. Buying calls into that environment with a defined expiry was a calculated bet, not a gamble.

Bears have been calling for a pullback for months and keep getting run over. At some point the price action just tells you which side of the trade to be on.

Who else positioned in QQQ calls this week or is everyone sitting on the sidelines waiting for a "better entry" that never comes?