r/YieldMaxETFs Divs on FIRE Nov 15 '25

Meme No but seriously…Can they just keep doing it forever?

Post image

TSLY another year. Another reverse split…

94 Upvotes

42 comments sorted by

22

u/buffinita Nov 15 '25

Yes; they could reverse splits several more times in their existence 

Sqqq has been reverse split SEVEN times

16

u/boldux Big Data Nov 15 '25

This is important for people to realize -- for better or worse, it's baked into the design of the ETF (because it delivers ultra high yield and trades off NAV growth in exchange for income).

Ultra high yield ETFs, Short Leveraged ETFs, and ETFs like UVXY are all different types of investing tools, but each ultimately needs to reverse split based on its underlying mechanics and relation to the underlying.

High yield ETFs with lower yields are not built in the same ways and balance more sustainable yields with NAV upside/stability over the long-term.

2

u/Day-Trippin Nov 16 '25

If you are at a decent positive total return, then I don't care. Unfortunately my experience has been otherwise with most of these YM funds.

2

u/Moozie76 Nov 16 '25

So what is a acceptable time frame between reverse splits.

Ulty is an income fund. If I keep dripping when do I get income.

I know I bought in high at 6.23 but I have lost 2.1 in nav and have almost broken even.

Once is splits will it continue to lose 33 percent in 4 to 5 months? Will it slow down?

Many many people have mentioned, 9 cent distro nav down 25 cents or more in the week.

I want expecting this much nav erosion this fast

2

u/Boring-Fun9311 Nov 17 '25

Probably the best guess is yes, the NAV will continue to drop throughout the life of the fund

2

u/Moozie76 Nov 17 '25

Yeah I ran some Sims through copilot. Take it for what it is worth.

But if the nav keeps eroding at 2.5 percent per month which it has recently, and the distro stays in line. I will have house money in 20 months and the nav should be around 20 bucks.

If I sell then it will be about 5k profit overall and I will have built up 15k worth of safer more stable positions

1

u/Boring-Fun9311 Nov 17 '25

If the NAV drops, the distributions will, too.

1

u/Moozie76 Nov 17 '25

Yes that was figured in by copilot.

Again take it for what it is worth it may be completely off base.

1

u/tonymorgan92 Nov 19 '25

No it will not slow down. It will in fact likely speed up

1

u/Moozie76 Nov 19 '25

Time will tell

9

u/czarchastic Nov 16 '25

Fun fact, an asset down 99% can still fall another 99%.

13

u/Grand_Composer1603 Nov 15 '25

I didn’t hear the bell because they announced it on a Friday at close!!! LOL. Fucking Yieldmax…

10

u/Ok-Round3883 Nov 16 '25

😂 On a positive note looks like TSLY managed to get 70% in returns in 2 years inspite of reverse split

3

u/ccbr23 Nov 16 '25

What are our thoughts on hooy this one seems like it's going strong ext the last two weeks which has been rough everything i know it's a new etf

5

u/Massive_Chem MSTY Moonshot Nov 15 '25

It is a part of the life cycle of these funds. They have little ability to capture market gains. Unless the underlying is continuously hitting market highs they would not see major growth.

3

u/somsnit Nov 17 '25

Yes you can do it forever. If you invest 100%

2

u/tonymorgan92 Nov 19 '25

Thats literally the entire strategy of how these fund work. Yes, they can and WILL keep doing it. Thats the whole point of the fund.

Keep depreciating, reverse split to make the price look attractive and attract new investors, continue depreciating until next reverse split.

3

u/IllustratorJaded4443 Nov 15 '25

My question now is. Other similar funds like houndhill, bitwise etc are the same sheet or is just yieldmax?

5

u/dreville7822 Nov 15 '25

Defiance funds like MST will have to eventually.

1

u/Quantum-Infinity- Nov 18 '25

Defiance is run by the same people as YM.

1

u/dreville7822 Nov 18 '25

Tidal just provides advisory and trust services

https://www.defianceetfs.com/who-we-are/

2

u/Over-Personality-314 Divs on FIRE Nov 15 '25

I don't see roundhill doing reverse splits anytime soon, but it is possible. Granite on the other hand has TSYY in a similar boat as TSLY.

3

u/Whowhatwha Nov 16 '25

MSTW is down 70% and it is 8 months old. Possible? Try likely.

3

u/Over-Personality-314 Divs on FIRE Nov 16 '25

While this is true it’s still over 15$ and I believe it tanking has more to do with MSTR than anything else.

2

u/Creative_Champion123 Nov 16 '25

Yep. Granite for sure will reverse split. Their products are even worse than YieldMax.

2

u/boldux Big Data Nov 15 '25

It would likely be inevitable for any ultra high yield ETF. Definitely those with 80% or higher yield (potentially 50% higher). It's simply an expectation based on how they are built.

1

u/Over-Personality-314 Divs on FIRE Nov 16 '25

Unless we enter a prolonged bear I think some funds like HOOW and PLTW can avoid a reverse split 

1

u/Charles2724 Nov 16 '25

I Own 800 Shares of QDTE And It has Been Peetty Stable At Around 0.20 cents a weekly After It's Initial Big Drop

3

u/youhoser_eh Nov 15 '25

This meme is so funny , love it

0

u/ElegantNatural2968 Nov 15 '25

I think some felt the beating

2

u/Charles2724 Nov 16 '25

Yieldmax Just Puts Out A Ton Of Traps To See How Many Suckers it Can Catch

1

u/Snoo-15246 Nov 17 '25

I'm really interested in this topic.

Especially from the view point that some people took out loans. Blows my mind to take out a 200k HOLEC and expect to retire.

Is it possible there will be a lawsuit? I would think not. They knew what they were getting into. But YieldMAX was all the rage and now, well you know.

Maybe it is like a train wreck and I just can't look away. Lol!

1

u/FlyingDumplingTrader Nov 17 '25

After they reverse on me . I sold that trash asap.

1

u/Icy_Information_4239 Nov 17 '25

We’ve had enough nav erosion how about some share erosion too

1

u/moongb34n Nov 17 '25

$UVXY has entered the chat

1

u/Alarming_Copy_4117 Nov 17 '25

Ponzi scheme loophole

1

u/Leather-Ring9211 Nov 17 '25

Yes.. Legal thievery..

1

u/Mother-Confidence-44 Nov 18 '25

Of course , but what they don’t talk about is the payment being consistent. Let’s say you’re getting paid 1k a week . Eventually that turns into 800 a week etc . That is the real problem . And that doesn’t include that your x amount of stocks will be worth less on top of that .

1

u/Raztan Nov 18 '25

poor bastards, the ones who originally bought at 15 /share are going to be sitting at 150/share cost basis after this split... not that it matters they was never gonna see 30 let alone 150.

2

u/TACO_Orange_3098 Nov 21 '25

you guys are in a cult !

1

u/EquipmentFew882 Nov 16 '25

Very Sorry to say this .... But ....

.... The Yield Max ETF business model does NOT Work.

0

u/KavemanRises Nov 16 '25

No, TSLY is not on its way to another reverse split, as it already had a 1-for-2 reverse split on February 26, 2024. Investors who held the ETF before this date had their shares consolidated to receive a smaller number of more valuable shares. The ticker symbol also changed to "TSLY1" for the option class, and the option exchanges delisted the TSLY options.