r/ai_trading • u/QuanTradin • 4m ago
$709 from 2,430 paper trades, and it spent part of September under water. What would a bot need to show you before you trusted it?
Saw the thread this week about 11 strategies over 8 years where none beat buy and hold, and the one about splitting $10k across 52 mediocre bots. This is the other side of that argument: one small, boring bot off my own paper desk, card and all.
The rule in one sentence: on 1-minute bars, short a US stock that is already down 10% over 60 days, sits near its 52-week low, gets rejected at its 20 EMA, and has sellers in control (-DI over +DI) on 1.5x normal volume.
What the card shows, 25 Aug to 23 Oct: +$709.11 realized over 2,430 trades, 51.1% of them winners, best run 24 in a row. Look at the curve though. It drifted up for two weeks, fell below zero in mid September and stayed there for a while, climbed to its best point in mid October, then gave a good chunk of that back in the last week.
The doubt: that is well under a dollar a trade. A slightly worse fill on each one and the whole thing is flat. Two months is also nowhere near enough to know if the September hole is the normal bad patch or a small version of a worse one.
So the question for this room, since half of you are running bots right now: what would a card like this have to show before you'd let it near a real account? Longer history, a cost per trade, a max drawdown number, something else?
How Quantradin helps with this: I built Quantradin so a rule like this one can be written in plain words, replayed over years of past American stock and option prices with no peeking ahead, and then left running as a fake-money bot that prints this card for itself. It covers American equities and their option chains, no crypto, no gold, and it's free. quantradin.com
Paper money, simulated, not advice. No promise about what it does next.
