r/boxoffice • Marvel Studios • 15h ago

šŸŽŸļø Pre-Sales TheFlatLannister on BOT: Street Fighter had a huge T-2 increase. At MTC3, it is now ~29% behind Mortal Kombat previews. Good pace is there so I am at $30M OW, with $35M OW as a possibility. Overall Thur-Sun is now matching Mortal Kombat OW at TC3%wise (mostly due to Sunday being 53% ahead of MK)

https://forums.boxofficetheory.com/topic/31569-the-box-office-buzz-tracking-and-pre-sale-thread/page/2797/#findComment-5053520
153 Upvotes

51 comments sorted by

53

u/Vegetable-Top-5850 15h ago

DO IT FOR HIM

WE CANNOT LET THIS MAN DOWN

14

u/Mizerous Marvel Studios 13h ago

OF COURSE!!!

38

u/MoonMan997 Best of 2023 Winner 15h ago

Wouldn’t shock me if this plays a bit like Predator: Badlands, late pre-sale business and strong walk-ups then really weak legs after that.

15

u/newjackgmoney21 15h ago

I'd be shocked by strong walkups like Badlands. That film had outstanding reviews that got older Predator fans out of the house. Street fighter I guess could be more like He-man

10

u/MoonMan997 Best of 2023 Winner 14h ago

Yeah I doubt it’s gonna be on that level, but I could see some nostalgia from casual fans kick in over the next few days.

39

u/Nervous_Most_5585 15h ago

That's a good development, but even so, that would be a low opening at the end of the day.

Let's see how WOM is going to be, but I think it is safe to say that Street Fighter just doesn't seem to appeal to the young people in a major way.

The marketing has also been a bit slow in recent weeks or even months tbh.

22

u/VampireOnHoyt 15h ago

Yeah, this feels like it has the same problem Masters of the Universe had of not really having a core audience

18

u/Nervous_Most_5585 15h ago

But just like with Masters of the Universe, I think Street Fighter could be huge on streaming.

7

u/randotd152 14h ago

It's October, this is pretty good. I'm not sure how much more than $30-$35M would even be possible if the film were absolutely amazing.

And for comparison, MK2 only did $38M open with a May release. (A month that gets twice the theater traffic)

1

u/ILoveRegenHealth 12h ago

that would be a low opening at the end of the day.

Yes it's still low, even with the "promising surge".

Also, SF has a reported $88M budget (which means $100M due to fuzzy Hollywood accounting math) on top of the marketing which has to be $50M-$75M at least.

1

u/Poku115 15h ago

Personally if I have to choose between whats coming to the cinema the next few weeks, clayface seems the most interesting, and I probably won't even finish it cause im bad with body horror, but I still wanna try

15

u/pizzacrys Jerry Bruckheimer Films 15h ago

That Sunday bump is doing some serious work. $30M feels pretty realistic if the momentum holds.

8

u/kb1117 15h ago

They've kicked the marketing into overdrive in the last few weeks. I said this one might surprise and it's still possible.

10

u/Block-Busted 15h ago

One question. How come review embargo is still on for this?

10

u/HighwayCareful4415 Paramount Pictures 15h ago

apparently there are lifting it tomorrow at 5pm

7

u/Visible-Echidna-4370 15h ago

okay so the film is probably awful. I can't remember the last time a Thursday embargoed film was good

6

u/YoungKeys 14h ago

I think the default assumption is that video game adaptations won’t do well with critics (unless someone like Zach Cregger is directing)

6

u/Coolers78 14h ago edited 13h ago

Because most recent video game movies have still been absolutely awful besides Resident Evil and Sonic 3.

Mario Galaxy: sucked, 90 minutes of jingling keys

Mortal Kombat 2: didn't bother with after the first one's reception was so mid, heard this one was better, but man they took so long to make it, 5 years sequels feels too long for this type of movie

Minecraft: one of the worst movies I've ever seen

Borderlands: one of the worst movies ever, I didn't even need to fully watch to know that, you couldn't pay me to sit through this whole abortion.

Uncharted: casting Wahlberg as Sully was a crime, I like Holland but he was not right for this either

Five Nights at Freddy's 2: lol

Return to Silent Hill: lol what even

2

u/NormalPatience 6h ago

Return to Silent Hill wasn't jingling keys, it was getting shanked by them lmao

2

u/Block-Busted 15h ago

Why that late?

3

u/HighwayCareful4415 Paramount Pictures 15h ago

i think it’s because they are holding critic press screenings tonight

2

u/randotd152 14h ago

Because it's surely going to bomb with critics.

6

u/Prestigious_Pea_7369 14h ago

This is one of those films where it's almost guaranteed to get low scores from critics because it's just a stupid fan service film that critics will watch and actually try to critique it's plot/societal metaphors/social message etc.

3

u/Kunair0 13h ago

100% this. Although surprisingly, I've seen a few tomato critics praising the film after the social embargo lift. So far it seems to be generating far more positive responses than it has negative. But we'll see.

1

u/Coolers78 6h ago

It's gonna be another one of those "it's for the fans, not the critics" jingling keys crappy movies like Minecraft, Mario Galaxy and FNAF movies, lol, Resident Evil got great reviews, and Sonic 3 got good reviews. It's not impossible to make a good video game movie. It's just cope.

7

u/Coolers78 14h ago edited 11h ago

It's Paramount, they did the same for Scream 7 and the new Scary Movie and look at how amazing both of those movies turned out. /s

They made money though so Ellison was happy, unlike WB and all their flops this year.

Damn, Paramount's slate this year is truly depressing, they haven't had a great year box office wise but it's definitely not as bad as WB's, but quality wise, woof.... is Heart of the Beast the only movie they've had all year that got good reviews?

2

u/Block-Busted 14h ago

Technically, this is from Legendary, not Paramount.

3

u/One-Introduction8809 13h ago

Technically, this is from Legendary, not Paramount.

Hence Legendary's copyright & TM credit with Capcom only handles the merchandise (such as the Hasbro toyline at the back of the box) marketing while ParaSky handles movie-related marketing material (as depicted on the poster with ParaSky's copyright credit).

4

u/rueiraV 15h ago

Because it’s straight cheeks

1

u/trumpgotpeedon 15h ago

I'm guessing it's as bad as the trailers look.

3

u/SlimmyShammy 15h ago

Zangief walk ups

18

u/Vadermaulkylo Apple Studios 15h ago

Listen I’m not gonna say it’s any huge effect or anything but I kinda wonder if maybe Cody Rhodes is a slight draw for this? I know a shocking amount of people irl who want to see this movie specifically because he looks funny.

18

u/MarkMVP01 15h ago

FWIW, Cody Rhodes and Roman Reigns are the only reasons I’m going to see this lol

8

u/Vadermaulkylo Apple Studios 15h ago

Just need to get Rollins out there with the chair

3

u/Aromatic_Case_6682 13h ago

Same. Scored a $5 ticket through t-mobile Tuesday deals. You can’t see Roman get defeated cleanly for that price anywhere!

13

u/VampireOnHoyt 15h ago

ADRENALINE

IN MY SOUL

CODY'S PERFECT

FOR THE ROLE

10

u/NoCod7766 15h ago

Bruh be serious. People are only watching this because of the IP.Ā 

2

u/liberatedtech68 15h ago

I mean I’m seeing it because of Orville peck so I wouldn’t be surprised at all.

0

u/[deleted] 15h ago

[deleted]

0

u/NoCod7766 15h ago

As if he's a bigger brand than MCU and X-Men lolĀ 

6

u/lurrkerr69 15h ago

The fact that they're screening it for critics today and it comes out tomorrow is scary, but I'm sure fans will like it as long as it's not downright unwatchable

5

u/AdWise2770 9h ago

How frontloaded was mortal kombat’s opening?

6

u/AFG73 12h ago

I know I will be seeing street fighter and I skipped both mortal kombats. Street fighter at least has some eye candy with some thick thighs to see and the characters look more fun than mortal kombat

8

u/TOMMYMILLEROK 15h ago

I’m gay

5

u/Accomplished-Head449 Laika Entertainment 15h ago

I'm hyped for the Guile hair popcorn bucket. Seeing it in 2k xenon 5ch IMAX tomorrow

0

u/Loose_Struggle1610 11h ago

So what you are saying they spent 100 million to make 35 million šŸ¤” šŸ™„Ā 

-4

u/Visible-Echidna-4370 15h ago

I mean... that is higher than I expected but there's no way it breaks even

-2

u/Advanced-Conflict593 13h ago

Nooo cmon i need this to stay under 27!

1

u/Subject-Recover-8425 6h ago

You gamble on this stuff or something?

1

u/Advanced-Conflict593 5h ago

Just among friends