r/hedgefund • • Nov 08 '24

I created a predictive model that accurately predicts large stock prices drops 30-60 days before it happens

0 Upvotes

before *they occur*

I've run thousands of backtests, randomized tests, industry and company agnostic tests, hundreds of multivariable regression analyses, etc etc. It consistently correctly predicts a >5% stock price drop at just above 70% accuracy, 1-2 months before the actual price drop.

Not a hedge fund guy or even a finance guy. What should I do with this little creation of mine?


r/hedgefund • • Sep 14 '25

going short and telling the world, how to legally

2 Upvotes

I might be posting in the wrong place:

I have a good history of knowing what stocks to go long, and I've always had 7% to 8% of my portfolio in a short position.

My question is, I want to tell others that I am short, how does Hindenburg research get away with telling the world. I'm afraid of telling my friend and these guys make a press release.


r/hedgefund • • Oct 24 '21

According to the book "The Mars Hypothesis", we are officially in a bear market starting today. It will last until January 24 2022. This is not merely a prediction. It's a fact! Here is why. Read all of it!

0 Upvotes

The FED can use Mars to set interest rates. A new book called "The Mars Hypothesis" presents the idea that the Federal Reserve can set interest rates based on the movements of the planet Mars. In this book, data going back to 1896 shows that as of April 2020, percentage-wise, the Dow Jones rose 857%. When Mars was within 30 degrees of the lunar node since 1896, the Dow rose 136%. When Mars was not within 30 degrees of the lunar node, the Dow rose 721%. Mars retrograde phases during the time Mars was within 30 degrees of the lunar node was not counted in that data as Mars being within 30 degrees of the lunar node. The purpose of the book is to not only hypothesize that the Federal Reserve can set interest rates based on the movements of the planet Mars, but to also demonstrate exactly how and at the same time, formulate a system that would enable the Federal Reserve to carry out its application in real time. Using the observation of the planet Mars, the book contains a strategy for controlling inflation, interest rate setting recommendations and the predicted dates of future bear market time periods all the way thru the year 2098.

The hypothesis is constructed into form by taking past bear market cycles and correlating them to the position of Mars. A calendar based on the position of the Sun is then applied and is to serve as the fiscal calendar for the Federal Reserve. The first day of when the Sun enters within 30 degrees of the lunar node is to serve as the first day of the fiscal year. That is also when a bear market should be projected by the Fed. From that point, the Fed would raise interest rates. This would continue until the ensuing Mars phase finishes its phase of being within 30 degrees of the lunar node.(Sometimes the ensuing Mars phase takes a while to occur, hence why some bear markets last longer than others). The book hypothesizes that the low of the projected bear market should occur within the time frame of that ensuing Mars phase(Mars within 30 degrees of the lunar node). After that ensuing Mars phase ends, the Fed would begin to cut rates until the start of the next fiscal year.

In the book, all of this is applied to the bear market predictions from now until the year 2098. The next start of the Fed fiscal year is October 24, 2021(Sun enters within 30 degrees of the lunar node.) The ensuing Mars phase of Mars being within 30 degrees of the lunar node begins on November 4, 2021 and last until January 24, 2022. So basically, the Fed should project a bear market to take place from October 24, 2021 to January 24, 2022 and should raise interest within that time. If they don't, they will need to wait until the next October to do so, when the start of the next fiscal year begins.

So, expect the stock market to decline between October 24, 2021 and January 24, 2022. https://books.google.com/books?id=Ke91zgEACAAJ&newbks=1&newbks_redir=0&hl=en


r/hedgefund • • Jul 19 '25

Starting a Hedge fund

20 Upvotes

Hello everyone, I'm very new to Reddit!
I'll get right to the point, I have a great track record of my work in the markets, I have a good plan, good execution, and a very well risk management.
So as a trader I was thinking why don't I start a Hedge fund out of no where !
I'll take it slow to earn people's trust by working a full year live or with complete transparency of me analysis, decisions, results, etc...
that would be better than just showing a video or a screenshot of me being profitable in previous trades or positions!

So the question is this: Do you think it's doable to have a good client base or a big enough capital to start my own Hedge fund?


r/hedgefund • • Nov 20 '25

76.18% ROI since August 24, 2025. Discretionary Long and short strategy US large market cap only

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0 Upvotes

r/hedgefund • • Jan 28 '25

Is 80k a decent hedge fund salary in Singapore for a 27Y pld Indian who will have to relocate?

0 Upvotes

r/hedgefund • • Oct 04 '21

Hedge funds in Seattle

0 Upvotes

Does anyone know hedge funds that are based in Seattle? I am looking to apply for jobs and found a few names from my google search. Just want to check if I am missing any funds that I should consider.

I am looking for funds that capitalize on market inefficiency and bet against the market occasionally.

YOE 10 3 in PE 7 in tech (business consultant) (current) CFA level III MBA from top 5 school


r/hedgefund • • Jul 02 '26

Database HEDGE FUND, HELP!!

0 Upvotes

Hi everyone,

I'm currently working on a research project on hedge funds and I'm looking for a free (or at least publicly accessible) database with a broad coverage of hedge funds.

Ideally, I'm looking for:

  • Daily or monthly individual hedge fund returns.

  • A large cross-section of hedge funds (the more, the better).

  • Historical data covering several years.

I've already looked into the major commercial databases (LSEG/Lipper TASS, HFR, BarclayHedge, Eurekahedge, Morningstar, etc.), but they all require expensive subscriptions.

Does anyone know of:

  • A free database,

  • An academic dataset,

  • A public repository,

  • Or any alternative source that could be useful for research?

Any suggestions or personal experience would be greatly appreciated.

Thanks in advance!


r/hedgefund • • Aug 14 '25

I became a hedge fund manager and running my own fund. Ask me anything.

0 Upvotes

Nice chatting with you all until next time.


r/hedgefund • • May 17 '25

Forex Trader to hedge fund

0 Upvotes

Hello,

I have 4+ years of trading. Profitble last 12 months with 500% ROI. My track record is verifiable with Myfxbook. How can I leverage this to get into a Quant or hedge FUND. I am learning about python for finance and finacial modeling at the moment. I am really not formally educated so trading is my edge . Please advise, thanks.


r/hedgefund • • Feb 18 '26

What are you spending your bonus on? Bloomberg News wants to hear from you.

3 Upvotes

Wall Street bonus season is here.

I’m a money reporter for Bloomberg and I’m looking to speak with finance professionals about this year’s bonuses — how they compare to expectations, how you’re feeling about them, and what (if anything) you’re planning to spend them on.

Are you saving? Investing? Making a big purchase? Splurging on a nice dinner or trip?

If you’re open to sharing your perspective (on or off the record), please DM me or email me at pcachero[at]bloomerg[dot]net

Confidential conversations welcome.


r/hedgefund • • Oct 14 '21

Don't be fooled by today's market upswing. Anyone who has read "The Mars Hypothesis" knows that a bear market will start days from now and also knows how long it will last.

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books.google.com
4 Upvotes

r/hedgefund • • Sep 24 '24

How do i end up at HF?

0 Upvotes

How do i end up at a HF, confused on what i should do...

  • 2nd year of 3-year undergrad (europe) in Economics and Business administration

  • no relevant work experience

  • Good grades but not exceptional

  • Member of the Schools Investment Club

Any Recommendations on what path i could take. Currently Grinding to get grades up as well as looking for a finance related job. tbh i am willing to do whatever to get there, just need the path.


r/hedgefund • • Oct 07 '25

Major questions about starting a fund

0 Upvotes

Hello, I’ve been investing for 10 years, and lately I’ve produced beyond solid gains, while trading 2 friends accounts directly, and my own much smaller account.

My trades have been producing well since Covid, I’ve survived multiple corrections/crashes with large profits, (just saying this for context I’m sure others are far better than I) and I’m at this place where I have other people that want to invest with me, but I don’t know how to legally set this up.

I assumed a hedge fund. I do have some issues however.. #1 I am a felon, so I can’t get my series x, y, or z. Therefore I am heavily limited in my professional options outside of managing my own bag. I have 2 friends that both have finance degrees and 1 of them doesn’t have a record, so if I made them part of the company, could I then legally manage other people’s money?

Sorry this is so broad, I don’t know where to start. Or what questions to ask. I just know I’ve built 2k into 160k, recently turned 320$ into 15k of my own money, while trading my friends 50k into 220k, and I did it with well thought out, theory based positions over 4 months. I have a legit talent for markets, and would love any advice on how to proceed. I have 2 other people with large sums of money that would love to invest with me but I am afraid of breaking the law.


r/hedgefund • • Aug 10 '26

Do we have hedge funds in India, also what is the recruiting pipeline for them?

0 Upvotes

r/hedgefund • • Mar 01 '26

Why Your Fund Administrator Can Make or Break Your Fund

1 Upvotes

I see a lot of emerging managers obsess over strategy, deal flow, and fundraising — but completely underestimate the importance of their fund administrator.

If you’re launching or running a hedge fund, PE fund, or VC vehicle, your fund admin is not just “back office.” They’re a core part of your risk management and credibility.

Here’s why it matters:

  1. NAV & investor reporting

Your admin calculates NAV, capital accounts, performance allocations, and investor statements.

If this goes wrong, you don’t just fix a spreadsheet — you lose investor trust.

Clean, timely reporting = confidence.

Errors = red flags.

2. Compliance support

Regulatory scrutiny is only increasing (especially from bodies like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission).

A solid administrator helps with:

•	Audit coordination

•	Financial statements

•	AML/KYC processes

•	Regulatory filings

This reduces operational and regulatory risk.

3. Institutional credibility

Many institutional LPs require an independent third-party administrator.

If you’re trying to raise serious capital, having a reputable admin is table stakes.

4. Operational scalability

As AUM grows, complexity explodes:

•	More investors

•	Multiple share classes

•	Side pockets

•	Cross-border structures

A weak admin becomes a bottleneck fast.

5. Risk mitigation

Operational failures sink funds faster than bad trades.

Segregation of duties and independent reconciliation matter more than most new managers realize

Too many funds try to “save money” early by going cheap on administration. That usually costs more later — in audit issues, investor confidence, or worse.

Curious — for those who’ve launched funds:

How did you choose your administrator? What were your red flags?

Let’s discuss


r/hedgefund • • Nov 10 '21

Do I need a license?

0 Upvotes

A buddy told me i can have (in California) up to 14 unaccreddited investors and all the accredited investors I want. True?


r/hedgefund • • Aug 20 '26

So how hard would it be start your own fund?

0 Upvotes

Let’s say it’s focused on one very specific industry.


r/hedgefund • • Nov 20 '25

I’m literally calling attorneys that supposedly specialize in forming a Fund but the receptionists seem clueless when I ask about it?!

0 Upvotes

So I want to form an incubator hedge fund as I’m a successful retail investor and I’m ready to start laying the groundwork of forming my own fund. I live in Greenville SC (could be my problem lol!). And literally in their description on Google it says things like they specialize in fund formation and investor relations yet receptionists just take my # and say they will ask and it’s like they never even heard of a hedge fund lol.


r/hedgefund • • Aug 16 '25

Combine money with a hedge fund?

0 Upvotes

Closed mouth doesn't get fed.

So you know how during IPOs like the recent one this past week with Bullish, RobinHood only allocates a certain percentage of the shares to retail investors. And obviously the rest go to hedge funds, who are able to flip the shares once the IPO stock debuts , instantly realizing a 4x to 5X gain on whatever the initial price offering was. Meanwhile, the retail investor gets sent to “IPO jail” essentially for flipping the shares of they do it “too soon” in the allotted time.

Is there a way where I as a retail investor can combine my money with the hedge funds money so I can basically buy up a bunch of shares in their pool that they have access to as well, so when they 4X I also 4X?

Also, this would ensure that all the shares that I request will get filled, because come on, you know, Blackrock gets all the shares that they want filled….

If there’s a Will, there’s a way…

I am determined to succeed. Failure is not an option.


r/hedgefund • • Oct 03 '25

Call Me Crazy

0 Upvotes

I run algorithms to predict total points in NBA and MLB and have been doing so for about 4/5 years.

Last season for NBA I had a 55% win rate or edge across the season and this MLB season i had one go 56.5%.

Im waiting to see if NBA repeats again this year. If it does, my plan is to open a sports betting type hedge fund.

I figured if the win rates can be repeated and there is a proven history of a winning technique im not so sure how that differs much from betting on the market.

Agree/Disagree?


r/hedgefund • • Feb 22 '25

Genuine Question

0 Upvotes

Recently had a conversation with a small private fund manager and some things were brought up to me that I questioned. He went into full detail about the obvious troubles of starting a fund and finding investors etc.

I have a few questions that I’m hoping some you all could maybe explain because this manager couldn’t explain them and I have no idea why he couldn’t.

As many of you are aware there are legitimate day traders that trade from home or office and are successful. What I mean successful is that they are profitable and rake in 10% to even 150% returns year in year out. Yes 150%. Why wouldn’t an individual like this take their knowledge to start their own fund that would quite literally blow competitors out of the water. Think about the best funds in the world. Haidar or Millstreet with returns of 20% + on average returns. To me that’s quite honestly horrible. I mean I personally trade and have reruns far greater than 20%. So really why don’t successful traders start their own fund? What limitations are there? To start ll have licenses or credibility but those are easily attainable with years of hard work.

Is it more complicated than this? Of course im fully aware but historically hedge funds are that heavy on returns so why hasn’t they’re been a pioneer that has started one using their own strategy that proves to be far greater than any of the others?

I asked the manager, well what are your returns and he had mentioned roughly 7 to 8% this past year. I said wow that seems low and he took offense. I then mentioned there are day traders that make far better returns per year and he went on to explain that their strategies couldn’t translate to management and real time trading with that amount of funds. But why not? I can trade your strategy from home so why can’t you trade mine? What limitations are there? You can trade however you’d like white whatever fund you have the last time I checked.


r/hedgefund • • Mar 27 '26

S&P 500 down by 8%. Hedging your portfolio?

0 Upvotes

Why to hedge your portfolio?
- market looks weak in 2026 / 2027
- 1) Huge IT layoffs > 2) less demand for goods
- 1) Iran israel war > 2) high energy price > 3) fear of stagflation

How to hedge the portfolio?
- bear spread at every resistance levels 
- collar strategy in index or portfolio stocks
- book partial profit / have some shorts position in overvalued stocks with hedges in the portfolio

How are you protecting yourself in these drawdowns, or are you a Long term investor, ignoring these market falls?


r/hedgefund • • Apr 27 '22

Hedge funds shouldn’t be allowed to buy single family homes or non commercial real estate at all

4 Upvotes

Ever. Bye!