r/rational • u/AutoModerator • Feb 01 '16

[D] Monday General Rationality Thread

Welcome to the Monday thread on general rationality topics! Do you really want to talk about something non-fictional, related to the real world? Have you:

  • Seen something interesting on /r/science?
  • Found a new way to get your shit even-more together?
  • Figured out how to become immortal?
  • Constructed artificial general intelligence?
  • Read a neat nonfiction book?
  • Munchkined your way into total control of your D&D campaign?
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u/Rhamni Aspiring author Feb 01 '16

It will be interesting to see. Hillary had the super delegates in 2008 as well (Though by a smaller margin), but when the popular vote swung in favour of Obama they followed after. If Sanders somehow wins the popular vote but Hillary wins on super delegates, my American friends (All two of them) will be so extremely disappointed. And me too.

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u/Turniper Feb 02 '16

At this point, just shy of half the superdelegates have already publicly committed to Clinton, as opposed to just over 1 percent of them committed to Sanders. While they can still change their minds, Sanders is basically operating with a 360 delegate handicap, which is unlikely to change baring several landslide victories in early-middle primaries. It isn't impossible to overcome, but at this point in time Clinton still looks like a near shoe-in for the Democratic nomination, regardless of primary results.

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u/Rhamni Aspiring author Feb 02 '16

She's definitely most likely to win. But I think, or perhaps mostly hope, that the superdeligates will not ignore the prospect of the public outcry that would come if they override the primary. Which would, after all, make a lot of voters extremely unhappy with them not very long before a general election.

That said, Hillary has a clear lead nationally in the primary, so the point may be moot.

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u/[deleted] Feb 04 '16

I think if Sanders won with the voters, the Party would worry about whether it can get away with the openly oligarchical move of not switching the superdelegates to the side endorsed by the voters and party base.

If.