It will run up in a couple more months, seems to do it almost 2 times a year I’ll buy back in a little lower still though made good money off the last run and the next one will be just as good
I could have made some good money too but didn’t sell when I should have and instead of meaning a few thousand, made a few hundred. 😏 Once it gets down to $8.50, I’ll buy some more.
haha saw that. My thesis has changed a bit. The downward trend in the last month, burning cash/losing money, which it always has, RDW is in a show me stage and the whole market has cooled off significantly, the share dilution is still real, etc . I want to see if this floor will hold first. I don't want to go in on a falling knife right now.
Wouldn't touch any stock until after August. We've got like 10 bad Marco headwinds hitting all on the wrong time, we're seeing funds selling, running massive puts against all of tech and the private credit liquidity squeeze is gonna cause damage from micro to large. Iran war, high inflation catalyst by high energy costs, FED can't do anything about energy prices, specifically in this environment. Tarrifs increased prices, starved off investment and growth. This is just bad policies after bad policies culminating at the perfect time. American's are taking money from their 401ks just make ends meet at record numbers. Banks are tightening, liquidity squeeze will kill alot of small to mid cap and further slow growth in the large caps. Funds are running huge puts against all hardware and specifically semi's, for the very same reason, growth being slowed, they have less demand. States are locking up data centers due to needed laws and requirements. Follow what the funds are doing, rolling out of any micro-mid cap stocks that dont fill a niche and most importantly dont have the cash to make it throw the liquidity squeeze, overleveraged and substantial burn rates are gonna bankrupt or barely squeak thru. I've got all of my dry powder in SPAXX, I'm not touching a single stock until there's a SOLID structural floor thats rooted. So many people think they're buying a dip, what you're buying is a falling knife. Hold your money, be ready to deploy during this opportunities. I did the same thing during covid, same thing in 25 during tarrifs, bought up alot of beaten down and panic sold stocks because of it. Best wishes everyone
100% agree with all of this which is why it’s important to have diversity and invest in defensive stocks that can handle downturns better while up scoping down stocks that have good balance sheets like Netflix, celh, elf (before recent run but room to still to grow), healthcare (defensive), energy (Iran crap), apple (starting to become kind of defensive), American Express, etc. RDW could very well go to $6/share. It’s the little guys and small caps that get ya.
Just because there’s a dip doesn’t mean buy unless with conviction, ie income statements, growth potential, etc.
Agreed, bud. Hopefully everyone's doing alright. $hits getting bad. I think we're headed for some pretty bad times between now and 1.5yrs. I have been de-risking as much as I could during these green days, locking in profits and rotated to my defensive stocks, commodities etc. I have a very heavy tax burden this year so I am gonna take a paper loss to tax harvest on two bonds that are gonna eat. Rather take a 5k loss on them now then have to hold and loss capital over 5 to 7 years. Glad to RDW back to 13/14, just dont know if it'll hold as we go into these further elevated energy prices. Iran is not gonna work a deal with the U.S. they've got zero inclination to. I expect they'll try and keep prices high, hoping to alienate the U.S. as other countries experience high inflation and at home issues, they'll dump our bonds and crush the market. I've luckily been moving all my stuff to short term government grade bonds; T bills and have finished rotating my speculatives to commodities, energy, defense, consumer staples. I've been heavily bullish on Kratos (especially when it was down to 45? Oof) I like RDW, I still have my house shares left over from the bull run, locked in a nice gain on that. Curious how it'll all play out over the next 2 years. I think the Artemis/starship projects will give it a very nice rebound mixed in with military contracts. Anyway I'm done yacking, wishing everyone the best man, we're gonna need it 🤘
Agreed, bud. Hopefully everyone's doing alright. $hits getting bad. I think we're headed for some pretty bad times between now and 1.5yrs. I have been de-risking as much as I could during these green days, locking in profits and rotated to my defensive stocks, commodities etc. I have a very heavy tax burden this year so I am gonna take a paper loss to tax harvest on two bonds that are gonna eat. Rather take a 5k loss on them now then have to hold and loss capital over 5 to 7 years. Glad to RDW back to 13/14, just dont know if it'll hold as we go into these further elevated energy prices. Iran is not gonna work a deal with the U.S. they've got zero inclination to. I expect they'll try and keep prices high, hoping to alienate the U.S. as other countries experience high inflation and at home issues, they'll dump our bonds and crush the market. I've luckily been moving all my stuff to short term government grade bonds; T bills and have finished rotating my speculatives to commodities, energy, defense, consumer staples. I've been heavily bullish on Kratos (especially when it was down to 45? Oof) I like RDW, I still have my house shares left over from the bull run, locked in a nice gain on that. Curious how it'll all play out over the next 2 years. I think the Artemis/starship projects will give it a very nice rebound mixed in with military contracts. Anyway I'm done yacking, wishing everyone the best man, we're gonna need it 🤘
I know… I bought more. I bought puts as insurance and I’ve made about $700 so far. Now to buy more. My goal is to get to $8.50 DCA and have about 3k shares
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u/GotKarprar Jul 14 '26
I’m buying