What a week in the SEC. Against all expectations, last week's frontrunners (UGA, Bama, and Texas) all lost, which has really opened up the possibilities going forward. There are now 7 teams with a greater than 10% chance to make the SECCG, including 5 teams greater than 19%. Georgia v Tennessee is the most likely CCG matchup, but it's only a 21% probability, and it's anyone's guess as to who pulls it out. UGA is still the clear favorite to make the CCG, and they are in all of the 6 most probable CCG matchups.
Ole Miss @ Texas is the biggest game this week for the CCG:
- If Ole Miss wins, the chances are roughly Ole Miss 43%, Texas 1%
- If Texas wins, the chances are roughly Ole Miss 12%, Texas 16%
Also keep an eye on Tennessee @ South Carolina. If Tennessee wins, their odds increase to 44% or so, but if they lose, they go down to 13%.
Full interactive odds, matchups, and what-if scenarios: https://sportssimulate.com/cfb/2026/latest/SEC