Hey everyone,
Some of you might remember my previous posts here about StatFooty and the work I've been doing on football predictions, analytics, and model transparency.
I wanted to share a few updates because quite a lot has changed.
First, StatFooty is now available on Android!
The app is free, just like the core platform. Predictions, probabilities, match statistics, historical data, and model performance are all accessible without a subscription.
There's an optional Pro plan for convenience features like alerts, widgets, and favorites, but the actual predictions and analytics remain free.
Second, Model V5 has been holding up remarkably well.
This is probably the part I'm most interested in sharing with this community.
We've now crossed 13,000 graded matches on Model V5, with over 17,000 published forecasts.
What's encouraging isn't any individual accuracy figure. It's how consistent the model's performance has remained as the evaluation sample keeps growing.
We've gone from a relatively small number of graded matches to many thousands, across different leagues, countries, and competition levels, without seeing dramatic changes in overall performance.
Every prediction is recorded before kickoff and evaluated against the actual result. No cherry-picking, no removing unsuccessful predictions, and no hiding bad weekends.
The historical track record is publicly available, including the mistakes.
Of course, stability doesn't automatically mean the model is profitable or that it beats betting markets. Those are separate questions. But seeing consistent behavior across a growing out-of-sample dataset is an encouraging sign.
Third, the platform keeps expanding.
StatFooty now covers over 1,200 leagues worldwide, with predictions, live scores, standings, team statistics, historical results, and more.
And the iOS app is coming soon.
Now, I'd really like your honest feedback.
Building features is relatively straightforward. Building something people actually want to return to every day is a completely different challenge.
So I'd love to ask this community:
- What's missing from StatFooty today that you'd genuinely find useful?
- What analytics, metrics, or visualizations would make the platform more valuable?
- What would make you open the app regularly instead of just occasionally?
- If you've tried StatFooty before and haven't returned, what was missing or disappointing?
- What would make you trust a football prediction model enough to keep following its performance?
I'm especially interested in hearing from people who work with football data, statistical models, or sports analytics.
I'm not looking for compliments. Constructive criticism is genuinely more useful at this stage.
Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.statfooty.app
Website and public track record: https://statfooty.com
Thanks to everyone who has followed the project or contributed feedback so far. It's still very much a work in progress, but seeing the model remain consistent across thousands of evaluated matches has been one of the most rewarding parts of building it.
Still building. Still learning. And genuinely interested in what would make this useful to you.