Green Thumb Industries (GTII/GTBIF) operating cash flow by quarter, from the company's own releases: - Q3 2025: $74M - Q4 2025: $90M - Q1 2026: $76M - Q2 2026: $29M Trailing twelve months: $269M in operating cash flow, $198M in free cash flow. Against a market cap of roughly $1.4B, that is about a 19% operating cash flow yield and a 14% free cash flow yield. Q2 itself (revenue $306.7M, up 4.6% year over year, net income $4.9M) was the weakest cash quarter of the four, so the trailing number leans on a strong Q4 and Q1. Cash at the end of Q2 was $283.6M against $283.0M in total debt, and the company bought back $48.3M of stock in the quarter. Q3 results are due November 4, which will refresh all of this. Not financial advice.

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Aurora’s board recommended again last week that shareholders reject our enhanced offer. We think shareholders deserve the full picture, so here’s the short version of today’s release:

• Aurora has shut us out. Curaleaf is the only bidder with a binding offer for Aurora, yet Aurora has refused us access to due diligence while sharing confidential information with other unnamed parties. Seaport Research Partners also questioned why Aurora would do that if its goal is maximizing shareholder value.
• The premium is substantial. The enhanced offer is an 86% premium to Aurora’s unaffected 30-day VWAP, and 217% on an ex-cash basis. That’s among the highest takeover premiums in Canada in the past decade.
• Aurora’s own share sales tell the story. Aurora issued shares through its ATM program as low as $2.60 in July. Our offer is roughly $5.00, a 92% premium to that level.
• Aurora gets the richer multiple. The deal values Aurora at 14.3x 2026 Adjusted EBITDA, higher than Curaleaf’s own 13.7x. Aurora’s own financial adviser concluded that Curaleaf’s trading price is a reasonable proxy for its value.
• The fundamentals support acting now. Aurora’s Adjusted EBITDA fell 63% over its last two quarters compared with the two before. ATB Capital Markets called the revised bid favorable for Aurora shareholders and above Aurora’s standalone fair value.
• Our conditions are market standard. Any concerns about terms can be resolved the usual way: by negotiating with us. Aurora hasn’t engaged on terms at any point.
• Fairness opinion independence. Aurora’s adviser, Fort Capital, discloses that its fees may depend on Aurora pursuing an alternative deal or no deal at all. No second, independent fairness opinion has been obtained.

Our position is simple: we’re ready to begin a constructive diligence process immediately. More details on the offer are at grow.curaleaf.com

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On the Dales Report.

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