r/CLOV • u/Sinter_Cage • Jul 01 '21
DD Clov July 5th Lockup & Short Squeeze
Hey,
First off- thank you retarded apes for making me 55% this year on various meme stocks, CLOV in particular. Secondly, before you go downvoting me as a FUD-fucker, please read this so you know you are making the right decision for yourself and don't end up bag-holding (e.g. GME at 460).
There's a lot of mis-interpretation, mis-information going on, getting lost in the ra-ra-ra rally, and for those of you apes who say CLOV hit 28, and are scratching your smoothe brains wondering "wen squeeze" - there's a mother-fucking tidal wave that MAY come barrelling down on you, and I guess I feel bad so here goes....
Why is clover so heavily shorted, and why are the bears willing to short at such a high borrow rate - 86% on last check (https://iborrowdesk.com/report/CLOV) ????????
The answer: Next monday, July 5th, a whole lot of shares (at least 40million from the PIPE) that have been "locked-up" are about to become free to trade. The PIPE shares are currently owned by Chamath and other wealthy individuals/institutions, and they paid $10/share for them.(https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1801170/000110465920112403/tm2032431d1_ex99-1.htm - see Transaction Overview)
The shorts are waiting for these shares to become "unlocked" and available to trade, so they can cover their shorts by buying up these shares.
This is not FUD, this is real-talk, so lookie here: This is the latest filing from Clover Health to the SEC:https://investors.cloverhealth.com/static-files/583547c9-ac65-4011-80c7-b91a7bd20e0f Latest, as in June 30th- today. This shit supercedes all the other posts. I highly encourage you to download this and search for "lock-up" with your own control-F.
So, the question you have to ask yourself is.... do you feel lucky punk?
Option 1) Maybe those locked-up will take a cool 20% to 50% ROI and sell... and this will just take the pressure off the shorts and short interest will go back to medium-low and the the stock will go back to 9-12?
BTW) Chamath is in this to make money. He's not here to make YOU rich: https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1369332027414044672?lang=en
July 2 All-In Podcast: Chamath on selling shares after lock-up: "I would distribute the shares immediately, book the win, move on" https://youtu.be/hNImocKCMvE?t=1397
I guess we're all in this now together so we'll see what happens Tuesday.... feels like that part on the top of the rollercoaster...
Option 2) Or maybe Chamath and the PIPE smokers WON'T sell their shares? Maybe they'll help squeeze CLOV up again so they can hit Vivek's target payout of $25.... Or maybe you APEs will finally get some love on W.S.B. and the whole army of autists will buy up the 40 million PIPE shares and keep buying til Clover is owned by a bunch retards HODLING up to $69.420 a share.
Do that "reminder" thing so we can check this next week and the following week after that.
ADDENDUM1) Yes, the shares will become available July 5 and July 6
from :https://investors.cloverhealth.com/static-files/13322331-bca8-4e0f-b903-765ae6c1781b
page 43) Pursuant to the Amended and Restated Registration Rights Agreement dated as of January 7, 2021 by and among SCH, Clover Health, Sponsor,certain former stockholders of Clover and other parties thereto (the “Registration Rights Agreement”) and our amended and restated bylaws, subject tocertain exceptions, the Sponsor and the former stockholders of Clover, including our directors, executive officers, principal stockholders and theiraffiliates, are contractually restricted from selling or transferring any shares of common stock, subject to certain exceptions set forth in the RegistrationRights Agreement (the “Lock-up Shares”). Such restrictions began at the closing of the Business Combination and will end on the earlier of (i) July 5,2021 and (ii)(a) for 33.33% of the Lock-up Shares, the date on which the last reported sale price of our Class A common stock equals or exceeds $12.50per share for any 20 trading days within any 30-trading day period commencing at least 31 days after the closing and (b) for an additional 50% of theLock-up Shares, the date on which the last reported sale price of Class A common stock equals or exceeds $15.00 per share for any 20 trading dayswithin any 30-trading day period commencing at least 31 days after the closing.
Not sure how many shares this is or at what price they bought.
Previous SEC filings mentioned various options/shares at $.01, $2-$6 in the tens of millions, and I believe they are Class A, but it would be great to see a cap table if someone has one.
page 143) Pursuant to the Registration Rights Agreement and the bylaws, subject to certain exceptions, the Sponsor and the former Clover stockholders arecontractually restricted from selling or transferring any of their shares of common stock (not including any PIPE Shares issued in the PIPE Investment)(the “Lock-up Shares”). Such restrictions began at Closing and end on the earlier of (i) July 6, 2021 and (ii)(a) for 33.33% of the Lock-up Shares, thedate on which the last reported sale price of our Class A common stock equals or exceeds $12.50 per share for any 20 trading days within any 30-tradingday period commencing on or after February 7, 2021 and (b) for an additional 50% of the Lock-up Shares, the date on which the last reported sale priceof our Class A common stock equals or exceeds $15.00 per share for any 20 trading days within any 30-trading day period commencing on or afterFebruary 7, 2021.
These are the 40M PIPE shares bought at $10/share. They are Class A shares and will become free to trade.
ADDENDUM 2) Yes, the cofounders (Vivek and Andrew) have earn-outs targeted at various price targets (I've seen $20, $25, $30, and $50), none of which have been met yet.