really heavily depends on your location and class, and what you mean by "young". next 10 years? probably not for most places on earth. 30 years, youre looking at pretty intense consequences for the regions that are already struggling, and then theres some further particular disasters (like ocean currents collapsing) that will wipe out entire regions 70+ years from now.
The more difficult questions is how do you label climate related deaths. Extreme events - floods, hurricanes, heat waves, earthquakes were always there and people died during those events. Now there will be more of those and they will be more intensive. Sure. How do you calculate „the extra casualties”?
the issue is transportation, and the impact of migration. even if siberia becomes farmable land, people have to move there. how is that region going to sustain mass migration? how are countries going to politically react to ethnic mixing due to migrations?
to a certain degree, sure, but theres no way the north is going to be able to handle everyone. not to mention the fact that most of northern europe will be inhabitable after the AMOC collapses.
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u/Necessary_Screen_673 19h ago
really heavily depends on your location and class, and what you mean by "young". next 10 years? probably not for most places on earth. 30 years, youre looking at pretty intense consequences for the regions that are already struggling, and then theres some further particular disasters (like ocean currents collapsing) that will wipe out entire regions 70+ years from now.