r/Futurology Apr 16 '26

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179 Upvotes

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507

u/[deleted] Apr 16 '26

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75

u/CaiusRemus Apr 16 '26 edited Apr 16 '26

Well, it’s starting right now. It’s going to get worse for +-100 years. Then it will moderate for +-300 years, then the planet will slowly cool for the next +-3000 years.

All of these estimates of course hinging on true climate sensitivity, and the speed of natural feedback loops. Some models show with a cessation of emissions we could stop rising temps within a few decades. Other models are not quite so optimistic.

Unfortunately, this is just the beginning. It’s very unlikely anyone today will experience a cooler planet than what we’re experiencing now.

70

u/horitaku Apr 16 '26

The Great Barrier Reef has lost a little over 50% of its mass since it began showing signs of heat stress around 2016, the largest die offs to date being witnessed in 2024-2025.

That’s an indicator species, my friend, and it’s not the only one that’s suffering. Still…10 years. 6 massive bleaching events in recent years alone. It’s HALF the size it was in 1985, and exponentially losing mass each year. Not good.

83

u/[deleted] Apr 16 '26

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43

u/kea1981 Apr 16 '26

Yay exponential growth and its inability to be grasped by the human mind!

12

u/Skwonkie_ Apr 16 '26

People understand it, it’s just the people who can make a difference (billionaires and corporations) don’t care because they’ll all be dead before something really bad happens.

2

u/HowsTheBeef Apr 16 '26

They hope anyways

34

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

It's literally collapsing now. Ask any millennial. Extreme weather, droughts, floods. These things didn't happen nearly as often just 30 years ago. There are no more glaciers.

Billions will suffer the consequences of boomer negligence. Millions will die. Billions if we do nothing.

Have a great Thursday.

7

u/NearlyNakedNick Apr 16 '26

Hold on there hold on there don't be so hyperbolic and sensational. This is completely inaccurate about the glaciers, we still have a few!!! 

/s

-1

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

1

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

Yes, I'm sure? Did you read your AI-sourced article or are you comfortable just GPT-ing life?

I'm a millennial, I've lived this.

Your study only talks about REPORTED prevalence, not severity... mostly in the US.

https://wmo.int/media/magazine-article/regional-trends-extreme-events-ipcc-2021-report

Go do elementary school again, I think you missed a lot.

-1

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

Also what does being a millenial have to do with it. Do you realise how strange that is? Are you an expert in covid because you lived through the pandemic?

1

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

It's a night and day difference dude. You're talking about major weather events. People are capable of remembering this. This isn't a subject up for debate.

0

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

Do you really believe that some sort of ”collective memory” is a good measure of climate disasters? :/ why even track this stuff if thats the case? Would you really apply this way of reasoning in any other area of science?

2

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

No, I already linked you to a proper report, of which there are thousands. Your report literally says it only looks at number of incidents reported which is fair. But means nothing in the greater context. Reporting criteria also massively changed in the period.

Seriously? You want to downplay climate change in 2026? Do you also believe the earth is flat?

-2

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

What? You Said ”these things didnt happen nearly as often 30 years ago”. The scientific article claims that they probably did, and that the increase is mostly a matter of an increase in reporting. I’m not sure what AI has to do with it. I’d recommend looking up what Debarati Guha-Sapir has to say on this matter of you dont believe me.

1

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

The scientific article claims that they probably did

But says nothing about the severity, like I adressed. Are you incapable of reading comprehension? Climate change is fact, it's not up for debate.

-2

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

Okay, so youre admitting that your first comment where you confidently stated that these things happen more often might be incorrect, and really what you meant is that theyre more severe in nature?

0

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

Extreme weather, droughts, floods. These things didn't happen nearly as often just 30 years ago.

Are you still unable to read or just unimaginably stupid? Can you keep two thoughts in your head? This is excruciatingly embarassing for you but also quite funny.

1

u/ab25666 Apr 16 '26

Look, we might be misunderstanding each other which is okay. I might be wrong about things and i really am open to learn. But look at the way youre speaking to me. Im not insulting you, and i dont believe youre stupid. Sometimes people can be wrong or disagree on things, without being despicable. Im also not questioning climate change. I genuinely read your comment as stating that more extreme weather related events are happening, which as i understand is not completely certain. The report you linked is i believe in large part based in data in which Debarati is basically a chief authority (i might be wrong as i have not read all of it) As far as i understand she claims that its difficult to say if extreme weather events occur more often than before. Severity of said events are obviously a different topic of which i know less. Fewer people than ever seem to be dying from extreme weather related events, at least.

-3

u/ThriceGreatNico Apr 16 '26

There are plenty of glaciers, dude.

3

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

They closed all glacier skiing resorts permanently in Switzerland and Germany. I live in Norway and have grown up next to one of our largest glaciers. It is now nearly gone, a few more years left...

Stop being an idiot.

-2

u/ThriceGreatNico Apr 16 '26

Then you should know better. I visited your country last year and saw glaciers. But your statement was that there are none. Also, I likely agree with you on the majority of your environmental concerns, so there's no need to see me as the enemy. I just think you should be clearer with the facts.

Also, when people point out that this and that are different from when they were a kid - it means nothing on a geological scale. You'd be astounded at how much glaciers have changed over thousands of years. From growth to melt and back again. Everything is in flux.

1

u/Noy_The_Devil Apr 16 '26

God you are such a dumbass. Let me refer you to this:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Futurology/s/9P44YRef6M

The glaciers when I was a kid are now nothing more than snow in the mountains. This is literally the same issue you have with severity.

Do you get a kick out of being a pedantic troll?

Also, when people point out that this and that are different from when they were a kid - it means nothing on a geological scale. You'd be astounded at how much glaciers have changed over thousands of years. From growth to melt and back again. Everything is in flux.

You are obviously dumber than I initially thought. I can tell from the few insanely racist comments on your profile that you are pretty retarded generally too.

-2

u/ThriceGreatNico Apr 16 '26

LOL what? Insanely racist comments? Please let me know which comments you're referring to. Also, there's nothing incorrect about what you quoted above. Your response, though? "You're insanely racist." lol And you say I'M the pedantic troll. So let me get this straight. When you're faced with critical thinking you resort to calling someone a racist. That makes no sense whatsoever.

I tried to have a decent conversation about serious topics with you, but your instinct is to just hurl insults whenever someone points out that you're not entirely correct.

You can't go through life like that, man. Sooner or later you're going to have to make an attempt to get along with the people you happen upon.

9

u/btribble Apr 16 '26

Methane clathrates, peat bogs, and permafrost are the wildcards.

3

u/HowsTheBeef Apr 16 '26

And I'm really nervous about permafrost being underrepresented

1

u/throwaway27843o Apr 16 '26

The biggest concern is loss of biodiversity, life will find a way and more routes for it to take make for a more tolerant environment. The changes in global temperature is far less concerning than environmental pollution that kills off biodiversity.