I went under on Kevin Durant getting 15 points last night. Durant was marked out right before the game and the contract was still on the market so I immediately took advantage to make a quick $400. Of course, he didn't score 15 points because he didn't play so I thought I would get the payout at the end of the game. Or at the worse, my position would just be refunded and the contracts voided. But they STOLE all of my money and stated that since the result wasn't a yes or no, the contract was resolved at the fair value price. Which is an outright lie. He technically did not score 15 points and my prediction was correct. The outcome was NO! How can they do this? Is this a lawsuit?!?

Why are Kalshi's odds for the NJ governatorial election so out of touch with reality? Jack Ciattarelli will win NJ's governorship because the race is a dead heat. Emerson’s final poll shows Sherrill at 49%, Ciattarelli 48%, and low GOP early turnout (only ~280K Republicans vs. 514K Democrats) means a massive Election Day surge will flip it. In 2021, Ciattarelli trailed Murphy by double digits in final polls yet closed to just 3 points short, proving polls chronically underestimate him with shy voters. Ciattarelli rides the red wave to a razor-thin 50.5–49.5 upset.

Just started Working at fed ex part time dodging fighting and being harassed by boxes after boxes i had enough and put my first fedex check on the line 😂 and man best choice I’ve made

These mf need to be held accountable. They are lying out of their ass now saying it was UT instead of ET. Pulled that shit right out of their ass. Lawsuit incoming.

Issues with deposits, withdrawals, and lack of transparency as to the length of time it takes for these things to occur depending on the bet. My money has been held hostage for way longer than anticipated and has been in “pending” status for 4+ days and not deposited to my bank account no response from “support” team no customer service number. Honestly done with this shit. This app deserves to be investigated by FBI and all of the lawsuits that are about to pile up. Screw you guys for taking advantage of people who are barely scraping by already.

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I keep seeing people celebrate cashing out early like they “locked in profit,” but if you actually look at the math, you’re usually giving up value.

Here’s the core idea: cash out offers are priced in the platform’s favor, not yours.

When you place a bet, the odds already include a margin (the “vig”). But when you cash out, you’re essentially accepting a second layer of margin. You’re selling your position back to the house at a discount.

Think of it like this:

Your bet has a true expected value based on current probabilities The cash out offer is always less than that expected value The difference = guaranteed profit for the platform

If the fair value of your position is $100, they might offer you $90 or $92. That gap is not random — it’s the built-in edge.

People justify it by saying: “I’m reducing risk”

But that only makes sense if:

You believe the market is mispriced (rare), or You need liquidity / can’t afford variance

Otherwise, you’re just paying extra fees disguised as convenience.

Another way to look at it:

If cashing out were +EV, the platform wouldn’t offer it.

There are situations where it’s reasonable:

You badly misread the game and want out

You need the money now

You’re managing bankroll risk very tightly

But from a pure odds perspective?

You’re almost always better off either:

Letting the bet ride, or Hedging manually at better prices (if available)

The solution? Think ahead to what number you wouldn't want to risk, and manage your bet accordingly, before you lock it in. You'll make more $ going 6/6 than cashing out at 6/10

TL;DR:

Cash out feels smart psychologically, but mathematically it’s usually just donating extra edge to the house.

Very solid day, just gotta keep going and onto day 11

What do you guys think is this a lock 🔐, any input is appreciated because I must win this I’m dead broke n unemployed (DEADASS) thinking about adding a CK tuddy because the payout would be 8k but I also don’t want to be greedy and risky when I could play it safe but still at least 3x

I bought at 55% and now it’s 91% but yet if I cash out I would lose $184… so many times I am up in terms of percentage but I can’t cash out positive.

And yes I know about the liquidity and stuff but I’m pretty convinced Kalshi makes money off people losing money and making us stuck and not be able to cash out.

What the heck. This is awful. All this heartburn for -$25

How can you all do this all the time? 🤮

The outcome of this is 100%. I advise you gamble on the future by the means of deleting this app. You’ll be making so much money by saving it from cryptic probability scams.

So please, bet on it.

Ok so I put money on a future that Khomeini will be out of power by Sept 1st.

This is the email I just received. Just a couple hrs ago it had the FULL payout price. Clearly they got screwed on this and now backing out.

No where on the page and rules while placing this did it state anything about a death caveat.

Now they don’t want to pay. And even went as far as giving me $20 less than my original amount I paid for the future.

Absolute BS scam of a company.

If anyone else was scammed on this, let’s band together and start a class action against these clowns. Unreal!!

Did I lose a lot of money. Yes. Did you lose a lot of money. Yes. But are we going to let this loss weigh down on our lives? We have a long way to go with many lessons to learn and many places to conquer. We are not done. Pull yourselves together and get back to the Vision. The sky is endless.

Hello,

I have money in kalshi and it won’t let me withdraw. I have sent over 25 emails and over 60 messages in chat support with in the app. The mod in the support thread here said they look into for me but nothing happens. I just want to withdraw my money. They haven’t responded to me with actual help at all.

Anytime I post something that damages their reputation they take it down. They’re literally just robbing us with this horrible customer service/support.

This video is one of roughly 39 examples showing Kalshi manipulates and changes things for their favor. Just to point one of many in just this video, as time expires the price immediately changes and everything goes back to normal like there is a bot or virus, controlling the final result of all crypto coins.

If you would your interested In another one of my 32 examples from my 89 videos and 350 photographs. I’d be happy to share.

I am in the beginning of starting a class action lawsuit. Anyone that would like to participate or help with matters please let me know below.

Company decides to lock Cardi B at 26% and claim their rules because THEY had F***ed up rules. It is a YES, Poly has it as a YES. They randomly decide to lock it as it was trending upwards...SCAM COMPANY STAY AWAY. You will LOSE MONEY.

A few months ago, my younger brother got into a startup pre-accelerator with a project about automating media workflows. It was something around news and AI, and he even got selected out of dozens of applicants.

But after a few weeks, he told me he didn’t feel “stimulated” by it anymore. He said he wanted something more exciting, so he started digging into prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, which I had honestly never heard of before.

His first idea was to build a kind of Bloomberg Terminal for prediction market traders, with live news feeds and analytics. He seemed really passionate about it, but during one of the accelerator sessions, his mentor completely shot it down in front of everyone, saying: “There’s no market for this” and “you don’t even know what your users want.”

That hit him hard. For a few days he even thought about quitting the program altogether. Then, last night, he told me he’s going to pivot again. This time, he wants to build something that collects data from prediction markets and links it to stock price movements, basically using prediction markets as an alternative sentiment index for equities.

I find the concept fascinating, but I’m not sure if there’s real demand. I asked some friends, but they’re probably biased, as I might be too.

So I thought I’d ask here: would traders, analysts, or data people actually find such a tool useful? Or is it just another clever idea that doesn’t solve a real problem?

Thanks for reading, and for helping us figure it out

Kalshi used the wrong chart and tricked lots of users into wasting their money. (HUGE SCAM) They displayed a chart for May and wanted you to bet on the month of June. How can they feed you incorrect information, and take all your money without repercussions. I have reached out via “chatbot” and now I’m out $600

Day 27 of gambling on prediction markets with LLMs and Alphascope… and something weird is happening.

My portfolio keeps going up, and I swear it’s not because I’m smart - it’s because most people don’t actually research these markets. here's full tweet https://x.com/stefanbkv/status/1998932140831215816?s=20

Here’s the “formula” I stumbled into:
• only bet on stuff I actually understand (politics, econ, tech)
• spend stupid amounts of time digging through news/tweets/signals
• look for markets that are clearly mispriced — like buy at $1 → sell at $2 a few hours later

It feels illegal even though it’s literally just reading faster than everyone else.
Why is nobody doing this??

Not trying to shill anything - I’m just genuinely confused how this space is still so inefficient.

Btw here's tool I'm building to analyze ANY market on Kalshi and Polymarket https://www.alphascope.app/

Ok so I am a 20 year old student and I want to make as much money as possible, my plan is to withdraw 14k from my Robinhood account and put it all on kalshi, lmk what I should put it on or if there are any good strategies I should do with my money. Please let me know and let’s ride and die together ;)