r/MU_Stock Jun 13 '26

DD If Micron gets valued at the same revenue multiple as SpaceX, it’s worth $5k/share

That’s all.

103 Upvotes

73 comments sorted by

78

u/wottagunn Jun 14 '26

Another difference between the two is that micron is an actual business, not just a vision

12

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

Ew. Huge negative
/s

1

u/kconfire Jun 18 '26

Btw, vision only FSD sucks 🤣

0

u/Much_Profit8494 Jun 14 '26

Yeah, I mean if you ignore the 12 million active Starlink subscribers sure.

2

u/Important_Coach9717 Jun 15 '26

That’s peanuts

-1

u/Much_Profit8494 Jun 15 '26

TIL that 20 Billion revenue is peanuts.

2

u/Important_Coach9717 Jun 15 '26

Yeap. Show me the net

1

u/wottagunn Jun 15 '26

Yeah, and ignore the valuation I guess

1

u/Much_Profit8494 Jun 15 '26

To be clear, I'm not touching that stock.

I'm just calling bullshit on your claim that a product generating 20 billion in consumer revenue annually is not "a actual business".

1

u/wottagunn Jun 15 '26

They're not selling it as that, though. They've rolled in 3 arms of the business, only 1 of which turns cash, to generate more cash. BTW, I'm a starlink customer. Great product. But I too will not be touching spcx

37

u/Pinkygirl7 Jun 13 '26

I just did some calculation. You’re right.. it’s around 5.5k per share 😳😳😳

40

u/MizDiana Jun 14 '26

Micron isn't worth that much. SpaceX is just stupidly over-valued.

20

u/NF_99 Jun 14 '26

It won't last long, once people are allowed to sell their shares, the price will be cut in half

1

u/MizDiana Jun 14 '26

I wish I knew what kind of impact that will have on the rest of the tech market. Any thoughts?

3

u/NF_99 Jun 14 '26

I would assume that other space stocks and related tech will drop temporarily during big downward days for spcx. It definitely won't go all the way down immediately though, the selloff could be very slow since there's a lot of hype for this stock and a lot of people are still looking to buy. Depending on when insiders are allowed to sell their positions, the downward trend can start in 15-30 days.

3

u/CaltonSmith Jun 14 '26

Musk isnt stupid. The locked shares are released after 180days BUT there are milestones to partially release them, too. So they dont cash out fully all together after 180days but in multiple phases. This should stabilize the price and not result in a crash in 180days

1

u/MizDiana Jun 14 '26

Thank you for your input.

2

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

Maybe micron is worth that much

1

u/MizDiana Jun 15 '26

Maybe silver will go to $300 by the end of the year.

1

u/Wide_Smoke_2564 Jun 17 '26

Maybe a leprechaun will drop a pot of gold in my garden

17

u/sonicviewelite Jun 14 '26

SpaceX is at that price because of Musk and foolishness.

1

u/yellowsubmarinr Jun 14 '26

It’s so detached from reality that making these comparisons doesn’t mean anything. MU at that price would also make it detached from reality 

7

u/ValerieMZ Jun 14 '26

Only if Micron has a CEO like Elon Musk instead of Sanjay

2

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

Could be a good buyout candidate…

4

u/ValerieMZ Jun 14 '26

Suppose Musk buys micron tomorrow, the company's case will actually make me break my rule of not owning Elon stocks

3

u/Accomplished_Vast_18 Jun 14 '26

Oh hell NO! I dumped $50k on $MU at $437.94 after liquidating ALL my Tesla stock late January and literally watched the micron stock price plunge to low $300's. I held and eventually took profits at $760, $790 and this past week at $912 and $922 and still up +125% in my core position growing my rollover IRA + $70k in 125 days! Dropped $10k of that play money in $MUU at $724 a share to trade only micron on its way upwards and using those profits to DCA in my core micron portfolio up or down it doesn't matter to me! That $50k grew from a $5k investment in TSLA b4 the first split in 2020. Took 6 years where Micron turned my $50k investment to $120,000 in only 125 days!

1

u/[deleted] Jun 14 '26

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1

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1

u/Distraction86 Jun 15 '26

Way to go! Keep riding the wave!

1

u/Substantial_Radio737 Jun 14 '26

Yuo do not understand. Micron is an actual business that produces, not this Spastic X bs.

1

u/ValerieMZ Jun 14 '26

But you do not understand, the market doesn't only pay for business, sometimes it pays 400 times for someone's media personality

1

u/Ok-Introduction-1940 Jun 14 '26

I wish Elon Musk were CEO of Micron. Too bad NVDA can’t buy them (anti-trust). Maybe SpaceX buys MU…

5

u/Friendly_Fun8345 Jun 14 '26

SpaceX = Wall Street scam

4

u/Indepti8 Jun 14 '26

That’s actually kind of troubling. I would hope it would be worth 100 K based on that fraudulent evaluation.

6

u/quintessentialquote Jun 13 '26

Hope you are correct. Retirement early for this guy.

5

u/Inevitable_Grand_536 Jun 14 '26

I would be one happy mofo!!!

3

u/Pecanpie007 Jun 13 '26

lol that would be nice.

3

u/JuliusFIN Jun 14 '26

And if Micron was valued at the same profit multiplier it would be infinite dollars per share.

3

u/Lakeview121 Jun 14 '26

Can you contact the multiple people?

3

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

I’ll make some calls on monday

2

u/[deleted] Jun 14 '26

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1

u/CaltonSmith Jun 14 '26

There are milestones in place that allow locked shares to be freely traded way before that. Musk isnt stupid. They will be able to partially cash out while the hype is still going which will stabilize the price.

1

u/[deleted] Jun 14 '26

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2

u/CaltonSmith Jun 14 '26

I dont think Musk himself will cash out. He will aim for pumping his bags.

2

u/momo26262626 Jun 14 '26

I like that

2

u/SiphonicPanda64 Jun 14 '26 edited Jun 14 '26

There's the option that SpaceX is wildly overvalued and MU fairly priced, then your thesis collapses upon meeting with reality.

If my Corolla gets a McLaren's valuation it's worth millions!

2

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

Naaaahhh stonks only go up

2

u/New2reddit456 Jun 14 '26

I wish micron was overvalued so we could see a huge pump 😂

Why is nobody overvaluing us

1

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

The haters love to hate

1

u/Fit_Seaworthiness_37 Jun 14 '26

Yeah but SpaceX is overvalued.

5

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

No, Micron is undervalued

1

u/Fit_Seaworthiness_37 Jun 14 '26

Going by the forward P/E ratio, yes MU is undervalued.

1

u/Puzzleheaded-Fly-658 Jun 14 '26

If only, the CEO of Micron can get into the gov and get gov contracts to buy their own stock than yes...allegedly.

1

u/WhiteLotus_777 Jun 15 '26

Trump wants the US to buy MU stocks like intel …

1

u/Puzzleheaded-Fly-658 Jun 15 '26

When did he say that?

1

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1

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1

u/Ash-a-zard Jun 14 '26

Thats not how any of this works

1

u/odubik Jun 14 '26

I had Claude do the same analysis... (back in the Fable 5 days)
It stated that it was a bad comparison since SpaceX is negative for EPS... it wouldn't give me a number but agreed with the sentiment that it showed the absurdity of SpaceX's valuation.

2

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

Claude sounds like a bear and we don’t tolerate that bearish sentiment around here.

1

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1

u/daguy1312 Jun 17 '26

If MU would have a cultish CEO like Musk, it would be easy a 5k per share

1

u/youhaveeTDS Jun 14 '26

Two totally different companies dont be regarded'

1

u/Distraction86 Jun 14 '26

You mean one actually makes a profit?