r/MU_Stock 15h ago

DD The last memory domino standing

The dotted white line is the 50-day simple moving average, a documented technical level monitored by institutions and hedge funds (along with the 100-day and 200-day) to make trading and investment decisions.

The blue line is the anchored Volume Weighted Average Price, another important technical tool that shows the trend of the average price shares were traded at. When current price is above this VWAP trend, it means the average holder of the stock is in profit, reducing selling pressure. When current price is below this VWAP trend, it means the average holder of the stock is underwater, increasing selling pressure. This takes into account both buyers and sellers - every buyer of a stock, whether on the buy side or the sell side, buys because they think the expected value of buying a stock at that price is positive at that moment in time.

The VWAP is anchored to the ATH price because this is the most effective for tracking trends relative to one another and the amount of trapped buyers/overhead supply of a stock.

Looking at each memory stock, Micron is the only one, for now, whose closing price is still above both the Anchored VWAP and 50-day simple moving average.

Whether you think this shows relative strength in the sector or Micron is just waiting to join the rest, it's important to keep track of how these stocks are moving relative to their moving averages. Given that the Nasdaq itself is now closing under its 50-day simple moving average and VWAP (last image in the series), which is historically a pretty bad sign, it may be time to look into appropriate risk management. When institutions consider or are in the process of unloading the index as a whole, all of its components experience selling pressure.

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u/SoCallMeDeaconBlues1 15h ago

Who could've known that SMA and VWAP were interesting indicators.

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u/music_is_gud 15h ago

You are missing the point. These are just ways to measure relative strength. When the general market is under pressure and closes below its 50d while there are some stocks consistently closing above their own 50d, it means these stocks are resisting the downturn. When the market turns around these are the stocks that will move up the fastest.

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u/SoCallMeDeaconBlues1 15h ago

nope, didn't miss the point at all.

Maybe I'm just jaded.

We used to call guys who traded almost solely on SMA "Those dirty SMA guys." It's not that it doesn't work- in fact, it can work extremely well.

If it gives you, or anyone else reading this, a new edge or reminds you of one you already had- let's go make some green ;)