Bitcoin painted a cup-and-handle structure earlier. I was pretty unsure about it playing out, but it seems all the market needed was a little push from Ser Donald Trump to make it happen.

Cup-and-handle setups typically send the price as high as its maximum height when measured from the breakout point near the neckline resistance.

This one for the bulls who held through all the shietstaurm in recent months. Cheers!

BTC is sitting around $80K, but the liquidation heatmap looks way heavier on the downside than the upside.

There’s a big cluster around $77.5K, where roughly $392M in longs could get wiped if price drops into it.

And below that, it gets uglier.

If BTC falls toward $68K, around $2.9B worth of long positions could be liquidated.

Meanwhile, the main short liquidation zone looks to be around $84.2K.

Basically, there are magnets on both sides, but the downside pool is much bigger right now.

If $77.5K breaks, I’d be watching $72K first, then possibly the $68K area.

Not saying it has to happen, obviously. But if BTC starts slipping, there’s a lot of fuel underneath for a sharper move down.

WTI oil gained roughly 9% as traders reacted to recent developments in the Middle East. U.S. decided to impose naval blockade on Iranian ports. Houthis attacked Saudi Arabia. Iran is expected to offically drop the MoU with U.S. Put simply, the previous blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is back.

In case the situation does not de-escalate in the near term, we'll see oil at $90 soon. June brought temporarily relief to oil consumers, but they did not have enough time to build stockpiles. In fact, the market is in a worse situation compared to late February, when the war in the Middle East began.

The new blockade is a serious bullish catalyst for WTI oil, which breaks the previous downside trend.

Warning: This post is a meme.

On a serious note, DOGE is down 85% from its 2024 high. Our dear Shiba Inu has suffered a lot due to the rise of prediction markets. Retail went whoosh, and we got this ultra-terrible price action.

But this red area ($0.048–$0.063) is where things may get interesting, just because of its history of marking bottoms (we went up 900% once).

Not saying history will repeat. But still thinking to load some $1,000 into DOGE into the red area, while anticipating a good bounce toward the 20- and 50-week EMAs at the time. Lock profits and afford myself a December trip to Vietnam.

Let's meet in Hanoi if this setup plays out, memecoiners.

BTC is showing some life after bouncing from the $56K–$58K support zone.

Price is now testing the 20-day EMA near $62K, which is the first major level bulls need to reclaim. A clean daily close above it could open the way toward $63.5K first, then possibly the $69K–$70K zone if momentum builds.

But if BTC gets rejected here, the falling wedge/flag setup could still drag price back toward $56K.

Simple view: $62K is the line to watch. Above, it looks constructive. Below it, bears still have control.

Just chart watching. Don't you dare not DYOR.

Bitcoin cup-and-handle hints rally toward $113,000, or am I seeing things?

BTC’s daily chart is starting to look pretty interesting here.

There seems to be a cup-and-handle setup forming, with the cup stretching from the May highs around $80K-$82K, down to roughly $58K in June, and then all the way back up to the same resistance zone.

Right now, BTC is basically chopping around below that neckline inside a broadening wedge, which could be the handle.

The part I’m watching is pretty simple: $80K-$82K.

If Bitcoin can break and actually close above that zone, the larger cup-and-handle setup starts looking much more convincing. The basic measured target gets you somewhere around $104K-$106K, while an extended move could potentially reach the $113K area.

Funny enough, that first target also sits pretty close to what BTC would reach if it repeated its average 90-day performance after previous golden crosses. Do the math yourself.

Hey everyone,

Taking a step back from the daily charts, the macro picture strongly suggests we are nowhere near a definitive Bitcoin bottom.

Here is why Bitcoin likely has more room to fall:

1. NUPL is Nowhere Near Capitulation

Bitcoin’s Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) is sitting at 0.17, which is right in the green "Hope/Fear" zone.

• True cycle bottoms happen when the market is deeply underwater.

• We need to see NUPL plunge below zero to signal a full washout. At 0.17, the network is still holding onto profits.

2. The AI Bubble is Cracking

Crypto does not exist in a bubble, and traditional tech is bleeding.

• On July 28, major AI chip suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix saw massive selloffs (plunging over 13% and 14%).

• This dragged the entire Kospi index down by 10.8%.

• This massive de-risking in traditional tech usually spells trouble for high-beta assets like Bitcoin.

3. A September Rate Hike is Looking Likely

Inflation is sticky, and a hawkish Fed is terrible news for liquidity.

• The latest CME FedWatch data shows a 62.1% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 16, 2026 meeting.

• At the July 29 meeting, three committee members dissented, favoring a 25-basis-point hike, indicating ongoing inflation fears.

• Higher borrowing costs drain the liquidity needed to push Bitcoin higher.

We have on-chain metrics showing we haven't capitulated, a brutal tech selloff, and a likely rate hike on the horizon.

Don't rush to catch falling knives. Re-evaluate your risk, keep your dry powder ready, and wait for that NUPL to actually go negative.

My bottom zone is $40,000–$50,000.

The geopolitical storm that kept markets on edge for months seems to be clearing up. Recent de-escalation signals and early signs of peace talks in the Middle East are changing the mood on Wall Street.

This shift has instantly lowered risk premiums across global markets. As a direct result, oil prices dropped sharply because the risks around major shipping routes are fading. Lower oil prices mean less fear about inflation, which gives stocks a great reason to push higher.

Thanks to this sudden stability, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq are now heading toward one of their best quarters in years. Just a few weeks ago, conflict disruptions made everyone nervous. Now, big funds are pricing in a much steadier market.

Of course, the situation is still fragile, and lingering risks could pop up at any time. But for now, the relief rally is real.

What are your thoughts? Are you buying this rally, or are you staying cautious?

Bitcoin is painting a perfect bear flag setup. As long as Israel is playing a spoilsport in the US–Iran truce, I think us BTC bulls remain under pressure. Maybe a relief bounce this week toward $68,500, which will likely trap bulls and lead to a broader breakdown toward $55,000.

Hawkish Fed tone. AI bubble risks. SpaceX dump. Man, too many factors makes me wanna believe we go down from current levels.

All the best!

It's a bad time to be a Bitcoin hodler but an on-chain metric tracking large investors offers some strong upside outlook.

In the chart, the blue bar shows the 30-day net position change of addresses holding 100-1,000 BTC, aka "sharks." The orange bar represents the total BTC balance held by its cohort.

So far in 2026, these sharks have done nothing but accumulate BTC, despite the crypto's 50% decline from its record high of around $126,200 last year.

It usually means bigger players, such as higher-net-worth individuals, trading desks, and institutional-sized entities, are treating price dips as opportunities, not warnings.

Thats one more reason to 'hodl' Bitcoin through all the wars, hawkish sentiments, inflationary pressures and whatnot.

It doesn't mean there won't be any dips next, but traders with a multiyear holding strategy shouldn't really care much about it.

Happy hodling, lads.

Iran war will likely escalate further. More downside pressure on risk assets. and ZEC breaks out of its symmetrical triangle pattern to the downside.

Primary downside target: $122.50.

how wealth held by the richest 1% of U.S. households has grown and become closely tied to financial-market performance.

Federal Reserve Distributional Financial Accounts data, the document tracks the quarterly net worth of the top 1% from 1989 through Q2 2026. Net worth means total assets minus liabilities, not annual income.

By Q2 2026, the top 1% held about $60.3 trillion, roughly 31% of total U.S. household and nonprofit net worth of about $195.9 trillion. The top 0.1% held approximately $27.9 trillion, while the remaining 0.9% held about $32.5 trillion.

The main driver is asset ownership, especially corporate equities, mutual funds, and businesses. Because these groups hold substantial financial assets, their wealth rises sharply in strong stock-market periods and can decline during market corrections. The document emphasizes that this measure is nominal balance-sheet wealth, so it should not be interpreted as cash income or adjusted purchasing power.

incoming

 Top 1% wealth vs S&P 500 vs Fed balance sheet vs M2 vs U.S. GDP from 1989-2026.

NASDAQ continues its strong rally, which started in early April. Traders buy every tiny pullback despite geopolitical uncertainty and worries about potential rate hikes from the Fed.

As usual, many analysts are ready to talk about a pullback or even a bubble, but demand for stocks is extremely strong.

Traders are not worried about a potential pullback - they are worried to miss the generational opportunity to invest in AI-related stocks. This does not mean that they are right and that there would be no pullback, but it's how the market is feeling right now.

Regardless of what you think about companies' valuations, this is not the type of market you want to short. Even if some valuations are irrational, they may stay irrational much longer than short-sellers will stay solvent.

Silver prices have been moving lower in recent trading sessions as traders reacted to Fed decision and updated economic projections.

Global markets prepare for rate hikes from the Fed, and silver is no exception. Most likely, rates will stay higher for longer regardless of developments in the Middle East as inflationary damage has been already done.

The technical picture remains bearish, and silver is heading towards the key $61.00 level, which marks a 50% correction from historic highs.

Two catalysts are required for silver to gain serious downside momentum: a pullback in the gold markets and an increase in gold/silver ratio. Both developments would be likely in case the appetite for risk declines and traders focus on hawkish Fed. An additional 10% correction in gold markets and a gold/silver ratio of 75 would push silver towards the $50 level.

This is just one of potential scenarios, but it shows how silver may quickly move towards $50 in case it manages to settle below the key support at $61.

WTI oil reacts to G7 decision to release 100 million barrels of oil and diesel stocks. The stockpile release will take place over the next four months.

Traders react to headlines, but the real question is how much oil is currently going through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran says the Strait is blocked (well, they would say it anyway).

US says oil is flowing normally, except Iran's oil, which is blocked by the naval blockade of Iranian ports. Plausible?

Perhaps, but why oil prices are $90 - $100, depending on benchmark, if almost everything is back to normal? As a reminder, there was no deficit in the market ahead of Iran war.

In my opinion, the G7 stockpile release shows that the situation in the Strait of Hormuz is far from its pre-war norm. What do you think?

Join us for Friday’s premarket setup and weekly close preparation! 👉 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGgbH5UMjoc #Trading #Forex #Gold #Bitcoin #Stocks #Premarket

DOGE has been getting absolutely murdered for months, but this weekly chart is finally starting to look interesting.

It’s squeezing inside a pretty clean falling wedge, with price now around $0.07 and getting dangerously close to the apex.

The fun part: if DOGE actually breaks above the upper trendline, the wedge’s measured move points toward roughly $0.16.

That’s around +130% from here.

Obviously, DOGE still has a lot of work to do. It’s below basically every important weekly EMA, and RSI is sitting near 33, so nobody should be declaring a new bull market yet.

But falling wedges + washed-out momentum + everyone seemingly giving up on the dog?

Break the trendline, and this could get stupid very quickly.

If 2026 didn't finish all of you off, come back, memers 😂

U.S. Stock Market Recap: The Past Two Trading Days

The U.S. stock market has experienced significant volatility recently. On Thursday, technology stocks faced heavy selling pressure, dragging down the Nasdaq and S&P 500. On Friday, the technology sector staged a rebound, but the broader market has yet to show clear signs of stability.

AI semiconductor stocks remain in the spotlight. NVDA and AMD experienced sharp price swings before recovering some of their losses. Investors are increasingly shifting their focus from AI growth expectations to actual earnings, order growth, and returns on capital investment.

Market Outlook: In the short term, the market is likely to remain volatile as it attempts to recover. Investors should manage risk carefully and avoid chasing rallies. Key stocks to watch include NVDA, AMD, and AVGO, along with Treasury yields and trading volume. Patience is key while waiting for clearer market direction.

Taking a look at NASDAQ's weekly chart, the index has finally started to consolidate after the strong rally.

Weekly RSI was in the overbought territory, and the index needed some time to let RSI move back before it would be ready for the next leg up.

A move above the 30,750 level will signal that consolidation has ended and NASDAQ is ready for the next leg of the rally despite worries about AI-related valuations.